Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/15/2012 12:17 PM EST

- Critter23
- Posts: 903
- First: 2/13/2009
- Last: 5/23/2013
This morning I saw some numbers for Ross at Atlanta--their winning % when he was catching. Wow, he looks like your kind of catcher, Moon. Boom, nice to see you back. What do we want from Pittsburgh?
It's great to think about the potential of young players, we'd love Lava to become a great catcher and hitter. But right now I think anyone should be available to trade to improve pitching or for a long term franchise player. The RS have traded quality catchers before and kept the ship steady. He hasn't really proved himself yet. So I wouldn't care which one they trade.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/15/2012 12:19 PM EST

- Critter23
- Posts: 903
- First: 2/13/2009
- Last: 5/23/2013
PS. And they've got another catcher coming...
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/15/2012 1:09 PM EST

- toccooa
- Posts: 742
- First: 7/22/2009
- Last: 11/16/2012
Salty's on the verge of becoming a FA and his "upside" isn't very "upside" in terms of cost or catcher performance. Now that 3 million a year plus for 6 million plus total has been guaranteed to a lifetime backup catcher who never made even half that yearly amount, it couldn't be more obvious that Salty arbitration costs need to be traded. Lavarnway hasn't played enough MLB to know where his MLB production talent ends up.
Whatever Salty's trade value will be less during the 2013 season. Should they decide to bring him back because of emergency injury, he or someone similar will cost less than what's netted by trading Salty and his 2012 HR total, now.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/15/2012 1:51 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to toccooa's comment:
Salty's on the verge of becoming a FA and his "upside" isn't very "upside" in terms of cost or catcher performance. Now that 3 million a year plus for 6 million plus total has been guaranteed to a lifetime backup catcher who never made even half that yearly amount, it couldn't be more obvious that Salty arbitration costs need to be traded. Lavarnway hasn't played enough MLB to know where his MLB production talent ends up.
Whatever Salty's trade value will be less during the 2013 season. Should they decide to bring him back because of emergency injury, he or someone similar will cost less than what's netted by trading Salty and his 2012 HR total, now.
I agree, and I think Salty will be traded- not Lava. Salty's stock is way higher than when Theo traded for him.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/16/2012 1:17 AM EST

- southpaw777
- Posts: 8274
- First: 4/2/2011
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to toccooa's comment:
Salty's on the verge of becoming a FA and his "upside" isn't very "upside" in terms of cost or catcher performance. Now that 3 million a year plus for 6 million plus total has been guaranteed to a lifetime backup catcher who never made even half that yearly amount, it couldn't be more obvious that Salty arbitration costs need to be traded. Lavarnway hasn't played enough MLB to know where his MLB production talent ends up.
Whatever Salty's trade value will be less during the 2013 season. Should they decide to bring him back because of emergency injury, he or someone similar will cost less than what's netted by trading Salty and his 2012 HR total, now.
I agree, and I think Salty will be traded- not Lava. Salty's stock is way higher than when Theo traded for him.
agree, but Lav has more overall value right now and would net them more of a return.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/16/2012 8:44 AM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to toccooa's comment:
Salty's on the verge of becoming a FA and his "upside" isn't very "upside" in terms of cost or catcher performance. Now that 3 million a year plus for 6 million plus total has been guaranteed to a lifetime backup catcher who never made even half that yearly amount, it couldn't be more obvious that Salty arbitration costs need to be traded. Lavarnway hasn't played enough MLB to know where his MLB production talent ends up.
Whatever Salty's trade value will be less during the 2013 season. Should they decide to bring him back because of emergency injury, he or someone similar will cost less than what's netted by trading Salty and his 2012 HR total, now.
I agree, and I think Salty will be traded- not Lava. Salty's stock is way higher than when Theo traded for him.
agree, but Lav has more overall value right now and would net them more of a return.
I agree, but I guess it all depends on how much Ben likes lava and if he sees him as our longterm catching (or other position) solution. If not, Lava will be dealt, and Salty may even be extended.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/16/2012 12:14 PM EST

