Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II
posted at 2/21/2013 11:24 AM EST
In response to moonslav59's comment:
We keep going year after year with a devasted rotation due to injuries. The likelihood of a guy giving us 200 innings is a significant data point on any team, and especially ours if recent history is an example.
I think they gave more credence to that issue this year. When you crunch the numbers what would McCarthy be likely to have given us? Probably less than 100 innings as past experiences indicate. And if you have to stockpile guys like that to get one 200 inning guy you have roster issues unless those guys have options. That's why guys like De LaRosa are valuable. He's probably roughly equivalent to McCarthy in projected innings and overall numbers and he is cheaper with more upside and I bet he has an option left as well ( maybe not, I'm not sure ).
If we were serios contenders then the 200 inning lock pitcher seems worthy, but Dempster is not young.
If we accepted the fact that we aren't going anywhere too far this year, those 200 innings could have been used by McCarthy, Morales, Tazawa, de la Rosa, and even Mortensen or Webster/Wright. True, we might get worse results for 2013, but we'd have McCarthy for 2015, and the $26M to spend elsewhere.
I dont want my ownership and GM to think that way. They think we CAN go somewhere this year. Maybe not to the WS, but at least put a solid competitive team on the field...In a big market like Boston, giving up before the season even begins isnt an option. Especially considering the teams finances.
Do we really want to rely on 4+ pitchers giving us 200IP and taking away from their development( RDLR,Webster) or usefulness in the BP (Tazawa), when Dempster can give us all those innings? Its only a 2yr deal and personally I like the loose attitude and the way he goes about his business. Players like that are good for the young guys.
I agree though that I think we will see Steven Wright in a couple games this year.
With McCarthys injury history and age (30 in July), whos to know if hes even a guarantee in 2015 at age 32...So yes, Id rather give 2/26 for what Dempster brings to the table instead of McCarthy. We can agree to disagree on that.
Now, Im realistic and agree with you that a lot has to go right this year, performance and health wise. Personally, I just dont have a "pack it in" attitude before the season even starts. Anything can, and usually does happen in MLB...Id rather they put asolid effort to compete and make adjustments mid season than not compete at all and just look towards 2015 like some small market team.
If you are indeed correct Moon, I will say so and hope we can sell off some current players for players/prospects that will help us in 2014 and beyond...