A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from Hfxsoxnut. Show Hfxsoxnut's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to JohnBoy1933's comment:

     

    Four hits for Ortiz tonight as a pinch hitter. Ties a record. 



    LOL Pike.  Four hits in the same game by a pinch hitter.  Very funny.

     

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from ThefourBs. Show ThefourBs's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    [QUOTE]

     

    Call me a dummy then because I don't think the Yanks are as strong a team as the Redsox, Rays, Orioles or Toronto. They have been winning with smoke and mirrors all year. It's about time Babylon came crashing to the ground. They have made it this far mainly on pitching. When a staff is worked hard things can happen. And if anything, I think Arod will end up a liability.

     



    They get Grandy and Jete back soon. Then, it won't be smoke and mirrors.

     

    [/QUOTE]

    Jeter will be back soon.

    But, Granderson is nowhere near ready.

    http://bats.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/08/granderson-still-a-few-weeks-at-least-from-return/

     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to ThefourBs' comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    [QUOTE]

     

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

     

    [QUOTE]

     

     

    Call me a dummy then because I don't think the Yanks are as strong a team as the Redsox, Rays, Orioles or Toronto. They have been winning with smoke and mirrors all year. It's about time Babylon came crashing to the ground. They have made it this far mainly on pitching. When a staff is worked hard things can happen. And if anything, I think Arod will end up a liability.

     

     



    They get Grandy and Jete back soon. Then, it won't be smoke and mirrors.

     

     

     

    [/QUOTE]

    Jeter will be back soon.

     

    But, Granderson is nowhere near ready.

    http://bats.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/08/granderson-still-a-few-weeks-at-least-from-return/

    [/QUOTE]


    I heard late July/early August. Enough time to make a difference.

    They also get Cervelli and maybe Youk back in August.

    Jeter after the break.

    ARod? Who cares?

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from ThefourBs. Show ThefourBs's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    In response to ThefourBs' comment:

    [QUOTE]

     

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

    [QUOTE]

     

     

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

     

     

    [QUOTE]

     

     

     

    Call me a dummy then because I don't think the Yanks are as strong a team as the Redsox, Rays, Orioles or Toronto. They have been winning with smoke and mirrors all year. It's about time Babylon came crashing to the ground. They have made it this far mainly on pitching. When a staff is worked hard things can happen. And if anything, I think Arod will end up a liability.

     

     

     



    They get Grandy and Jete back soon. Then, it won't be smoke and mirrors.

     

     

     

     

     

    [/QUOTE]

    Jeter will be back soon.

     

     

    But, Granderson is nowhere near ready.

    http://bats.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/08/granderson-still-a-few-weeks-at-least-from-return/

     

    [/QUOTE]


     

    I heard late July/early August. Enough time to make a difference.

    They also get Cervelli and maybe Youk back in August.

    Jeter after the break.

    ARod? Who cares?

    [/QUOTE]


    Granderson just picked up a bat 6 days ago.

    If he's back before August 1st, three weeks from now, I'll be amazed.

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    I heard late July/early August. Enough time to make a difference.

    They also get Cervelli and maybe Youk back in August.

    Jeter after the break.

    ARod? Who cares?

     




    Granderson just picked up a bat 6 days ago.

     

    If he's back before August 1st, three weeks from now, I'll be amazed.

    OK, but even if he's back by August 15th, he can make a difference.

     

    Sox4ever

     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

     

    We will see regarding the Yanks. So far they are 6 games back of the Sox and the sox haven't been setting the world on fire lately. 

     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    Webster looks like he needs a vacation. I don't think we will see him again for a while. Let's hope Workman can help us some, and RDLR when he comes up.

    Pedroia on Iglesias: "There is no way, in life, that you have hand-eye coordination like that and you can't hit. That's impossible. You just need to use it."

     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from ThefourBs. Show ThefourBs's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    I heard late July/early August. Enough time to make a difference.

    They also get Cervelli and maybe Youk back in August.

    Jeter after the break.

    ARod? Who cares?

     




    Granderson just picked up a bat 6 days ago.

     

    If he's back before August 1st, three weeks from now, I'll be amazed.

    OK, but even if he's back by August 15th, he can make a difference.

     

    Sox4ever




    With any luck, the Yankees will be 10 back, by then.