- southpaw777
- Posts: 8274
- First: 4/2/2011
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to toccooa's comment:
Salty's on the verge of becoming a FA and his "upside" isn't very "upside" in terms of cost or catcher performance. Now that 3 million a year plus for 6 million plus total has been guaranteed to a lifetime backup catcher who never made even half that yearly amount, it couldn't be more obvious that Salty arbitration costs need to be traded. Lavarnway hasn't played enough MLB to know where his MLB production talent ends up.
Whatever Salty's trade value will be less during the 2013 season. Should they decide to bring him back because of emergency injury, he or someone similar will cost less than what's netted by trading Salty and his 2012 HR total, now.
I agree, and I think Salty will be traded- not Lava. Salty's stock is way higher than when Theo traded for him.
agree, but Lav has more overall value right now and would net them more of a return.
I agree, but I guess it all depends on how much Ben likes lava and if he sees him as our longterm catching (or other position) solution. If not, Lava will be dealt, and Salty may even be extended.
Now that Ross passed his physical we could see their names involved in trade rumors. Maybe he'll keep Salty and send Lav back to AAA for more defensive work. At this point anything is possible...
I cant say enough how much I liked the Ross signing. Hes a true leader and a great game caller. I can see him managing a MLB team someday.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/16/2012 2:05 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
I still say we have too many needs to keep 3 catchers of value.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/16/2012 2:08 PM EST

- southpaw777
- Posts: 8274
- First: 4/2/2011
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to moonslav59's comment:
I still say we have too many needs to keep 3 catchers of value.
I agree, but i can dream :)
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/16/2012 11:42 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
I'm dreaming too...
...of getting some value for one of our catchers at a position of higher need.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/18/2012 12:34 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
Updated:
Players signed for 2013 (and beyond): We have only 7.
Lackey $15.25M ($15.25M in 2014 & min wage in 2015)
Papi $14M (plus $1M bonus & $11M for 2014)
Lester $11.625M ($13M in 2014 club option w/ $0.25M buyout)
Pedroia $10M ($10.25M in 2014, $11M club option in 2015 w/ $0.5M buyout)
Buchholtz $5.5M ($7.7M in '14, $12M in '15, $13M/$13.5M option in '16 & '17)
D. Ross $3.1M ($3.1M in '14)
Iglesias $2.063M (Then arb)
~$63M in signed players.
Players with arbitration years remaining:
Player (2012 salary) Arb year(s) Est. 2013 salary
Ellsbury ($8.05M) 3 of 3 $8-10M
A Bailey ($3.9M) 2 of 3 $3-5M
Saltalmacchia ($2.5M) 3 of 3 $5-7M
C Breslow ($1.795M) 3 of 3 $3-4M
R Sweeney ($1.75M) 3 of 3 $2-3M
D. Bard ($1.613M) 2 of 4 $1.7-2M
A Aceves ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
M Aviles ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
A Miller ($1.04M) 2 of 3 $2-3M
F Morales ($850K) 2 of 3 $2-3M
Rich Hill ($725M) 3 of 3 $.8M-1M
Total Est: $35M to $ 45M
That puts our budget at about $100M, not counting pre-arb contracts and any players we will acquire.
Pre-arb players (on 40 man roster):
Middlebrooks
de la Rosa
Doubront
Lavarnway
Ciriaco
Tazawa
Mortensen
Gomez
Sands
Nava
Kalish
Atchison
Beato
Melancon
Stewart
DeJesus
Valencia
Carpenter
Britton
Pimental
Rosario
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/18/2012 12:50 PM EST

