A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from Critter23. Show Critter23's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    It was good to get that first win. If Crawbury doesn't work, then I'm ok with Ellsford (9-1).  It was gratifying to see Salty have a solid game.  I would have said Pedey too, Moon.  Go Sox!  Let's do it again tomorrow.
     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from harness. Show harness's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Moon: You must feel like ur teaching Howdy "GM" Doody.
     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    When a guy starts out in mlb you expect some hitting problems, but the likelihood of the Salty train even becoming a .260-270 average guy is rapidly leaving the station. He looks like he has a good swing and word is he is handling the pitchers ok but the offensive results are not there across the board. In 2009, he hit .233 in 310 AB. Not a single projection has him above .251 this year and his OBP struggles to reach .320. the only thing to like in his offense is the probability of some power down the road. He seems to have an ok approach and can stroke a ball to LF even while hitting RH. He should be able to reach the wall for lots of doubles and a few HR. He just isn't doing it with enough frequency yet.

    The Sox struck lightning with Tek and they seem to like the similarities. They gambled. We are approaching well over 600 mlb AB though now and he's hitting .247 so far for his career and he's on a clear downward trend.

    Sometimes guys with an acute uppercut swing need a lot of AB to become successful. He may blossom in a year or 2 and give us 25 HR. He's decent defensively from all appearances. I think they thought they would win enough games with the talent they have and that that talent would carry them while he grew into that slot. If there is any key to our recent demise though, IMO it's Salty. No one on the staff is pitching well except maybe Lester now. No one seems to be hitting his spots. And he's hitting under .200 with virtually no power.

    We need to start Tek, tomorrow.

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from BaseballGM. Show BaseballGM's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    The jig is up, dude? You really need to get out more, you are paranoid and have some issues.


    It is Tito who has hosen only to use Wake when we are behind or in a mop up role, but it is obvious having a guy that can go 3-8 innings can comein handy.

    Wakefield's only been used in mop-up outings. You are dreaming if you think he comes in when "we are behind", which would include today's game and Lackey imploding early.

    Nothing about Wakefield "comes in handy". Any pitcher can go "3-8" innings, but Wakefield certainly can't go 3-8 quality innings or he would have been used today.

    Wakefield has earned his zero confidence reputation, the Red Sox simply haven't taken the step of getting him off the active roster. As with Lowell, they seem to think that a 25 man roster can be used for a injured reserve retread to sit around and mop up. Every roster spot is vital and should be used as such. I'd rather see Wally take the roster spot, as that would be more amusing than Wakefield. The team could have used Aceves in a few spots in one or two of those first 6 games, but the resident squater was taking up a spot.

    As for Wakefield returning to "pre-July, 2009" form, you need to point out all the many lousy years Wakefield had over his baseball career. Wakefield isn't going to return to anything but an old mop, and his earlier comment that he was going to retire at year end is his own admission that he's washed up. The fact that he later equivocated means nothing, other than the Red Sox should not enable him by offering another contract. He needs a lecture that he is taking advantage of the ownership's good will and needs to retire. If that brings his anger, they need to trade him or release him, something they would not follow through with on Lowell. A bottom dweller budget NL team might have a gig for him, in which case they should trade him. 

    The Red Sox have been way to generous and patient with Wakefield. It's a fiasco that sticks out like a stop sign. Most Red Sox fans are tired of it, though some are scared to admit it. When a near majority of Red Sox fans is openly protesting Wakefield on the active roster, the realy number is much larger than that. As far as the AL East, Wakefield is simply a softball pitcher.
     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Let's crush the Yanks like a bug today. We are due.
     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from futbal. Show futbal's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    moonslav,
    I've opined from time to time on this thread, often to criticize Theo for wasting money (and a lot of it) even though the counter argument - that all gms (eg, Cashmen) do so as well - is true. But as this season starts I really just want to chime in and truly congratulate you for these threads you have created, right here in the public domain, for all to participate in. And, thanks for keeping it up in the face of agreement, disagreement, disparagement, Yankee-fan trolling, winning, losing, etc.
     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    harness, while you were gone I openly wondered about us getting Martin to catch.

