Re: A Realistic look at 2012: Part I
posted at 10/24/2011 1:13 PM EDT
I'm glad you responded also Moon. I wanted to ask you but was distracted. To me, it is a very tough call regarding Kalish/Reddick. We will see what happens. I think Reddick's arm makes the difference but I bet more people here would project Kalish. It depends in part on ST. Kalish has more long term upside maybe. He's potentially a very exciting player with a lot of speed and solid pop also. The thing about Reddick that I think gets missed is that he is very streaky. He wasn't necessarily exposed late season. He might just have stopped being hot. He can have some torrid hot streaks though, as he showed earlier in the year.
My gut tells me Reddick is not for real. My gut has been wrong before, so I still hold our hope.
With a catcher in Lavarnway's situation I do think he is more likely to start in Pawtucket, as that is conventioanl wisdom, as I alluded to above, but I wish they would just put him in the majors now. I think he can help us in 2012 at the ML level right from the start.
Both are probably true: he can help us from day 1, but he'd be better served in AAA to start the year catching everyday. In the long run, it might be helpful for the Sox as well.
I think having a chance to mainly just focus on hitting in the majors at first might actually help Lavarnway's development. I have no problem keeping Tek but I'd rather take the pick and use Lavarnway as the backup catcher. Maybe getting the same reps at catcher that Tek got. That is the situation Lavarnway is used to and he has shown good defensive development following that approach already. Plus it keeps him fresh and producing in the lineup. I really think this guy is going to hit at the ML level. He will be potentially one of the top hitting catchers in the league year one according to his minor league data. We will see. Who knows but I see zero reason to be negative on him as a hitter, like harness.
I think he will be a very good hitter too, but nothing is certain. many great AAA hitters turn into busts.
No, I do not like Aviles as our SS. To me, he is a safety valve. We got him for Navarro right? I'm assuming mainly for the Royals to save a little cash as he was running out of options ( or had already run out maybe ). I'd be extremely surprised if he is our starting SS next year baring major injury to someone.
He was a salary dump, not a skills dump. The guy is a better fielder than Scutaro, and may hit better next year.