A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from BaseballGM. Show BaseballGM's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Didn't take long for a no confidence on Crawford as the #3 hitter. When I first heard that Crawford was being used as the regular #3 hitter, I thought it had to be a joke. Crawford isn't a #3 hitter, and never has been. Particularly with Agon and Youk in the lineup, it has to be an attempt to justify that silly Crawford contract.

    Buch looks great, inning one.
     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from harness. Show harness's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II:
    [QUOTE]Some year and 3 days and spring training ssessments after a weekend embarrassment: 1. Lackey is a bust in year 2 of a 5 year ball and chain contract 2. Salty is a Ranger castoff for a reason 3. Despite the solo shots, Buch looked good in the high winds 4. Papelbon is still a very good relief pitcher, even if he isn't 2007 dominant 5. Lester started slow but will still have another solid year 6. 2011 Jacked-up opening series Rangers are inferior to 2010 Rangers 7. Pedroia looks fully recovered 8. Youk isn't fully recovered but is on the road to full recovery 9. Ortiz looks confident, even against commercial lefthanded pitching 10.Reyes has decent lefty specialty stuff 11.Aceves should replace Wakefield 12.Crawford has no business hitting 3rd and shoud leadoff and just get on base 13.Scutaro and Lowrie are 2nd basemen, Iglesias should start by the summer 14.Wheeler is going to do a good job in the middle of the pen 15.Ellsbury is a weak defensive CF'er who can't run with a quiet upper body 16.Cameron looks very smooth in the OF 17.Cameron should start when Drew sits against Lefties, Not Mac 18.Mac, Scutaro or Lowrie should pinch late for catcher in minus 1-3 R 19.Trade for or call-up a veteran but fit decent overall catcher to replace Salty 20.Either Dicek or Beckett's pitching well will be the key to the season 21.Ellsbury should hit 9th to turn the lineup over better & Ped Youk & AGon 2-4 22.Ellsbury has an ugly reverse pivot swing and needs to slap hit under the gun 23.AGon isn't fully recovered but is a natural hitter with a terrific swing 24.Team will have no problem scoring enough runs to win the division 25.The team needed a solid catcher combination and better pitching and Crawford didn't address a single 2011 team need 26.Luchino needs to shorten the leash on Epstein and make some immediate adjustments
    Posted by BaseballGM[/QUOTE]

    Interesting post.
    On #1, I think it's too early to call Lackey a "bust". But the tenure of his contract is a concern.

    On #2, again, too early a call on Salty, although Theo's desire to go with him as the #1 is this year's biggest gamble.

    On #3, good point on Buch and the wind factor. I'd like to see him pitch a bit more aggressively.

    On #4,  I totally agree on Papelbon. His improved command of his slider and split will definitely enhance his fastball. Keeping him and resisting any trade during the winter was the right move.
    He will once again anchor the pen, and show why he's still one of the very best closers in the game.

    On #6, you may be right about the Rangers. I think they were more imposing last year. But the WS experience still has them hungry for more.

    On #11, Aceves, first has to prove he can stay healthy and pitch well in AAA before any determination on him can be made.

    I agree Scutaro should be replaced this summer, either by Iglesias or Navarro.
    Jake should lead-off unless he shows he can't cut it this year. This may disillusion you, but Ells could have a terrific season this year. I'm talking All-Star caliber.

    I'd like to know why you feel Crawford's addition wasn't necessary.
     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In case no one else has noticed, the Rangers have put together one heck of a team also. One heck of a lineup and some solid pitching. They are for real.

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I was hoping this would remain a softy-free zne, but the clown has now has proved he can't keep his own word.
     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from harness. Show harness's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Through the first season series:

    O's: 3 - 0  Runs For:  12  Runs Against: 3. Swept the Rays in Tampa

    Redsox:  0 - 3  Runs for: 11  Runs against: 26.  