     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from michaelsjr. Show michaelsjr's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II


    We are running out of bandaids for pitching.  Farrell said Aceves left game so soon last night not due to injury, but to strategy for next inning.  Yet, clearly, Aceves left the game wincing with pain in left arm..... supposed to be fine and due to pitch again in 2 days....  Hopefully he is, and all is well, but that is yet to be seen.  

     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from southpaw777. Show southpaw777's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to michaelsjr's comment:


    We are running out of bandaids for pitching.  Farrell said Aceves left game so soon last night not due to injury, but to strategy for next inning.  Yet, clearly, Aceves left the game wincing with pain in left arm..... supposed to be fine and due to pitch again in 2 days....  Hopefully he is, and all is well, but that is yet to be seen.  




    I thought they said he tweaked his side. Havent heard def what it was. We do have a few more internal options for the pen. But yeah, they're dropping like fies out there.

     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    There hasn't been much talk about the Rays. 

    If Price and Hellickson pitch like they did last year, watch out!

    Their offense has been surprisingly good and are just 4 runs away from 4th place in MLB in runs scored (3rd in AL).

    Sox4ever

     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    The Rays do look like contenders. Look at the Yanks run differential though. 358 runs scored. 357 runs allowed. They are lucky to still be in this at all.

    I still like Baltimore as #2. They have a ton of hitting and Feldman should help them some. They probably are not done either in terms of trades. If Bundy had not gotten hurt he would be their #2 by now. That really cost them.

     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    The Rays do look like contenders. Look at the Yanks run differential though. 358 runs scored. 357 runs allowed. They are lucky to still be in this at all.

    I still like Baltimore as #2. They have a ton of hitting and Feldman should help them some. They probably are not done either in terms of trades. If Bundy had not gotten hurt he would be their #2 by now. That really cost them.



    The Yanks will probably make a move or two at the deadline as well. I think the Rays may actually be buyers for once. I'm not that high on the O's. Feldman may be better than what they had before, but he is no savior.

     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    Going on vacation with the family. Will drop in from time to time, but not as often.

    Go Sox!

    Go AL in the allstar game! (Home field for WS!)

    Sox4ever

     
  15. You have chosen to ignore posts from michaelsjr. Show michaelsjr's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Going on vacation with the family. Will drop in from time to time, but not as often.

    Go Sox!

    Go AL in the allstar game! (Home field for WS!)

    Sox4ever




    Good for you, Moon!  Have a safe and fun vacation.

     
  16. You have chosen to ignore posts from southpaw777. Show southpaw777's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Going on vacation with the family. Will drop in from time to time, but not as often.

    Go Sox!

    Go AL in the allstar game! (Home field for WS!)

    Sox4ever




    Enjoy!! Be safe...

     
  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    Going cave exploring today north of San  Antonio, then a "wilderness safari". The Alamo and Riverwalk tomorrow, then off to Maine Tuesday.

    I'll still check in from time to time.

    Have a great summer everyone!

    Sox4ever

     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from jidgef. Show jidgef's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Going cave exploring today north of San  Antonio, then a "wilderness safari". The Alamo and Riverwalk tomorrow, then off to Maine Tuesday.

    I'll still check in from time to time.

    Have a great summer everyone!

    Sox4ever



    Do you have a date for a Sea Dogs game yet?

     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    Not yet.

    When's the best date for most of you guys?

    Thur Jul 18 7pm

    Fri Jul 19 7pm

    Sat 20th 6 pm

    Sun 21st 1pm

    Thur 25th 7pm

    Fri 26th 6pm

    Sat 27th 12 pm Futures at Fenway

    Sun 28th 1 pm

     

    Sox4ever

     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    It would be nice to see this year's Futures game. 11AM this coming Sunday, on ESPN I believe ( EST ). Bogaerts, Cechinni and Ranaudo are all involved.

     

     

    Pedroia on Iglesias: "There is no way, in life, that you have hand-eye coordination like that and you can't hit. That's impossible. You just need to use it."

     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from jidgef. Show jidgef's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Not yet.

    When's the best date for most of you guys?

    Thur Jul 18 7pm

    Fri Jul 19 7pm

    Sat 20th 6 pm

    Sun 21st 1pm

    Thur 25th 7pm

    Fri 26th 6pm

    Sat 27th 12 pm Futures at Fenway

    Sun 28th 1 pm

     

    Sox4ever



    Fri the 19th or Sat the 20th work for me. I'm three hours away with reasonable traffic, which is unreasonable in the summer in New England.

