A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from ctredsoxfanhugh. Show ctredsoxfanhugh's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    I think we have to go back to Clemens, Hurst and Ojeda to find a time I felt more excitement over young pitchers and pitching prospects in our system.

    Sox4ever



    I agree....but there were some very good ones in 2004-2006

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

    I think we have to go back to Clemens, Hurst and Ojeda to find a time I felt more excitement over young pitchers and pitching prospects in our system.

    Sox4ever

     



    I agree....but there were some very good ones in 2004-2006

     



    A mighty fine group indeed.

    Here are the top pitching prospects from 2004 to 2006 listed on soxprospects.com:

    (Their top slot in the 3 per year rankings)

    Jon Lester (1)

    Abe Alvarez(3)

    J Papelbon (1)

    Manny Delcarmen (6)

    Charlie Zink (12)

    David Pauley (11)

    Cla Meredith (8)

    Craig Hansen (2)

    Anibal Sanchez (3)

    Buccholtz (2)

    Bowden (3)

    Masterson (7)

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

     

    Sox4everI know this is 2013 Part III not 2014 Part I, but I got to thinking on another thread about trading JBJ, Middlebrooks, and 2-3 pitching prospects for Stanton. Trade Lester or Lackey for prospects (maybe going to the Marlins). Then sign McCann, Drew and K Morales...

    1) Victorino CF

    2) Pedroia 2B

    3) Ortiz DH

    4) Stanton RF

    5) Morales 1B

    6) McCann C

    7) Nava/Gomes LF

    8) Drew SS

    9) Boggy 3B

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    According to soxprospects.com, these Sox propects are these many years ahead of the normal pace at their age:

    Fname Lname AAS Xander Bogaerts 4.15 Henry Owens 3.20 Manuel Margot 2.34 Yohan Aybar 2.25 Jaime Callahan 2.24 Wendell Rijo 2.23 Enfember Martinez 2.21 Nick Longhi 2.17 Heiker Meneses 2.14 Daniel McGrath 2.11 Deiner Lopez 2.01 Garin Cecchini 1.95 Joseph Monge 1.92 Mookie Betts 1.86 Jalen Williams 1.85 Dioscar Romero 1.84 Gabe Speier 1.83 Jordon Austin 1.75 Tzu-Wei Lin 1.72 Jackie Bradley 1.70 Bryan Hudson 1.66 Jose Vinicio 1.57 Michael Almanzar 1.57 Allen Webster 1.51 Teddy Stankiewicz 1.50 Alejandro Basabe 1.40 Alexander Basabe 1.40 Henry Ramos 1.39 Blake Swihart 1.35 Cody Kukuk 1.32 Drake Britton 1.29 Christian Vazquez 1.28 Raymel Flores 1.27 Keivin Heras 1.27 David Sopilka 1.26 Sergio Gomez 1.24 Victor Acosta 1.17 Sean Coyle 1.14 Alixon Suarez 1.11 Matt Barnes 1.11 Mauricio Dubon 1.09 Anthony Ranaudo 1.09 Rubby De La Rosa 1.07 Trey Ball 1.03 Juan Hernandez 1.02 KJ Trader 1.01 Keury De La Cruz 1.00 Jason Garcia 0.94 Travis Shaw 0.94 Dedgar Jimenez 0.93 Jordan Weems 0.90 Daniel Gonzalez 0.86 Ty Buttrey 0.84 Randy Perez 0.80 Ritzi Mendoza 0.77 Pat Goetze 0.72 Peter Hissey 0.69 Noe Ramirez 0.62 Oscar Bartomolde 0.62 Mario Alcantara 0.59 Derrik Gibson 0.58 Mike Meyers 0.54 Nick Moore 0.54 Luis Yovera 0.53 Brandon Workman 0.51 Raiwinson Lameda 0.51 Jesus Loya 0.50 Keith Couch 0.49 Willie Ethington 0.48 Jose Almonte 0.43 Edwar Garcia 0.43 Miguel Celestino 0.42 Matt Spalding 0.41 Christian Perdomo 0.40 Javier Guerra 0.40 Bryce Brentz 0.39 Kevin Heller 0.35 Brock Holt 0.34 Aneury Tavarez 0.33 Luis Diaz 0.32 Gerardo Carrizalez 0.32 Jacob Dahlstrand 0.28 Aneudis Peralta 0.19 Jervis Torrealba 0.18 Luis Ramos 0.17 Gerson Bautista 0.16 Victor Ramirez 0.11 Samir El Halaby 0.09 Javier Rodriguez 0.08

     

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Sox options remaining:

    Red Sox Player Options: 40-Man Roster

    For option data on players not on the 40-man roster, see individual player pages.