    I'll say it yet again: Watch out for da birdies


    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R2Im8Lu5pP0&feature=related
     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from hill55. Show hill55's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II:
    [QUOTE]In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II : I said this in another post and I'll say it again. The Red Sox lost that series because of pitching and pitching only.  They scored enough runs to take 2 out of 3 but didn't because of an awful performance by Lester and a god awful performance by Lackey. To me, the Rangers have a bunch of guys that do nothing but swing for the fences.  That's going to work a lot of times but it will also result in streaky hitting.  If you think that the Rangers are going to hit like that all year, you are out of your mind.  Besides, I put that more in pitch execution than the Rangers bat. Also, I'm not all that impressed with the Rangers rotation.  I was rather unimpressed last year too, and that was with Lee.  I just don't think they have a true ace. I still think they win the west, but bottom line is the Rangers started off hot and the Red Sox started off cold. By the way, is anyone on my side in that they believe David Murphy is only in the big leagues because he only does well versus the Red Sox?  I can't stand this guy for that reason.
    Posted by SoxPatsCelts1988[/QUOTE]
    As I wrote here on February 17:

    Re: Ken Rosenthal/Fox Sports:"Six teams in each league that could overtake the almighty Phillies and Red Sox"Do you agree?

    posted at 2/17/2011 10:41 AM EST
    www.boston.com/community/persona.html?UID=b634e9e76cf4c7e54120e863762ba35a&plckUserId=b634e9e76cf4c7e54120e863762ba35a">
    Posts: 4010
    First: 1/14/2006
    Last: 4/4/2011
    Texas replaced four months of a 6.1 WAR* player in Cliff Lee (15 GS, 4-6 WL, 3.98 ERA) with six months of another 6.1 WAR player in Adrian Beltre. The Rangers replaced a 2.6 WAR designated hitter in Vladimir Guerrero with a 2.7 WAR designated hitter in Mike Napoli (to be fair, Napoli had positional value at catcher and first base). The Rangers replaced a 0.4 WAR catcher in Benjie Molina with a 2.4 WAR catcher in Yorvit Torrealba.

    The Rangers, who had a 5.5 game lead in the AL West when Cliff Lee was acquired, return C.J. Wilson and Colby Lewis who pitched 200+ innings apiece with ERAs of 3.35 and 3.72, respectively, pitching in a hitter's ballpark. Tommy Hunter had an ERA of 3.73 in 23 games after joining the Texas rotation in June. Scott Feldman went 17-8 with a 4.08 ERA in 2009. Derek Holland and Matt Harrison wait in the wings, as does former Cy Young Award winner  Brandon Webb.

    The Rangers improved on a killer bullpen that posted a 3.38 ERA by adding Arthur Rhodes and Yoshinori Tateyama to the stable of Rookie of the Year closer Neftali Feliz, Darren Oliver, Mark Lowe, Darren O'Day and Alexi Ogando.

    Like the Red Sox, the Rangers were hindered by injuries that limited AL MVP Josh Hamilton to 133 games and studs Nelson Cruz and Ian Kinsler to 108 games and 103 games, respectively.

    The Texas roster last season had an average age of 28.3 years while the Red Sox had an average age of 31.0 years. The Rangers got younger by replacing Guerrero, Molina, Lee (and potentially 34-year-old Michael Young) with Beltre, Napoli, Torrealba and Webb. In short, Texas likely has more players entering their prime or in their prime.

    The Rangers are the team to beat until another club wrests away the crown ... their biggest challenge may come from the Oakland Athletics in the regular season.

    * 2010 Wins Above Replacement as reported at FanGraphs
     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    We will see if the Orioles are for real. It's still hard to believe. There are a lot of great teams in this division.
     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Boomer, if Crawford batted second and Ellsbury lead-off, it would create lefty-lefty situation... (amp)

    Amp, it really shouldn't matter since Ellsbury hits lefties as good, if not better, than righties.

    Sidenote: Pedey hits righties better than lefties, so he really should not be considered a righty if you are looking at the L-R-L line-up paradigm.
     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I'm not saying the Rangers are better than the Sox but you know, it just might be. They did go to the world series last year if I remember correctly. They did add Beltre's defense and bat. They do have decent pitching and if you look closely at their lineup it does rival the Sox lineup and might even be better. 

