Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part III
posted at 9/12/2011 5:32 AM EDT
In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part III
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part III : Nobody denies this, nobody wants the Sox to lose... but from afar you would have to give the nod to others. If I were to list in order of likelihood which team wins the WS in 2011: Philly Milwaukee Texas New York Boston Detroit Atlanta Arizona If it comes down to a slugging match I think Detroit lacks the punch, I am being bold with Milwaukee, and I want to throw up even putting New York ahead of Boston. However I think if the New Yorks starters turn it around they are technically better than the Sox starters at this point. The Red Sox pitching is what it is, and with Youk struggling and AGon not mashing consistently enough our great offense is not gonan get it done. Still see even in Tampa Crawford can't get it going and continues to be burried in the line-up.
Posted by BurritoT[/QUOTE]
You said the RedSox have a small chance (of playing in WS).
Depending on UR definition of small
, each team entering the PO's
has the same statistical chance of getting to the series. Whether they do or not depends on many factors.If
the pitching gets healthy Boston's chances increase.
Judging from personal, I'd say the Phillies have the best chance in the N.L.
to reach the WS. Boston has a 25% chance right off the bat.
If they play the Tigers (something you obviously can't grasp, as winning the division may forgo that opportunity), their chances are better because they match up well with the Tigers. Beating them favors Boston if they get access to Beckett/Lester/Bedard healthy and in good enough form.I noticed on UR list, you put Boson ahead of the Detroit
The team pulled Josh/Bedard out of the rotation to get them as physically ready as possible. Their return might now be hastened. This could affect their future availability. The team is walking a fine line in that regard.If
Boston goes into the first round with pitching intact and they face the Tigers
, they could be seen as a 50% choice to reach the WS. Hardly a small chance.
Try looking beyond the present and weighing it out with a little faith.