A Realistic View at 2013: Part II
posted at 1/31/2013 10:19 PM EST
The Sox roster is probably pretty close to set. Some questions remain about who might be the 24th or 25th man on opening day, and who might not be on the 40 man roster by opening day, but the team we see now, is likely the one we start the year with.
There has been a lot of debate over the direction the Sox took this winter. Many are happy we did not trade away any of our top prospects. Many are happy we did not sign any long term deals during a weak Free Agent class year. Many are looking forward to the prospects working their way to the big club as some of our older player's salaries expire. The future looks bright. Not many deny this. The biggest debate was over the FA choices made for 2013 and the lack of FA choices that might help us beyond 2014. I guess that debate may continue right through the summer, but there should be much to discuss from now until October.
Let's try and keep this thread all about baseball and somewhat related to the Sox. If you feel the need to rant about politics or the personal habits of other posters, take it outside... PLEASE!
Spring training is just around the corner!
Here's a look at the 40 man roster and average salaries of all our players. (Please correct me if I got something wrong.)
2013 PAYROLL (LUXURY TAX THRESHOLD: $178 MILLION)
Guaranteed deals (Salary listed is the average contract salary per year)
John Lackey, $16.5 million
Ryan Dempster, $13.25 million
David Ortiz, $13 million
Mike Napoli, $5 million
Shane Victorino, $13 million
Stephen Drew, $9.5 million
Clay Buchholz, $7.4 million
Joel Hanrahan $7.04 million
Dustin Pedroia, $6.80 million
Jon Lester, $6 million
Jonny Gomes, $5 million
Koji Uehara, $4.25 million
David Ross, $3.1 million
Jose Iglesias, $2.1 million
TOTAL GUARANTEED: APPROX $112 MILLION
Arbitration and Pre-Hearing Signings
Jacoby Ellsbury $9.0M
Jarrod Saltalamacchia $4.5M
Andrew Bailey $4.1M
Alfredo Aceves $2.65M
Craig Breslow $3.125M
Andrew Miller $1.475
Daniel Bard $1.8625
Franklin Morales $1.4875
APPROXIMATELY ~$28.2 MILLION
Total to this point: $140M
Junichi Tazawa, Felix Doubront, Ryan Kalish (DL), Daniel Nava, Will Middlebrooks, Clayton Mortensen, Pedro Ciriaco, Rubby de la Rosa, Drake Britton, Dan Butler, Chris Carpenter, Mauro Gomez, Alex Hassan, Brock Holt, Ryan Lavarnway, Christian Vazquez, Allen Webster, Alex Wilson, Stephen Wright
PROJECTED TOTAL: APPROXIMATELY $7 MILLION
New Total: $147M
Benefits, $10.8 million
Dodgers subsidy, $3.9 million
Total: $14.7 MILLION
ESTIMATED 2013 TOTAL COMMITMENTS: $162 MILLION
(AS MEASURED FOR LUXURY TAX PURPOSES)
I have us at about $16M below the luxury tax threshold.
If we are still in it by the deadline, we could take on some salary dumps to get us over the hump. If we are out of it by then, we may see a firesale to build up the farm and a retool in the 2014 Free Agent market.
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