    I'm still projecting the Sox as better but I have been projecting the Rangers to emerge for over 2 years now. They have a lot of outstanding young talent. And Beltre alone is a huge pickup for them.
     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I also think Carl Crawford will end up a decent #2 or 3 hitter over time. I do think the team would benefit from him being dropped against some left handers but he is a quality player nonetheless. Look at the numbers he put up last year! We should not worry about CC, the hardest working man in baseball!

    We see more info now popping up about moving Pedroia to #3 or #5 as many of us speculated earlier. It could still happen.
     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from SoxPatsCelts1988. Show SoxPatsCelts1988's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II:
    [QUOTE]OK, I am standing on the bridge Don't jump. This team is too good to let 3 games worry anyone.  Think of it this way: we just got rid of one of the hardest away series of the year.
    Posted by moonslav59[/QUOTE]

    They've gotten off to slow starts the past 2 years.  2009 they ended up making the playoffs and last year they would have made it with only a few last injuries.

    The Sox have played awful in Texas in recent years and as you said, it's good to get this series out of the way now.  On the down side, they have to go back in August.
     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from Critter23. Show Critter23's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    OK, I am standing on the bridge.  But before I go I want Moon to have my "Babe Ruth" glove which I got at a yard sale--no webbing, individual fingers, looks about 1927 vintage.  Boom, you get the napkin that Ted Williams left on the table about 1963 when I waited on him at the Lobster House in Trenton, Maine.
    Amp, you get my little league uniform which looks like an old RS uniform but it says "Trenton Tigers" on it.  If fit pretty well in 1960, about the time Frank Malzone was playing 3rd and Dick "Strangleglove" Stuart was playing first.  I think that was his name.  Harness, you get my Carlton Willey baseball card because you're all over pitching--sorry, he didn't play for the RS but he was a good pitcher from Cherryfield, Maine.  Because you and Moon are also all over defensive catching, I'm going to let you two fight for my baseball program from the college world series won by the University of Maine and signed by Stump Merrill--a great catcher who unfortunately fell in with the NYY.  Goodbye my friends, I'm thinking of you at the end, but I don't think I can take a whole year with pitching like this...you guys gave me a lot of pleasure...so long...
     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II:
    [QUOTE]In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II : Well, you me and Youuuk all agree with this projection. We are the only three on this board that has said as much. The O's are for real. They came into the season ready to play./ Buck S. saw to that. Tito can learn that running a lax camp equates to a slow start. Teams aren't gonna roll over and play dead because of Boston's winter acquisitions. They are gonna want to beat us all the more. The RedSox must seek a higher level if they want to be taken seriously.
    Posted by harness[/QUOTE]

    I have to be honest here and just say that I haven't researched Baltimore all that much. I was aware that they have lots of good young pitching emerging but it's hard to believe that it will remain solid after they are seen around the league a few times. It's unusual to go from last to 1st or 2nd in a year. Those of us from 67 vintage know it can be done but it is unusual. 
     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from playball01. Show playball01's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I know it's probably too soon to broach this subject but is it possible that a more experienced catcher such as Varitek would have had a more calming influence over the pitching staff over the last 2 games and had some influence on the outcome of either game or did Texas' offense simply pour it on too hot and heavy for any relief?

    My concern is that Salty's lack of experience may have some bearing on knowing how to read the opposing hitters and knowing what changes to make with regards to pitches to throw under certain conditions.
     
  15. You have chosen to ignore posts from ampoule. Show ampoule's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II


    Maybe Im crazy, but I say to give Salty some time here.  From all accounts I've read, Tuck has supposedly worked extensively with him and the conclusion was that he has has substantially improved defensively. Does this include pitch calling etc.? I don't know.  I don't think Papelbon called off any of his pitches while in the process of striking out three guys in a row.  Also, he's been injured the last two years.  I say to give the guy a chance before throwing him under the bus.

    I shudder at the thought of batting Crawford third all year.  He's just not a number three hitter.  This is not a knock on Crawford, but why third with Youlikis or Gonzalez available?

    IMHO, Lowrie looked very comfortable at short....made a couple of outstanding plays.  There is no doubt in my mind that he is more than adequate at that position....or second base for that matter.  Hence, when Iglesias comes up, he will certainly be the designated super sub.
     
