We won't stop with Beckett, CC and other salary dump’s, our FO has taken a huge step to right some of the wrongs.
Cody? I don't see him getting a long term from anyone, he plays better at Fenway because it fits his makeup and if the price is right he may be back.
Not sure what kind of offers Ross will receive, but I expect him back with a deal similar to what Josh Willingham (3 yrs / $21mill) received last offseason. I think its an overpayment, but still would expect it regardless, and it will not be an albatross at those dollars.
Ells? He will probably be traded at some point if Bradley works out.
Ellsbury will be back for 2013. No one will meet the Sox asking price, and he will be difficult to replace as a leadoff hitter. I expect one more year and a compensation pick. No one likes to acknowledge it, but Bradley is possibly trade bait.
Middy, It’s obvious he earned his chance and now just needs to take advantage.
Pen Middlebrooks in for 3B next season.
Salty? Again I might give him one more year to prove whether he can show any real signs of improving offensively by getting more walks, less SO and vastly improving his OBP. I really don’t have an issue with his improved defense.
I would expect both catchers back, though I think Lavarnway will be a more attractive trade piece.
Papi? If he can finally stop griping about his contract by all means do everything possible to bring him back with a two year, plus third team option if possible.
I also expect Papi back for another year or two. And really, his bat will be difficult to replace ,even at his age.
Pede, isn’tgoing anywhere yet but get rid of Bobby V. and find a more player friendly manager who can still lay down the hammer if things get out of control.
Like Middlebrooks, this name goes into the lineup card in pen.
Iggy, De Jesus, Lav, Gomez and Ciriaco? Give them more time to develop at the big league level whether it be starting or coming off the bench. Only trade them if it really improves our team.
Iglesias is 22, and might be starting SS next season at some point. Ciriaco is very likely to be back as a utility INF. Gomez is 28, and probably bound for Japan. DeJesus, while younger, has no future in Boston, either.
Aviles, Nava, Sweeney, Valencia, Repko, Lin, Loney and Kalish? No, for one of the same reasons as Salty. I could be wrong but don’t see a very high OBP, much power etc. ever developing against AL pitching.
Aviles is a non-tender candidate, especially with the emergence of Ciriaco. Sweeney is probably non-tendered, but might be back if Kalish is not healthy. Repko, Valencia, and Loney are all likely gone. Nava probably stays in the system as a minor league depth in Pawtucket. Lin looks fairly useless. Kalish might possibly find himself platooning with Ross in RF.
Everyone trashes Kalish, but at age 22, he was hitting .294 / .382 / .502 with 13HRs in AA and AAA ball. In AA that year, Kalish hit .293 / .404 / .527 with 8HRs in 180PA. Bradley at age 22 hit .271 / .373 / .432 with 6HRs in 271PA in AA and has yet to play in AAA. Yet Bradley is the future while Kalish is washed up? All the people who want to dump Kalish and Ellsbury and hand CF to Bradley never seem to have a Plan B. Fans who cannot see Bradley ever struggling might need to take this opportunity to learn from history before anointing him the savior.
Padilla and Aceves? are probably heading out in Beckett’s shadow. We don't need hot heads who only play hard if their world is perfect.
Padilla is likely gone. Aceves is TBD, but at least also has some trade value.
Guys like Cook, no more “rehab or cast off” pitchers in the starting rotation please. I realize we are stuck with Lackey and hope he and De La Rosa can help but enough is enough.
Be fair to Cook. He was not brought to be in the rotation this long, and was only there to cover for injuries. The Sox do need pitchers like that every year. They are only problematic if they are needed for 20 or so starts, but not much you can do about it. Either sign them and hope you don’t need them, or avoid these fringe pitchers and practice not complaining when inevitable injuries set in and guys are being brought in from the Northern League to pitch meaningful games. I will never forget watching stretch drive games with the post-season on the line, and the Sox trotting out 39yo Steve Ontiveros, who had not thrown a pitch in MLB in 5 years, to start games in September.
Dice K and Jenks? Finally, is all I will say.
Both are gone, possibly retiring from MLB, although Daisuke might catch on somewhere on a small contract.
Miller, Breslow, Mortenson, Hill, Morales and Bailey? I think they still have worth
All are likely to be in the pen at some point, too.
Doub, trade bait in my opinion
It is possible Doubront is traded, but then this team needs 2 starting pitchers. And Doubront wont be enough on his own to get one of the players you list below.
Jon and Clay? I still believe they can help but if we can improve the club, by all means trade them.
I would never say they wont be traded, but I have to think this team will retain them. They need to add some good pitchers, not subtract them.
New acquisitions I would kick the tires on? Guy’s like….Braun, Y. Molina, McCann, Felix, C. Lee, McCutchen, K. Morales or even David Wright if we could turn him into a 1B.
I think every name on this list except Morales can be scratched off, since none are likely to be available except McCann, who is a potential free agent, but unfortunately he doesnt fill a glaring need. Morales might be non-tendered, and at the very least might be easy to acquire for this very reason. Braun, Molina, and McCutchen were all extended recently ,as their current teams intend to keep them. Sure, the Sox could ask, there is zero chance any of them (and Wright) are available without giving up at least one of Bradley, Bogaerts or Barnes. And there is no creative package that can change that. Were you the GM of the Brewers, Cardinals, Pirates or Mets, you would ask for those players, too, and without one, would not make a deal. I think Justin Upton, who might actually be available (unlike those players) will cost similarly as well. So my question to you is – who would you trade from the trio of Bogaerts, Bradley or Barnes? You will NOT get one of these players (or equivalent ones who might actually be available) without surrendering at least one top prospect. Assume this is a firm demand and no alternative proposals will be accepted. Everyone wants to acquire the star players, but no one wants to give up what it will take to get them.
Also, thank you for acknowledging the Felix Hernandez Moratorium.
FA’s? Hamilton, McCarthy, Greinke, A. Sanchez? Not too many I would consider.
Id certainly pass on Hamilton. McCarthy seemed like a good fit until his recent injury. I do think the Sox make at least one big FA splash and not waste having a protected pick for once. I think the most likely candidates are Greinke, Peavy and Swisher. I think they will be in on Hamilton, but hopefully not all that in, if you get my drift. I do think the Sox also make some depth signings, such as maybe one or twp pitchers like Chris Young (the pitcher), Chien-Ming Wang, Zach Duke, Rich Harden or Rodrigo Lopez to fill in for the occasional injured pitcher. I know plenty of fans think ”Just use the kids!” Well, if the kids are pitching better than the free agents, then you have two options, right? I would not mind seeing Daisuke on a minor league deal in this capacity, but I doubt he gets that desperate. He will catch on somewhere.