     
  22. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to jidgef's comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    [QUOTE]

     

    Not yet.

    When's the best date for most of you guys?

    Thur Jul 18 7pm

    Fri Jul 19 7pm

    Sat 20th 6 pm

    Sun 21st 1pm

    Thur 25th 7pm

    Fri 26th 6pm

    Sat 27th 12 pm Futures at Fenway

    Sun 28th 1 pm

     

    Sox4ever

     



    Fri the 19th or Sat the 20th work for me. I'm three hours away with reasonable traffic, which is unreasonable in the summer in New England.

     

    [/QUOTE]

    I'd think a Saturday game might be the best way to get as many people as possible to show up, but let's wait to see what others think.

     
  23. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    As we approach the 2/3 mark of the season, the allstar break and the trade deadline, here's a look at where our team stands in some areas of the game.

    10th in UZR/150 as a team at +3.2 (4th in the AL)

    All AL numbers...

    1st in runs scored (496)

    9th in HRs with 98.

    2nd in SBs (71- CLE has 72)

    2nd in BB% (9.6%- Oak is at 9.6%)

    5th in K rate (20.7%)

    2nd in LD% (22.3%)

    1st in OBP (.352)

    1st in SLG (.447)

    1st in OPS (.798)

    5th in OPS vs LHPs (.725)/ 3rd in OBP (.333)/8th in SLG (.392)

    1st in OPS vs RHPs (.833)/1st in OBP (.361)/1st in SLG (.472)

    1st in OPS at Home (.835)/2nd in OBP (.359)/1st in SLG (.476)

    2nd in OPS Away  (.764)/ 1st in OBP (.345)/ T3rd in SLG (.420) 1st in road runs scored

    On offense, it appears we have no major weaknesses. Our worst area seems to be vs LHPs (particularly in power).

     

    Pitching:

    5th in WAR +11.3

    7th in ERA 3.93 (but half our games in Fenway and vs tougher offensive teams)

    T6th in road ERA at 4.01

    3rd in ERA-  91

    9th in tERA 4.60

    6th in SIERA 3.76

    11th in WHIP 1.35

    6th in xFIP

     

    Starters:

    1st in ERA- 89

    2nd in ERA 3.82

    8th in WHIP 1.33

    6th in xFIP 3.91

     

    Relievers:

    9th in ERA- 97

    11th in ERA 4.16

    13th in WHIP 1.38

    5th xFIP 4.16

     

    Obviously our pen has been our biggest pitching weakness.

     

    Sox4ever

     
  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

     

    Sox offense (OPS) by position as compared to the rest of the AL:

    C- 4th at .770 (median .688) +.082

    1B- 3rd at .842 (median .759) +.083

    2B- 3rd at .826 (median .671) +.155

    3B- 7th at .735 (median .681) +.054

    SS- 2nd at .787 (median .662) +.125

    LF- 3rd at .803 (median .725) +.078

    CF- 5th at .762 (median .716) +.046

    RF- 4th at .781 (median .722) +.059

    DH- 1st at .994 (median .736) +.258

     

    Sox4ever

     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from jidgef. Show jidgef's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part II

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

     

    Sox offense (OPS) by position as compared to the rest of the AL:

    C- 4th at .770 (median .688) +.082

    1B- 3rd at .842 (median .759) +.083

    2B- 3rd at .826 (median .671) +.155

    3B- 7th at .735 (median .681) +.054

    SS- 2nd at .787 (median .662) +.125

    LF- 3rd at .803 (median .725) +.078

    CF- 5th at .762 (median .716) +.046

    RF- 4th at .781 (median .722) +.059

    DH- 1st at .994 (median .736) +.258

     

    Sox4ever

     



    Those are great stats Moon, in the top half at every position and well above the median average at every position. Third is the biggest surprise although Iggy's phenomenol start probably puts us above average there. For all the Salty and Napoli bashers this is some eye-opening info. It also points out just how outstanding our DH has been! And our middle infielders have not been too shabby either. The most important stat of all is that these all add up to a first-place team!

     

    Thanks for the research. I'm not a sabermetrics guy; not that I don't believe in them because I do, but more old-school, trust what I see kind of guy, (not to mention too lazy to do the research myself;)) but I don't thank you and a few of the others on here enough for providing all this data.

     
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