    What are your views on his CERA-related abilities?
     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from Tenshi28. Show Tenshi28's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    The funny thing to me is that basically everybody, both writers and fans alike, recognize that it's way too early to extract any kind of conclusions given the small sample size, yet everybody is engaging on all the classic debates: the pitching sucks, Crawford is a bust, Saltalamacchia can't hit, etc etc. I guess you just need to talk about something.

    Come All Star time we'll probably up there fighting for first place as usual and we'll look back and wonder at the countless hours spent on futile debates after less than 10 games, and of course, all the smart writers will then come out saying how it was silly to panic that early and blah blah blah...
     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    NESN's Eric Ortiz stated as FACT, the RS will win 100 games:

    "The Red Sox have won 100 or more games three times in www.baseball-reference.com/teams/BOS/" target="_blank">their 110-year existence. They will make it four in 2011."

    Even the title of the article is a statement of FACT.

    www.nesn.com/2011/01/2011-red-sox-will-challenge-1927-yankees-for-title-of-greatest-team-in-major-league-history.html">http://www.nesn.com/2011/01/2011-red-sox-will-challenge-1927-yankees-for-title-of-greatest-team-in-major-league-history.html

    Best.

    1-7.

    Team.

    EVAH!

    100 wins does not mean WS. Many teams have won more than 100 and have no ring to show for it.
     
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  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from dannycater. Show dannycater's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Theo Epstein brought in an overrated leftfielder with a limp arm who doesn't play the wall well to play next to a suspect CF with a limp arm who doesn't seem to get on base enough to play next to a RF who is contemplating retirement who is platooning with another RF who is also contemplating retirement. The team has a suspect SS who is backed up by another suspect SS, and the team's regular catcher started last year in the minor leagues.

    The team's starting staff consists of easily the most overrated Free Agent SP in the past 5 seasons, who has performed so mediocre that people will throw "quality starts" at you with his consistency, yet somehow forgive the fact that he is mostly terrible against every .600 or better team in baseball. They have two starters that have basically hung their hats on 2007 and are given a free pass for their consistent fall from top starters to middle of the rotation guys to 5th starter. They have a mopup guy who was relegated to mopup despite his strong history of throwing big games and being a stopper when the team is doing poorly....you know, like now. Instead, he can't help his team win because he's too busy mopping up after rookie types and newbies getting bombed after the starter gets bombed.

    Blame Tito? Blame Theo? I don't care who you blame, but don't tell me this team was going to be a surefire WS champion with the question marks I brought up in this post.
     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from Critter23. Show Critter23's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    No Amp, it is not all Salty's fault.  Pitching.  Timely hitting.  Hitting.  Errors.  Slow starts.  Managing decisions.  There are plenty of reasons.  I'm hoping this is just a bad dream from which we can awake.  Another win tomorrow vs. NYY, taking two of three would be a big help.  Sometimes these two teams just club each other.  Maybe tomorrow is our turn again.  I hope so.  I watched some of the game today and they just seemed sort of clueless.  So many guys going through this funk rather than just one or two off track...
     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    my apologies, moon, my comment should have said surefire 100-win team, WS champion is a crapshoot once playoffs begin. Which was predicted by way too many bandwagon publications and media type.

    I know we had/have weaknesses. All teams do. Many have many more.

    I was one who projected 100 wins if totally healthy. I still think we can approach that.

    That doesn't mean I dont think mistakes were made.  Paying big money to duplicate a strength (OF) was foolish in my opinion. We had much more serious slots to fill.

    It's still early. If I had told you we'd have a 1-7 streak sometime in the season, would you have been overly concered? Just because it is at the start of the year, doesn't mean we are toast.
     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    choose to believe tom-uk over GM.

    tom says he caught softy red-handed. GM slipped by answering as softy, then quickly deleted his post.

    The only reason I didn't save it is because I didn't hit reply to post.  I was about to add a post when it blanked and when it came back his post was deleted. Then he put it where he intended.

    Hey Mr Moon youth over age Lowrie over Scut.Wink  Hot start Lowrie plus slow start for Scut, I think will lead to a change.

    I know you may b right, but I'll stick with the known over the unknown for now. I want Jed to play alot. I wish he'd get 35 games in at 3B as Youk DH's for Papi vs most lefties.

