In response to southpaw777's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to hill55's comment:
One word: regression.
More words: Solid seasons from John Lackey and Ryan Dempster are not out of the question.
Of course they are not out of the question. I know we got potential, but I've been hearing "what ifs" for too long now.
"What if Beckett, Lester and Buchholtz stay healthy and pitch well this year..."
"What if Bard becomes as great a starter as he was a set-up man?"
"What if Dice-K is allowed to do his own thing?"
"What if this is a typical odd year for Beckett?"
I'm sorry, but I do not see anything to get more excited about this year than the last few years.
Sure, Lackey and Dempster should do better than Cook, Dice-K and Bard, but we need them to be better than Beckett in 2011 as well.
We need lester to be better.
We need Buch to be better.
Doubront to be better.
Or at least 4-5 of these prayers to all come true at the same time.
If Beckett, Lester and Buch could never put it all together for a full season, I don't see why we should suddenly feel all warm and fuzzy about Lester, Buch, Dempster and Lackey.
I'd like nothing better for it all to happen. I'll be tickled pink to come on this site and apologize to everyone. I guess I'd rather do that than come back like I have the past few years and explain why my projected 95+ win seasons didn't materialize. I've been labelled an optimist for years, although I thought I was being objective and realistic.
I thought we needed pitching every winter since 2007 (and even before), but I still projected 95+ win seasons for several seasons now. The one year, I wake up and smell the coffee, I'm getting called a "pessimist" (not by you).
I dont think your a pessimist Moon. Like all the years before, your just stating what you think and feel about our chances. Just because your outlook isnt as optimistic as it usually is doesnt mean your a pessimist.
I think some posters here are so used to the glass half full side of you and now that its not very positive, albeit still realistic, theyre thrown off a bit. I may not agree with a lot of your viewpoints lately, but still have the same amount of respect for your posts, research and thoughts on anything baseball.
Personally, I look at the comment of trading Lester for Myers and paying Sanchez an ungodly amount of money to fill his spot and can only think of one question. Do you believe that Sanchez is better than Lester now and going forward? Why not extend Lester with some of that money?
I think Lester and Sanchez are close. Assuming they both would cost the same for 5 years, I'd probably go with Lester, but it's very very close.
The real comparison is Lester vs Sanchez & Myers, and the latter is no-brainer.
Ther's a chance I may change my outlook on 2013. We certainly look better than last September's team, but there was such a long way to go that nothing short of a miracle or an all out spending spree would have made us serious contenders in 2013. Maybe we look at the word "serious" differently. We do have a chance. I'm not as upset about what we did for 2013: it's more about what we didn't do for 2014 and beyond.
Well hopefully some of these prospects will change your mind on 2014...We'll have to wait and see if it was worth protecting them.