  16. You have chosen to ignore posts from RSNorthAK. Show RSNorthAK's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    After that thrashing of the pitching...All I can tell youse guys is that I've changed the name "johnson" to "john" ... at least for the interim.

    I was all planned to catch the games this weekend. Cancelled appointments. Made excuses to the wife for not cleaning out the garage. Told associates I was sick. Bought enough beer and bourbon to choke a baseball team. Didn't shave, threatened the cable company and ISP, and took out my old RS hat signed by Papi.

    I was ready. Apparently the RS were not. And now little john.

    I wonder if Beckett is smirking on the inside.
     
  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

     know it's probably too soon to broach this subject but is it possible that a more experienced catcher such as Varitek would have had a more calming influence over the pitching staff over the last 2 games and had some influence on the outcome of either game or did Texas' offense simply pour it on too hot and heavy for any relief?

    My concern is that Salty's lack of experience may have some bearing on knowing how to read the opposing hitters and knowing what changes to make with regards to pitches to throw under certain conditions.

    I don't like to pile on over 1 game sample sizes (or even two in this case). As I said before the season, VTek should catch vs almost all LH starters. That would have meant he'd have started 2 of the first 3 games and who knows what might have happened. I can't imagine it could have been worse, and we might have actually have gotten a hit or two from our catching position along the way as well.

    VTek has had an over 800 OPS vs LHPs the last three years. Many just assume Tek can't hit, but the truth is, he just hasn't hit righties well in 2 years. Salty has been horrible vs RHPs his whole career (under .600 OPS).

    I went to the last 2 games, but haven't watched the replays, so I can't say much about how Salty handled the staff.  
     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from BaseballGM. Show BaseballGM's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Some year and 3 days and spring training ssessments after a weekend embarrassment:

    1. Lackey is a bust in year 2 of a 5 year ball and chain contract
    2. Salty is a Ranger castoff for a reason
    3. Despite the solo shots, Buch looked good in the high winds
    4. Papelbon is still a very good relief pitcher, even if he isn't 2007 dominant
    5. Lester started slow but will still have another solid year
    6. 2011 Jacked-up opening series Rangers are inferior to 2010 Rangers
    7. Pedroia looks fully recovered
    8. Youk isn't fully recovered but is on the road to full recovery
    9. Ortiz looks confident, even against commercial lefthanded pitching
    10.Reyes has decent lefty specialty stuff
    11.Aceves should replace Wakefield
    12.Crawford has no business hitting 3rd and shoud leadoff and just get on base
    13.Scutaro and Lowrie are 2nd basemen, Iglesias should start by the summer
    14.Wheeler is going to do a good job in the middle of the pen
    15.Ellsbury is a weak defensive CF'er who can't run with a quiet upper body 16.Cameron looks very smooth in the OF
    17.Cameron should start when Drew sits against Lefties, Not Mac
    18.Mac, Scutaro or Lowrie should pinch late for catcher in minus 1-3 R
    19.Trade for or call-up a veteran but fit decent overall catcher to replace Salty
    20.Either Dicek or Beckett's pitching well will be the key to the season
    21.Ellsbury should hit 9th to turn the lineup over better & Ped Youk & AGon 2-4
    22.Ellsbury has an ugly reverse pivot swing and needs to slap hit under the gun
    23.AGon isn't fully recovered but is a natural hitter with a terrific swing
    24.Team will have no problem scoring enough runs to win the division
    25.The team needed a solid catcher combination and better pitching and Crawford didn't address a single 2011 team need
    26.Luchino needs to shorten the leash on Epstein and make some immediate adjustments
     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from harness. Show harness's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II:
    [QUOTE]I have a multi-part question: How long is the leash on Salty? (from either a defensive or offensive standpoint). What's plan B?  Do the Sox increase Varitek's playing time?  Do they go out and try to acquire a veteren catcher?  Do they consider looking internally if there's a catcher that's MLB ready?  Lavarnway?  Exposito?
    Posted by SoxPatsCelts1988[/QUOTE]

    There's a term -a very dangerous term - used in horse racing referred to as 

    Bridge  Burning

    This adequately describes Theo's gamble with Salty.