- southpaw777
- Posts: 8274
- First: 4/2/2011
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to moonslav59's comment:
Updated:
Players signed for 2013 (and beyond): We have only 7.
Lackey $15.25M ($15.25M in 2014 & min wage in 2015)
Papi $14M (plus $1M bonus & $11M for 2014)
Lester $11.625M ($13M in 2014 club option w/ $0.25M buyout)
Pedroia $10M ($10.25M in 2014, $11M club option in 2015 w/ $0.5M buyout)
Buchholtz $5.5M ($7.7M in '14, $12M in '15, $13M/$13.5M option in '16 & '17)
D. Ross $3.1M ($3.1M in '14)
Iglesias $2.063M (Then arb)
~$63M in signed players.
Players with arbitration years remaining:
Player (2012 salary) Arb year(s) Est. 2013 salary
Ellsbury ($8.05M) 3 of 3 $8-10M
A Bailey ($3.9M) 2 of 3 $3-5M
Saltalmacchia ($2.5M) 3 of 3 $5-7M
C Breslow ($1.795M) 3 of 3 $3-4M
R Sweeney ($1.75M) 3 of 3 $2-3M
D. Bard ($1.613M) 2 of 4 $1.7-2M
A Aceves ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
M Aviles ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
A Miller ($1.04M) 2 of 3 $2-3M
F Morales ($850K) 2 of 3 $2-3M
Rich Hill ($725M) 3 of 3 $.8M-1M
Total Est: $35M to $ 45M
That puts our budget at about $100M, not counting pre-arb contracts and any players we will acquire.
Pre-arb players (on 40 man roster):
Middlebrooks
de la Rosa
Doubront
Lavarnway
Ciriaco
Tazawa
Mortensen
Gomez
Sands
Nava
Kalish
Atchison
Beato
Melancon
Stewart
DeJesus
Valencia
Carpenter
Britton
Pimental
Rosario
We could realistically spend 40-50M and still have leftovers for the trade deadline in July.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/18/2012 1:36 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
Updated:
Players signed for 2013 (and beyond): We have only 7.
Lackey $15.25M ($15.25M in 2014 & min wage in 2015)
Papi $14M (plus $1M bonus & $11M for 2014)
Lester $11.625M ($13M in 2014 club option w/ $0.25M buyout)
Pedroia $10M ($10.25M in 2014, $11M club option in 2015 w/ $0.5M buyout)
Buchholtz $5.5M ($7.7M in '14, $12M in '15, $13M/$13.5M option in '16 & '17)
D. Ross $3.1M ($3.1M in '14)
Iglesias $2.063M (Then arb)
~$63M in signed players.
Players with arbitration years remaining:
Player (2012 salary) Arb year(s) Est. 2013 salary
Ellsbury ($8.05M) 3 of 3 $8-10M
A Bailey ($3.9M) 2 of 3 $3-5M
Saltalmacchia ($2.5M) 3 of 3 $5-7M
C Breslow ($1.795M) 3 of 3 $3-4M
R Sweeney ($1.75M) 3 of 3 $2-3M
D. Bard ($1.613M) 2 of 4 $1.7-2M
A Aceves ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
M Aviles ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
A Miller ($1.04M) 2 of 3 $2-3M
F Morales ($850K) 2 of 3 $2-3M
Rich Hill ($725M) 3 of 3 $.8M-1M
Total Est: $35M to $ 45M
That puts our budget at about $100M, not counting pre-arb contracts and any players we will acquire.
Pre-arb players (on 40 man roster):
Middlebrooks
de la Rosa
Doubront
Lavarnway
Ciriaco
Tazawa
Mortensen
Gomez
Sands
Nava
Kalish
Atchison
Beato
Melancon
Stewart
DeJesus
Valencia
Carpenter
Britton
Pimental
Rosario
We could realistically spend 40-50M and still have leftovers for the trade deadline in July.
We could spend $60M and still have enough to spend at the break, but I doubt we do.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 1:47 AM EST
In response to moonslav59's comment:
I'm dreaming too...
...of getting some value for one of our catchers at a position of higher need.
If this were facebook I'd be pushing the like button right now!
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 1:48 AM EST
Is the catching position messed up or what. God knows what will happen. As much as I like Lavarnway, the bumbers last fall were TERRIBLE. Offensively and defensively.
But I am a man of faith!
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 2:16 AM EST