    Andrew Bailey: 3 [0 used]
    Daniel Bard: 2 [2012]
    Pedro Beato: 2 [2012]
    Jackie Bradley, Jr: TBD
    Craig Breslow: 0 [2005, 2006, 2007]
    Drake Britton: 2 [2012]
    Clay Buchholz: 1 [2008, 2009] oaw*
    Dan Butler: 3 [0 used]
    Mike Carp: 0
    Rubby De La Rosa: 3 [0 used]
    Jose De La Torre: 3 [0 used]
    Ryan Dempster: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Felix Doubront: 0 [2009, 2010, 2011]
    Stephen Drew 0 (5+ years service time)
    Jacoby Ellsbury: 2 [2007] (5+ years service time)
    Joel Hanrahan: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Alex Hassan: 3 [0 used]
    Brock Holt: 3 [0 used]
    Ryan Kalish: 1 [2012, 2011]
    John Lackey: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Ryan Lavarnway: 2 [2012]
    Jon Lester: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Will Middlebrooks: 2 [2012]
    Andrew Miller: 0 [2006, 2007, 2009, 2010]
    Franklin Morales: 0 [2007, 2008, 2009, 2010]
    Mike Napoli: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Daniel Nava: 1 [2010, 2011]
    David Ortiz: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Jake Peavy
    Dustin Pedroia: 0 (5+ years service time)
    David Ross: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Jarrod Saltalamacchia: 1 [2008, 2010] (5+ years service time)
    Brandon Snyder: 0 (2010, 2011, 2012)
    Junichi Tazawa: 1 [2009, 2011, 2012] (will be eligible for 4 option years)
    Matt Thornton:
    Koji Uehara: 3 [0 used]
    Christian Vazquez: 3 [0 used]
    Shane Victorino: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Allen Webster: 3 [0 used]
    Alex Wilson: 3 [0 used]
    Brandon Workman: 3 [0 used]
    Steven Wright: 3 [0 used]

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Soxprospects has some amazing data....I probably have to stay at work at least 2 hours longer for all the time I spend there and here. 

     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:

    Soxprospects has some amazing data....I probably have to stay at work at least 2 hours longer for all the time I spend there and here. 



    I just discovered these 2 pages.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Who is hot? (Last 14 days)

    .976 Middy

    .974 Nava

    .924 Salty

    .918 Gomes

    .912 Ortiz

    Who is warm?

    .846 Lava

    .843 Drew

    .757 Pedey

    Who is cool?

    .701 Ellsb

    .680 Vict

    Who is cold?

    .619 Carp

    .460 Naps

    .273 Holt

     

    Who's our best vs RHPs this year? (Current Sox players only)

    1.137 Ortiz

    .959 Carp

    .867 Satly

    .856 Ells

    .852 Nava

    .841 Drew

    .819 Gomes

    .773 Napoli

    .729 Pedroia

    .710 Vict

     

    .695 Lav

    .623 Midd

    .523 Holt

     

    vs LHPs?

    .964 Snyder

    .895 Pedroia

    .774 Vict

    .768 Napoli

    .759 Carp

    .732 Gomes

    .728 Ortiz

    .719 Lava

    .703 Middy

    .653 Nava

    .651 Ellsbury

    .595 Drew

    .587 Salty

    .384 Holt

    Sox4ever

     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from hill55. Show hill55's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Sox options remaining:

    Red Sox Player Options: 40-Man Roster

    For option data on players not on the 40-man roster, see individual player pages.