    Side note:  Softly and I asked Chip if we could write for EPSN, he said no. So we are going to do a debate series on jedlowrie.net The site hasn't had a baseball comment in 2 years (mostly Viagra spam), but I think we can revive it.  Topic suggestions are welcome.  First debate is on famous switch hitting SS with gapped teeth who like unions. Softy only agreed when I told him he could have two names.Smile

    lol
     
  15. You have chosen to ignore posts from ampoule. Show ampoule's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II


    Harness, I have to admit that although I'm a Salty supporter, I'm starting to waver.  I do hope that he blossoms into someone decent, but I'm really starting to sense the uncomfortableness the pitchers have when he's behind the plate. And, I just don't mean pitch calling..hell, Beckett called off Tek quite a few times the other night.  Defensively, he's OK.  It's something else.  Was DiceK terrible tonight because he just didn't have it?  Or, was it because of some intangible negative psychological effect potentiated when he catches?

    I hope I'm wrong here...we'll eventually see. 
     
  16. You have chosen to ignore posts from BaseballGM. Show BaseballGM's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I wish I was softlaw, because the obscession with him makes him akin to a baseball cult hero. I'm fine being the guy on the grassy knoll;) 

    Scutaro got the big hit, which was the key offensive moment in the game. Lowrie fits better in the UIF. He's really a 2nd baseman, as he doesn't the quickness or long graceful strides to be an everyday career SS.

    Pedroia's double play move was the key defensive play of the game, as he's fully recovered which means the core heart and soul of the Red Sox is back!

    Beckett's form is the most important barometer for the hopes of this year's team. Starting pitching is the only issue on this team being a championship team. If Buch rebounds to close to his 2010 form performance levels, this team will win the division. It only takes 3 starters performing at a higher level to get the starting pitching job done. Only 2 last year.

    Delighted the team has AGon instead of Tex. There hasn't been any right after opening day done deal signed as was reported. That's disappointing because there was little doubt that the shoulder injury was not going to be any long term issue. Beckett's deal was already announced by now. The Red Sox were clearly hedging on the shoulder, which should cost them a pretty penny when the deal is signed. Theo should have agreed to a winter deal and had it signed with a week or so after opening day. It's going to cost him more for hedging and waiting on the regular season early performance. 

    Crawford will come around, and the only place for him is leadoff.  

     
     
  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I'm not "softy", I hated Lugo who was another foolish contract from the mind of Theo. Whoever "softy" was, it's pretty easy to see that he or she must have embarrassed you enough to where you feel the need to keep invoking that moniker. Don't be so defensive, you might want to rethink the need to be defensive. It makes you look inferior.

    The jig is up dude.
    I don't belive defending the truth is in anyway looking "inferior".


    Save the O's quote all you would like, and I will make a note how you saved it when you later deny buying into the O's being for real. I repeat, the O's are not for real. Now, save that;)
     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from jidgef. Show jidgef's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

     I just caught up on about a dozen pages of comments; you guys are very prolific in your comments when things are going badly! I'm certainly not happy with the start, but I've always been a "glass half-full" kind of guy and I feel it's way too early to panic. In fact, I think Tito's lineup shuffling could be interpreted as panic and is an early over-reaction to the bad start. The bad start is primarily at the feet of the starting pitching which is putting the team behind early and forcing the hitters to play catch-up. The result is a lineup that is pressing to do too much with each at bat. They are too good top to bottom to not right the ship, and I'm sure we'll be looking at a 6 and 9 or 7 and 10 team before much longer.
     Amp to answer your questions about Salty I will tell you that I think he is blameless as far as the pitching is concerned. The pitchers are simply not hitting spots and when they are the pitches have very little life and are very hittable. I think he sets a great target when no one is on base, especially for a guy who stands 6'4" or more. The issue about his moving target is maybe something I'm missing. When the sign is given the location is established and setting the target too early can tip off a hitter, especially with runners on to relay the location to the hitter. If a pitcher is relying on glove location for their target, instead of body location on the catcher's body, then that goes against any pitching/catching philosophy that I have ever played with.  With runners on, he gets into a "throwing" position and actually gets rid of the ball quite well for such a tall guy. He has had a few throws sail on him, which is a sign of his pressing just a little, just as his at bats indicate that he is pressing. He receives and frames balls very well, handles pitches in the dirt very athletically and seems to have a solid rapport with the pitchers. I really like his swing as well and feel he will hit. Boom is a little too harsh in his criticism citing 600 at bats as a good enough sample size. But when those at bats are stretched out over four seasons it is not a significant sample size. 
     I also know that Crawford is overpaid (who isn't in MLB??) and to date is underperforming. But he too is putting too much pressure on himself and he will be fine. I think he may possibly sit tonight against CC to get his head together and I also think he would benefit from NOT moving around the batting order. Unfortunately, with all of our rehabbing players Tito could not effectively use Spring Training to establish the best batting order and I'm not sure I've got a surefire winner either. But I do believe that moving hitters around this early only adds to the pressure they are already putting on themselves.
      We need Becket to throw a beauty tonight and get the bats working against CC, a tall order in and of itself. But I refer back to my first paragraph about soon seeing a 6 and 9 or a 7 and 10 team before much longer.
     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Who would you say are the best 5 or so CERA-related catchers in MLB today.

