Re: A Realistic Look At 2013: Part I
posted at 12/6/2012 5:21 PM EST
I also haven't been posting much, but I have been following along. I agree with the notion that our biggest improvement in 2013 will come from a return to health of under-performers like Petey, Ells, Lackey, and Ortiz. I don't think Petey and Ortiz under-performed as much as their injuries prevented them from delivering the numbers we expect from them. We should also not discount the production we were getting, then stopped getting from Middlebrooks. I also think we will get a lift from John Farrell managing Lester and Buch, not to mention Bard and Aceves. I believe we should keep Ellsbury and see if we can get that monster "contract" year from him, and if we do get that production, we try to resign or cash in the draft pick. I think trading him now will be selling too low. I don't understand what the aquisitions mean to Kalish, whether the team is giving up on him or that Ellsbury is really earmarked for trade, but I like his (Kalish) game and think that he can be at least as good as Victorino at a fraction of the cost. That being said, I always liked Victorino's game, good speed, good glove, and I think his average and OBP will improve in Fenway, especially hitting later in the lineup. I never liked Cody Ross in right field at Fenway, although his overall game would be a big improvement over Gomes in left. I do believe that Ben is bringing these guys in to not just change the clubhouse dynamic, but also to bridge the gap before our future stars are ready.
I am sure there are several more shoes to drop. The guy who I have always liked is McCarthy and I would love to see Ben take a flyer on him. I am not excited about any of the other free agent pitchers, but I think a rotation of Lester, Buch, McCarthy, Lackey and Doubie, with the input of the new coaching staff, can be solid. And there are a few young arms in the wings, the two from the L.A. trade, Tazawa, and Morales. Ben Signed a very solid RHRP today in Uhera (sp?) and if the Bard and Aceves mysteries can be even partially solved then our bullpen will be very solid. I haven't seen or heard anyone speaking about the impact on our pitching of having great defense up the middle. All healthy, Ross catching, Iglesias, Petey and Ells will make our entire staff more effective than they were last year.
Of course, since I've posted all of this watch Ben go out and sign Hamilton and Greinke, trade Ellsbury and continue the makeover that way. I like my plan better, and if it fails then you can move Ells, Lester and even some of the new aquisitions at the deadline and start rebuilding it all again next year. The kids will all be that much closer as well.