    Andrew Bailey: 3 [0 used]
    Daniel Bard: 2 [2012]
    Pedro Beato: 2 [2012]
    Jackie Bradley, Jr: TBD
    Craig Breslow: 0 [2005, 2006, 2007]
    Drake Britton: 2 [2012]
    Clay Buchholz: 1 [2008, 2009] oaw*
    Dan Butler: 3 [0 used]
    Mike Carp: 0
    Rubby De La Rosa: 3 [0 used]
    Jose De La Torre: 3 [0 used]
    Ryan Dempster: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Felix Doubront: 0 [2009, 2010, 2011]
    Stephen Drew 0 (5+ years service time)
    Jacoby Ellsbury: 2 [2007] (5+ years service time)
    Joel Hanrahan: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Alex Hassan: 3 [0 used]
    Brock Holt: 3 [0 used]
    Ryan Kalish: 1 [2012, 2011]
    John Lackey: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Ryan Lavarnway: 2 [2012]
    Jon Lester: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Will Middlebrooks: 2 [2012]
    Andrew Miller: 0 [2006, 2007, 2009, 2010]
    Franklin Morales: 0 [2007, 2008, 2009, 2010]
    Mike Napoli: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Daniel Nava: 1 [2010, 2011]
    David Ortiz: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Jake Peavy
    Dustin Pedroia: 0 (5+ years service time)
    David Ross: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Jarrod Saltalamacchia: 1 [2008, 2010] (5+ years service time)
    Brandon Snyder: 0 (2010, 2011, 2012)
    Junichi Tazawa: 1 [2009, 2011, 2012] (will be eligible for 4 option years)
    Matt Thornton:
    Koji Uehara: 3 [0 used]
    Christian Vazquez: 3 [0 used]
    Shane Victorino: 0 (5+ years service time)
    Allen Webster: 3 [0 used]
    Alex Wilson: 3 [0 used]
    Brandon Workman: 3 [0 used]
    Steven Wright: 3 [0 used]

    Sox4ever



    I was reminded that many teams face annual roster crunches when former Mariners Mike Carp and Shawn Kelley faced each other in the seventh inning of Friday evening's game between the Red Sox and Yankees. Because of 40-man roster issues, Seattle traded Carp to the Sox for cash and Kelley to the Yanks for outfielder Abraham Almonte, who did not require a slot on the 40-man roster. The 24-year-old Almonte has posted a .302/.390/.463/.853 line in 327 plate appearances at Triple A this season.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    I was reminded that many teams face annual roster crunches when former Mariners Mike Carp and Shawn Kelley faced each other in the seventh inning of Friday evening's game between the Red Sox and Yankees. Because of 40-man roster issues, Seattle traded Carp to the Sox for cash and Kelley to the Yanks for outfielder Abraham Almonte, who did not require a slot on the 40-man roster. The 24-year-old Almonte has posted a .302/.390/.463/.853 line in 327 plate appearances at Triple A this season.

    Yes, but maybe we can find a team that values our bubble players, and we can upgrade via some type of 2 or 3 for 1 deal, or get a nice prospect who does not need to be on the 40 man roster next year for 2 that do.

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Wonder if any waiver wire deals are on the horizon.

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

     

    What do you guys think of Workman? To me the guy is a potential workhorse and he throws strikes. I think he has been underated for a long time. To me, he's potentially better than anyone they have in the minors. I'm not saying probably better because on paper there are 5-6 guys who should have better stuff but you've got to throw strikes also. A few years ago i would not have compared Doubront's stuff to any of the top 5 guys we have in the minors either but look what he has done recently ( except for the last game ).

    Obviously Owens is really coming on strong right now and projects to be the best we have but he's still in AA also and things could change but he sure is trending up and putting up exciting numbers. I guess my point is that the value of fastball control is just so freaking important and some guys never really achieve it to the level needed. De La Rosa has great stuff, as does Webster but both have gotten hammered when they leave even a 95 mph fastball up in the zone. I like Britton's curveball a lot. If he can get it over the plate consistently he would be solid just from it alone but I sense that he ends up a high end lefty speialist, ala Andrew Miller.