    Are there any that are possible trade targets?

    I know it's early, but I'm beginning to wonder.
     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Moon: You must feel like ur teaching Howdy "GM" Doody.
    Taking him to the toolshed is more like it.

    Wake & Lester may be Boston's two best bets when facing NY.
    They are the only ones can can negate those LH bats.

    As much as softy GM hates to admit it, it appears Wake is earning a chance to go beyond "mop up".

    Wake vs the Yanks:
    '11  2 IP          0 ER  0 H    0 BB (.000 OPS)
    '10  14.1 IP    6 ER  11H   3 BB (.615 OPS)
    '09  6 IP          3 ER   6 H   3 BB (.953 OPS)
    '08  21.2 IP  12 ER  22H  6 BB  (.774 OPS)

    When you consider the Sox staff as a whole has these numbers vs the Yanks:
    '11   18 IP  14 ER  21 H 8 BB (without Wake: 16 IP/14ER  21H/8BB)
    '10   5.30 ERA  .797 OPS
    '09   5.28 ERA  .876 OPS
    '08   5.09 ERA  .760 OPS

    Wake vs Yanks 2010-2011:
    16.1 IP  6 ER  11H  3 BB  (3.31 ERA  0.857 WHIP)

    Wake vs Yanks 2009-2011:
    22.1 IP  9 ER  17H   6 BB (3.63 ERA  1.030 WHIP)

    Wake vs Yanks 2008-2011:
    45 IP  21 ER  29 H   12 BB (4.20 ERA  0.911 WHIP)

    All some people want to remember is Boone's HR.
     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Beckett looked back "in form" tonight.

    It's early.

    It's just one game.
    I rarely make judgements based on one game.

    But, this was very encouraging.

    (Glad to see VTek keeping Beckett on track.)
     
  22. You have chosen to ignore posts from harness. Show harness's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Good data, Moon.
    Wake would be proud.

    Boston's right-handed pitchers don't match-up well w/NY.
    Wake can negate lefty bats.
    I wonder if Tek will catch Josh tomorrow.
     
  23. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    danny, you make some great points, but I don't recall anyone sayingwe were "surefire"...

    Is anybody ever "surefire"?

    Do many other teams have much less "issues" than we do... on paper?
     
  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    One thing is for certain, the Dodgers didn't want to keep Martin really for the past 2 years. He was their golden boy and then, whoops, how can we get rid of him. He sure looks like he can hit though, still.

    I think we thought maybe Salty could play some wall ball for us in Fenway and maybe we could score a decent catcher on the cheap. I'm still  waiting. The sample size is getting bigger every day. He didn't hit or win last year. He's not hitting or winning this year. Close to sub Mendoza line hitting in over 20 games now isn't it as a Redsox plus he is losing almost every single game. If I were managing I think I'd start playing Tek for at least 2-3 games in a row.
     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Not only do we have to see how badly the Sox are doing, with Sabathia pitching tomorrow. We have to hear about how GREAT the Orioles are. Enough already Harness! Cool
     
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