Re: A Realistic Look at 2011: Part III
posted at 7/22/2011 10:32 AM EDT
Moon and Harness...we can agree to disagree and it's ok right!
To me, I wouldn't touch Franceour with a 10 foot poll. He's not our kind of guy!
I'm not thrilled about him, but he would be cheap and does well vs LHPs. He'd be just a role player here.
At this point, I'm running with Reddick the rest of this year unless he really tanks in over 100 AB. So far he has been saving this team over the last 20 games, keeping us in first just like Drew did a couple years ago. Do I think he puts up the numbers Drew did 3 years ago? No, but at least he will swing once in a while when men are on base and that's what I want from a #6 or 7 hitter. He's going to contribute good OPS and he can definitely field RF for us. His overall contributions should be acceptable for a guy making mlb minimum.
I am loving what Josh is doing, but you have to wonder if this is not just a hot streak. This kid has never hit like this at any level of baseball. He was at about .225 in BAbip before this year. Now, he's at an usustainable .409! I do not trust DMac as our right-handed alternative, and also think we need 2 bats ve LHPs in the OF: one for RF and one for LF (CC stinks vs lefties).
I can't believe I'm saying this, as Reyes is so injury prone lately, but why the Mets would save him is beyond me. I don't believe their comment that he will stay a Met. If I were Theo I'd have to consider Reyes for SS. That looks like our weakness now and I think it will be next year as well. There is not that much available for SS in FA next winter so he might be target A anyway next winter. Reyes is a gamble but if he can say on the field....WoW! It changes a lot of things for the better on this team. Maybe the Mets just want too much for him though. I don't think they are in that great a position though in that regard.
I can see your point. This guy can just plain hit, but what I like is that he is a decent fielder too. The injury thing is too scary for a longtime deal.
Do the Mets have the money to retain him next year? He's a near definite type A I would think but the Mets are broke. Would they make a statement and make him a foundational player going forward? We are probably talking Carl Crawford type money to retain him next winter. Is he worth that much too us? Especially given our situation near the luxury tax limit?
Not sure about the Met's finances going forward.
Would it maybe make sense to let Papi, Drew, Papelbon and maybe a few others like Scutaro go and spend some of our cash for Jose Reyes? Have Lavarnway step in for Papi, Bard for Papelbon, Reddick for Drew. I think we could make a strong case in that regard. Is he worth a Ranaudo, Kalish, Doubront type deal if we can extend him? I would think so, but we might be able to get him for less if the Mets think they have no ability to retain him financially next year. Or we could just wait and bid for him next Winter with the Yanks basically out of it.
I can't see sacrificing all the youth and then sacrificing Papi and Paps just so we can afford a guy that could be hurt for 3 out of the 5 years he is signed for.
But then again, the Mets know that also. It shouldn't take a huge haul to move him off the Mets roster. He is probably gone next winter anyway. They might be bluffing. We should find out.
Theo loves hitting SSs, so...
I don't think a SP is going to be available at a good value. Maybe a LH reliever makes sense ( can't we trade Okajima to some NL team for God's sake! ).
I'm not convinced we need a lefty specialist. Guys like Bard and others do very well ve lefties. Some righties we have even done better vs lefties.
katz, well said. Am I sensing a slight change in your stance on CC's deal crippling us in the future? I know we had this argument earlier, and I do not want to use his poor performance thus far this year to make any definitive judgements, but $142M is what it is. It will prevent Theo from taking a gamble on future deals like Reyes or a great RF'er or another top flight starter or even keeping both Papi & Papelbon and having enough to fill other needs as they arise.