    Workman is of real value as a potentially solid #4 or 5 pitcher to me. I'll take what we've got and keep throwing him out there. If someone goes down i have no problem with Workman getting those innings. If I were going to trade someone and the choice was Ranaudo, Webster, Britton, or Workman, at this point in their development I'd keep Workman. He's not injury prone and he throws strikes.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    For some reason I have never been too high in Workman, but he has shown some skills this year.

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    As much as I respect soxprospects.com, as they are the best resource we have by far regarding prospects, no one gets it right all the time. First off I highly recommend that everyone vote with their wallet by contributing to the site at:

    http://forum.soxprospects.com/thread/883/2013-annual-drive-help-soxprospects

    They really jive us great bang for our buck and please do your part even if it is only a few bucks at a time.

    We all need to evaluate prospects to the best of our abilities if we are to make reasonable projections. For example, Workman hasn't been a top 10 guy really at all on soxprospects and yet he is the guy who came up and has done well so far this year, not Webster, not De Larosa. Who is to say really who is the better prospect. Maybe we have been getting it wrong all along.

    I caught all kinds of grief projecting Lavarnway as sticking at catcher and here he is. I thought Nava was vastly underated as I didn't care if he was a 26 year old prospect since he still was still hitting a consistent  .340 with solid OBP anyway with decent swing mechanics. He shouldn't have been down at #40 ...etc. The point being that sometimes even the best analysts get it wrong. Anderson, Hansen, Navarro, Lin...we could go on and on. No one gets it right all the time of course.

    Another example is that I didn't want to resign Ortiz this year. So how about that projection!

    I'm hopeful that Workman proves to be a big part of our future.

     
  15. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    As much as I respect soxprospects.com, as they are the best resource we have by far regarding prospects, no one gets it right all the time. First off I highly recommend that everyone vote with their wallet by contributing to the site at:

    http://forum.soxprospects.com/thread/883/2013-annual-drive-help-soxprospects

    They really jive us great bang for our buck and please do your part even if it is only a few bucks at a time.

    We all need to evaluate prospects to the best of our abilities if we are to make reasonable projections. For example, Workman hasn't been a top 10 guy really at all on soxprospects and yet he is the guy who came up and has done well so far this year, not Webster, not De Larosa. Who is to say really who is the better prospect. Maybe we have been getting it wrong all along.

    I caught all kinds of grief projecting Lavarnway as sticking at catcher and here he is. I thought Nava was vastly underated as I didn't care if he was a 26 year old prospect since he still was still hitting a consistent  .340 with solid OBP anyway with decent swing mechanics. He shouldn't have been down at #40 ...etc. The point being that sometimes even the best analysts get it wrong. Anderson, Hansen, Navarro, Lin...we could go on and on. No one gets it right all the time of course.

    Another example is that I didn't want to resign Ortiz this year. So how about that projection!

    I'm hopeful that Workman proves to be a big part of our future.




    It's hard to really know about Workman or Britton. Their sample sizes in MLB this year are both pretty small (under 30 IP). They both certainly look promising, but a lot is still in question.

    soxprospects has been pretty good at ranking prospects considering how difficult it is to rank players at various levels of development, various ages and experience,  and various team levels within the farm system.

    Even if Workman and or Britton go on to become better than many of us expected, we won't really know if soxprosapects was right or wrong until we see how the pitchers ranked ahead of Workman and Britton fair over the next few years.

    Here's how soxprospects has ranked just the SP prospects...