    Moon; You'd have been better off spending the weekend helping me with my taxes than seeing that debacle.
     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from Natick-Ned. Show Natick-Ned's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    I prefer the easy answer. The two pitchers lacked control, didn't have their best stuff, and the Texas hitters are hot.
     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Some year and 3 days and spring training ssessments after a weekend embarrassment:

    1. Lackey is a bust in year 2 of a 5 year ball and chain contract
    2. Salty is a Ranger castoff for a reason
    3. Despite the solo shots, Buch looked good in the high winds
    4. Papelbon is still a very good relief pitcher, even if he isn't 2007 dominant
    5. Lester started slow but will still have another solid year
    6. 2011 Jacked-up opening series Rangers are inferior to 2010 Rangers
    7. Pedroia looks fully recovered
    8. Youk isn't fully recovered but is on the road to full recovery
    9. Ortiz looks confident, even against commercial lefthanded pitching
    10.Reyes has decent lefty specialty stuff
    11.Aceves should replace Wakefield
    12.Crawford has no business hitting 3rd and shoud leadoff and just get on base
    13.Scutaro and Lowrie are 2nd basemen, Iglesias should start by the summer
    14.Wheeler is going to do a good job in the middle of the pen
    15.Ellsbury is a weak defensive CF'er who can't run with a quiet upper body 16.Cameron looks very smooth in the OF
    17.Cameron should start when Drew sits against Lefties, Not Mac
    18.Mac, Scutaro or Lowrie should pinch late for catcher in minus 1-3 R
    19.Trade for or call-up a veteran but fit decent overall catcher to replace Salty
    20.Either Dicek or Beckett's pitching well will be the key to the season
    21.Ellsbury should hit 9th to turn the lineup over better & Ped Youk & AGon 2-4
    22.Ellsbury has an ugly reverse pivot swing and needs to slap hit under the gun
    23.AGon isn't fully recovered but is a natural hitter with a terrific swing
    24.Team will have no problem scoring enough runs to win the division
    25.The team needed a solid catcher combination and better pitching and Crawford didn't address a single 2011 team need
    26.Luchino needs to shorten the leash on Epstein and make some immediate adjustments

    harness, you were right all along. This is softy. It's funny how he has slammed this thread and me, and now goes under cover to post here.

    The clown exposed.

    It must be killing him not to be able to call me "Mo".

     
  22. You have chosen to ignore posts from antibody. Show antibody's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    bump
     
  23. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Anybody worried about how anemic the offense has looked against lefty starters so far?

    No.

    I was worried long before the season began. I was worred lst year when Tito not only kept Papi in the line-up vs most LHPs, but he batted him 5th. I became more worried after the Crawford signing. I knew Tito would keep thepoor hitters vs LHPs up high in the line-up.

    I was not surpised by the results, but I am not going to make any judgements based on a 3 game series.

    I will repeat my basic position:
      We have serious issues vs LHPs and should do everything we can to help put ourselves in a better position to score runs versus them. That includes:
    1) Getting Cameron, Lowrie and VTek in as many games as reasonable vs LHPs, especially ones that Papi, Drew, Crawford, Slty and Scutaro struggle against.
    2) Adjust the line-up to put the better hitters up earlier.
    3) Put your best overall hitters up 3rd and 4th (relying on L/R splits heavily).
    4) Break the paradigms, such as the hard-line L-R-L etched in stone philosophy, or at least don't count Ellsbury as a lefty or Pedey as a righty, they both hit the "wrong side" better that or equal to the "right side".

     
  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from Boomerangsdotcom. Show Boomerangsdotcom's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    Time for Beckett to start cleaning up this mess! We are due to breakout! 

    We are going to hit. That alone should bludgeon some teams into submission.
     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from Hfxsoxnut. Show Hfxsoxnut's posts

    Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II

    In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part II:
    [QUOTE]Anybody worried about how anemic the offense has looked against lefty starters so far? I mean, if you take out the two runs they got in the opener because of the bad error in RF, they would have only scored 3 runs in the two games off of lefty starters. Think the Yanks will be trying to add a lefty?
    Posted by SmileyBabe[/QUOTE]

    Didn't they already try?
     
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