- southpaw777
- Posts: 8274
- First: 4/2/2011
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
Updated:
Players signed for 2013 (and beyond): We have only 7.
Lackey $15.25M ($15.25M in 2014 & min wage in 2015)
Papi $14M (plus $1M bonus & $11M for 2014)
Lester $11.625M ($13M in 2014 club option w/ $0.25M buyout)
Pedroia $10M ($10.25M in 2014, $11M club option in 2015 w/ $0.5M buyout)
Buchholtz $5.5M ($7.7M in '14, $12M in '15, $13M/$13.5M option in '16 & '17)
D. Ross $3.1M ($3.1M in '14)
Iglesias $2.063M (Then arb)
~$63M in signed players.
Players with arbitration years remaining:
Player (2012 salary) Arb year(s) Est. 2013 salary
Ellsbury ($8.05M) 3 of 3 $8-10M
A Bailey ($3.9M) 2 of 3 $3-5M
Saltalmacchia ($2.5M) 3 of 3 $5-7M
C Breslow ($1.795M) 3 of 3 $3-4M
R Sweeney ($1.75M) 3 of 3 $2-3M
D. Bard ($1.613M) 2 of 4 $1.7-2M
A Aceves ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
M Aviles ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
A Miller ($1.04M) 2 of 3 $2-3M
F Morales ($850K) 2 of 3 $2-3M
Rich Hill ($725M) 3 of 3 $.8M-1M
Total Est: $35M to $ 45M
That puts our budget at about $100M, not counting pre-arb contracts and any players we will acquire.
Pre-arb players (on 40 man roster):
Middlebrooks
de la Rosa
Doubront
Lavarnway
Ciriaco
Tazawa
Mortensen
Gomez
Sands
Nava
Kalish
Atchison
Beato
Melancon
Stewart
DeJesus
Valencia
Carpenter
Britton
Pimental
Rosario
We could realistically spend 40-50M and still have leftovers for the trade deadline in July.
We could spend $60M and still have enough to spend at the break, but I doubt we do.
Got an email from expitch today. Just finished his book and is doing well.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 9:14 AM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
Updated:
Players signed for 2013 (and beyond): We have only 7.
Lackey $15.25M ($15.25M in 2014 & min wage in 2015)
Papi $14M (plus $1M bonus & $11M for 2014)
Lester $11.625M ($13M in 2014 club option w/ $0.25M buyout)
Pedroia $10M ($10.25M in 2014, $11M club option in 2015 w/ $0.5M buyout)
Buchholtz $5.5M ($7.7M in '14, $12M in '15, $13M/$13.5M option in '16 & '17)
D. Ross $3.1M ($3.1M in '14)
Iglesias $2.063M (Then arb)
~$63M in signed players.
Players with arbitration years remaining:
Player (2012 salary) Arb year(s) Est. 2013 salary
Ellsbury ($8.05M) 3 of 3 $8-10M
A Bailey ($3.9M) 2 of 3 $3-5M
Saltalmacchia ($2.5M) 3 of 3 $5-7M
C Breslow ($1.795M) 3 of 3 $3-4M
R Sweeney ($1.75M) 3 of 3 $2-3M
D. Bard ($1.613M) 2 of 4 $1.7-2M
A Aceves ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
M Aviles ($1.2M) 2 of 3 $2-4M
A Miller ($1.04M) 2 of 3 $2-3M
F Morales ($850K) 2 of 3 $2-3M
Rich Hill ($725M) 3 of 3 $.8M-1M
Total Est: $35M to $ 45M
That puts our budget at about $100M, not counting pre-arb contracts and any players we will acquire.
Pre-arb players (on 40 man roster):
Middlebrooks
de la Rosa
Doubront
Lavarnway
Ciriaco
Tazawa
Mortensen
Gomez
Sands
Nava
Kalish
Atchison
Beato
Melancon
Stewart
DeJesus
Valencia
Carpenter
Britton
Pimental
Rosario
We could realistically spend 40-50M and still have leftovers for the trade deadline in July.
We could spend $60M and still have enough to spend at the break, but I doubt we do.
Got an email from expitch today. Just finished his book and is doing well.
I hope he returns here soon.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 9:18 AM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:
Is the catching position messed up or what. God knows what will happen. As much as I like Lavarnway, the bumbers last fall were TERRIBLE. Offensively and defensively.
But I am a man of faith!
Although our Catcher OPS slipped at the end of the year by playing Lava, we still ended up at 17th (.690). We have greater weaknesses than #17 out of 30.... like almost last in SP'ing, lower LF, lower RF, lower CF, lower SS...
We were 4th in Catcher HRs (32).
10th in C SLG% (.411).
13th in Catcher RBI (88).
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 2:24 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
We end the 2013 season like this...
Tue, 9/17
Orioles TBD
MLB.TV Wed, 9/18
Orioles TBD
MLB.TV Thu, 9/19
Orioles TBD
MLB.TV Fri, 9/20
Blue Jays TBD
MLB.TV Sat, 9/21
Blue Jays TBD
MLB.TV Sun, 9/22
Blue Jays TBD
MLB.TV Tue, 9/24
at Rockies 8:40p
MLB.TV Wed, 9/25
at Rockies 8:40p
MLB.TV Fri, 9/27
at Orioles TBD
MLB.TV Sat, 9/28
at Orioles TBD
MLB.TV Sun, 9/29
at Orioles TBD
MLB.TV
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 2:33 PM EST

- TitleTown11
- Posts: 793
- First: 8/30/2012
- Last: 4/26/2013
For real? A 2 game series against the Rockies (in Colorado) in September??
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/19/2012 2:37 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
With 15 teams in each league now, there has to be an interleague series going on all the time.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/20/2012 9:00 AM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
We play 10 games in NL parks, but they are spread out pretty well, so playing Papi at 1B those games should not be as big an issue as playing AGon in RF was.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/20/2012 10:23 AM EST

- hill55
- Posts: 7699
- First: 1/14/2006
- Last: 5/24/2013
Ben Nicholson-Smith at MLB Trade Rumors offers his offseason outlook for the Red Sox:
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2012/11/offseason-outlook-boston-red-sox.html
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/20/2012 1:47 PM EST

- moonslav59
- Posts: 34524
- First: 9/27/2005
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to hill55's comment:
I don't think I liked any ideas (and there were many) in this article.
Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 11/21/2012 1:47 AM EST

- southpaw777
- Posts: 8274
- First: 4/2/2011
- Last: 5/24/2013
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to hill55's comment:
I don't think I liked any ideas (and there were many) in this article.
I think it was just some possibilities rather than the writers actual ideas...Im not too thrilled with the possible FA options either way...