    Now

    4) Owens

    5) Webster

    6) de la Rosa

    7) Ranaudo

    8) Barnes

    9) Trey Ball

    11) Workman

    12) Britton

    16) Stankiewicz

    17) Johnson

    21) Buttrey

    27) Callahan

    28) L. Diaz

    29) Mercedes

    37) Kukuk

    38) S Gomez

    39) D McGrath

    41) Light

    43) M Smith

    46) S Wright

    48) K Couch

    53) P Stroup

    54) J Haley

    55) M Adams

    56) C Littrell

    57) J Aro

    59) J Almonte

    60) D Jimenez

     

    Highest past rankings (making top 20 at some point) since 2005:

    1) C Kelly, Buchholz, Masterson, Papelbon, Lester

    2) Barnes, Ranaudo, Bowden, Bard, Hansen

    3) Webster, Doubront

    4) Britton, de la Rosa, Owens, B Cox, A Alvarez, A Sanchez

    5) Pimental

    6) Hagadone, Tazawa, Delcarmen

    8) C Meredith

    9) T Ball

    10) A Alvarez, D Pauley

    11) Workman

    12) Johnson

    13) Weiland, Fuentes, Gabbard

    15) Pimental, S Fife

    16) Stankiewicz

    18) Pauley

    20) P Light

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    What's our mean?

     

    Runs scored:

    0-3 runs 30 games

    4 runs  18  (48 with 0-4 runs scored)

    5 runs  15

    6 runs  13 (50 with 6+ runs scored)

    7+ runs 37

    We are closer to a mean of 6 runs scored than 4 runs scored.

     

    Runs Allowed:

    0-2 runs 40 games

    3 runs 19  (59 games at 0-3 runs scored)

    4 runs 18

    5 runs 17  (47 games at 5+ runs scored)

    6+ runs 30 games

    We are closer to a mean of 3 runs allowed than 5 runs allowed.

     

    How about the Tigers?

    Runs scored:

    0-3 runs 43

    4 runs 16 (59 games at 0-4 runs scored)

    5 runs 10

    6 runs 17 (53 games at 6+ runs scored)

    7+ runs 36

    The Tigers are closer to a mean of 4 than 6.

     

    Runs Allowed:

    0-2 runs 46 games

    3 runs 23 games

    4 runs 14 games (53 games at 4+)

    5 runs 10 games

    6+ runs 29 games

    The Tigers are closer to 4 than 2, but they got us beat in this area.

     

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Before today's games...

    AL Leaders:

    Runs scored:

    1) Red Sox 616

    2) Tigers  614

    7) Rays  543

    8) A's  536

    9) Rangers 529

    Road Runs:

    1) Red Sox  311

    2) Tigers     300

    4) A's           291

    7) Rangers  270

    8) Rays       264

     

    Runs allowed:

    2) Tigers  463

    3) A's       465

    4) Rang    482

    5) Rays    486

    7) Sox     520

    Road Runs Allowed:

    3) Tigers  238

    4) A's       245

    5) Rays    249

    6) Rang    252

    7) Sox     262

     

    Net:

    Red Sox 616 - 520 = +96

    Tigers  614 - 463 = +151

    Rays   543 - 486 = +57

    A's      536 - 465 = +71

     

    Rangers 529 -482 = +47

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    It has gotten so competitive now. Look at the Tigers. Why aren't they 10 games up by now with that team. I really think Iglesias will help them even if he doesn't hit. They score enough runs and their starting pitching is terrific. 

    And freaking LA is just stomping on teams now. There are lots of solid teams out there. We really don't have that great a shot to me unless Buchholz can find a way to come back and be our #1. We are a 15% shot without Buchholz as a stud and then only maybe a 22% shot at best. As of right now, unless we start getting some starters real hot, we don't have the studs to win in the playoff arms race.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Have you guys been following what Owens has done in AA since being promoted? Wow.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    I think the PED issue has changed the pitching environment some this year. Not as many HR balls maybe. Control pitchers doing better. Look at Kuroda with that 91 mph fastball maintaining lights out performances time after time. This is real baseball. Ergo guys like Workman maybe being more attractive. I keep seeing guys have no problem hiotting 95 mph fastballs but if guys like Cobb and Workman can just keep hitting the corners and keeping the ball low they are successful. It looks to me like the league average of HR per team will drop by 7-8 HR this year, compared to 2012. Different sorts of players will emerge as more valuable in the post PED era. I think we are getting there folks.

    Here we are 12th in the majors in HR, yet leading the majors in runs scored. Pretty amazing stat.

     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from ampoule. Show ampoule's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    \\\BoomerIn response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    As much as I respect soxprospects.com, as they are the best resource we have by far regarding prospects, no one gets it right all the time. First off I highly recommend that everyone vote inwith their wallet by contributing to the site at:

    http://forum.soxprospects.com/thread/883/2013-annual-drive-help-soxprospects

    They really jive us great bang for our buck and please do your part even if it is only a few bucks at a time.

    We all need to evaluate prospects to the best of our abilities if we are to make reasonable projections. For example, Workman hasn't been a top 10 guy really at all on soxprospects and yet he is the guy who came up and has done well so far this year, not Webster, not De Larosa. Who is to say really who is the better prospect. Maybe we have been getting it wrong all along.

    I caught all kinds of grief projecting Lavarnway as sticking at catcher and here he is. I thought Nava was vastly underated as I didn't care if he was a 26 year old prospect since he still was still hitting a consistent  .340 with solid OBP anyway with decent swing mechanics. He shouldn't have been down at #40 ...etc. The point being that sometimes even the best analysts get it wrong. Anderson, Hansen, Navarro, Lin...we could go on and on. No one gets it right all the time of course.

    Another example is that I didn't want to resign Ortiz this year. So how about that projection!

    I'm hopeful that Workman proves to be a big part of our future.

     

    Interesting thoughts, Boomer

    I guess the point is that we should give Xander the time up witth the top club to see exactly what he can do.  I agree with this. The worse scenario would be for him to realize he's not ready and go back to AAA.  The best scenario would be to stick Xander ar SS. keep Napoli( tempotrarily on board with all the K's), and groom Cecchini for 3rd with Middy playing 1st with Napoli/Gomes platooning  with Nava in left...or first.  Of course, Ortiz could play some first, based upon who's pitching.

     

     

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    We're presently in SF and anxiously awaiting monday and tuesday's games,

    I hope we bring them luck, you guys,  This trip will probably be the end of the feared dog days.

    Whatever happens, I am totally proud of our team.  Whoever expected the season we've had so far???  I'm proud to be a Sox fan and will continue to support them through thick or thin.

    I haven't mentioned my wife here, rest assured, she's as big a fan as I am,.  I'm a lucky guy!  As a matter of fact, her sister, a psychiatrist who lives here in the heart of SF, will be joining us with some choice seats she's purchased.....how good can life get?.......:).

    If anything interesting happens, I'll share with all.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    It has gotten so competitive now. Look at the Tigers. Why aren't they 10 games up by now with that team. I really think Iglesias will help them even if he doesn't hit. They score enough runs and their starting pitching is terrific. 

    And freaking LA is just stomping on teams now. There are lots of solid teams out there. We really don't have that great a shot to me unless Buchholz can find a way to come back and be our #1. We are a 15% shot without Buchholz as a stud and then only maybe a 22% shot at best. As of right now, unless we start getting some starters real hot, we don't have the studs to win in the playoff arms race.

    A good summary. I will add that although the Tigers have 2 big bats, their line-up is not as balanced as ours. Iggy may be on the bench for the playoffs as Peralta returns.

    I'm more worried about facing 2 lefties in 4 games out of 7 vs the Rays (Price & Moore).

    The Dodgers look unbeatable now, but maybe they are peaking early.

    Sox4ever

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    Have you guys been following what Owens has done in AA since being promoted? Wow.



    Owens and Cecchini may be our two best prospects after Boggy.

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    I think the PED issue has changed the pitching environment some this year. Not as many HR balls maybe. Control pitchers doing better. Look at Kuroda with that 91 mph fastball maintaining lights out performances time after time. This is real baseball. Ergo guys like Workman maybe being more attractive. I keep seeing guys have no problem hiotting 95 mph fastballs but if guys like Cobb and Workman can just keep hitting the corners and keeping the ball low they are successful. It looks to me like the league average of HR per team will drop by 7-8 HR this year, compared to 2012. Different sorts of players will emerge as more valuable in the post PED era. I think we are getting there folks.

    Here we are 12th in the majors in HR, yet leading the majors in runs scored. Pretty amazing stat.



    Kuroda has some nasty movement on his pitches, so power is not needed.

     
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