A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from mef429. Show mef429's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    In response to mef429's comment:

     

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

     

     

    In response to Critter23's comment:

     

     

     

     

     

    If we're not going into a bidding war with other "big market" teams, then go for Abreu...

     

     

     



    I'd love to get Abreu, and I'm not trying to be a downer, but imagine paying $60M for a compete bust.

     

     

     

    Yeah, Napoli and Morales are injury risks, but at least we know about what we should get from them.

     

     



    almost like Dice-K? in all fairness though he gave us 2 GREAT years...

     

     

     



    Dice-K had the talent and proved it (after the signing). His injuries and forced change of routine caused the let down.  Abreu has yet to prove anything, but by all accounts, he's got the talent.

     



    if we are unable to sign Jacoby i expect we will go after this guy. Naps will be the fallback plan.

    if we do sign jacoby i think they will try to go cheap @ 1B and try to sign Hart who will be much cheaper than Naps.

     
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  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Dice-K had the talent and proved it (after the signing). His injuries and forced change of routine caused the let down.  Abreu has yet to prove anything, but by all accounts, he's got the talent.

     

     

     



    if we are unable to sign Jacoby i expect we will go after this guy. Naps will be the fallback plan.

     

    if we do sign jacoby i think they will try to go cheap @ 1B and try to sign Hart who will be much cheaper than Naps.

    Again, I think Ellsbury walks, but you are right, if we do sign him, we will skimp elsewhere.... maybe with Salty (C) not Napoli (1B). We also will likely sign a RH'd RP.

    Sox4ever

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from mef429. Show mef429's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Dice-K had the talent and proved it (after the signing). His injuries and forced change of routine caused the let down.  Abreu has yet to prove anything, but by all accounts, he's got the talent.

     

     

     



    if we are unable to sign Jacoby i expect we will go after this guy. Naps will be the fallback plan.

     

    if we do sign jacoby i think they will try to go cheap @ 1B and try to sign Hart who will be much cheaper than Naps.

    Again, I think Ellsbury walks, but you are right, if we do sign him, we will skimp elsewhere.... maybe with Salty (C) not Napoli (1B). We also will likely sign a RH'd RP.

    Sox4ever



    in my eyes, there is virtually -0- chance of Salty playing for a team not named the Red Sox. they will either get him to sign a multi-year deal or sign him with a QO. No way he turns it down.

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from southpaw777. Show southpaw777's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to mef429's comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    Dice-K had the talent and proved it (after the signing). His injuries and forced change of routine caused the let down.  Abreu has yet to prove anything, but by all accounts, he's got the talent.

     

     

     

     



    if we are unable to sign Jacoby i expect we will go after this guy. Naps will be the fallback plan.

     

    if we do sign jacoby i think they will try to go cheap @ 1B and try to sign Hart who will be much cheaper than Naps.

    Again, I think Ellsbury walks, but you are right, if we do sign him, we will skimp elsewhere.... maybe with Salty (C) not Napoli (1B). We also will likely sign a RH'd RP.

    Sox4ever

     



    in my eyes, there is virtually -0- chance of Salty playing for a team not named the Red Sox. they will either get him to sign a multi-year deal or sign him with a QO. No way he turns it down.

     




    I agree...1b is easier to fill than finding a solid catcher whom your pitchers are very comfortable with.

     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from mef429. Show mef429's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to southpaw777's comment:

     

    In response to mef429's comment:

     

     

     

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

     

    Dice-K had the talent and proved it (after the signing). His injuries and forced change of routine caused the let down.  Abreu has yet to prove anything, but by all accounts, he's got the talent.

     

     

     

     

     

     



    if we are unable to sign Jacoby i expect we will go after this guy. Naps will be the fallback plan.

     

    if we do sign jacoby i think they will try to go cheap @ 1B and try to sign Hart who will be much cheaper than Naps.

    Again, I think Ellsbury walks, but you are right, if we do sign him, we will skimp elsewhere.... maybe with Salty (C) not Napoli (1B). We also will likely sign a RH'd RP.

    Sox4ever

     

     

     



    in my eyes, there is virtually -0- chance of Salty playing for a team not named the Red Sox. they will either get him to sign a multi-year deal or sign him with a QO. No way he turns it down.

     

     

     

     

     




    I agree...1b is easier to fill than finding a solid catcher whom your pitchers are very comfortable with.

     

     

     



    solid catcher? southie, you are not doing the Salt-man justice!

    now apologize......

     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    If we trade Dempster and restructure Lackey's remaining contract to $16M/2, we'd knock off about $21M from 2014's luxury tax budget. Couple that with the extimated $35M we'd have to spend after all teha rbs are settles, we could have about $55M to spend on 3 major positions:

    C, CF, and 1B.

    Some could also argue we could use a SS or solid utility IF'er and another veteran RH'd RP, but wtih $55M to spend, we would be able to fill all out needs with very capable players.

    Sox4ever

     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Some final Sox numbers to ponder (230+ PAs):

    .395 Ortiz

    .385 Nava

    .376 Iggy

    .372 Pedey

    .362 Carp

    .360 Napoli

    .355 Ellsbury

    .351 Victorino

    .344 Gomes

    .338 Saltalamacchia

    .333 Drew

    .271 Middlebrooks

    (.298 Ross with 116 PAs)

    (.280 JBJ with 107 PAs)

     

    SLG%

    .564 Ortiz

    .523 Carp

    .482 Napoli

    .466 Salty

    .451 Vict

    .445 Nava

    .443 Drew

    .426 Ells

    .426 Gomes

    .425 Middy

    .415 Pedey

    .409 Iggy

    .382 Ross

    .337 JBJ

     

    OPS

    .959 Ortiz

    .885 Carp

    .842 Naps

    .831 Nava

    .804 Salty

    .801 Vict

    .787 Pedey

    .785 Iggy

    .781 Ells

    .777 Drew

    .771 Gomes

    .696 Middy

    .681 Ross

    .617 JBJ

     

    8 guys over 26 DBLs

    11 players with 43+ RBIs

    123 SBs with only 19 CS (Ells 93%, Vict 88%, & Pedey 77%)

     

    HR%

    5.0 Papi, 4.6 Middy, 4.0 Naps, 3.7 Carp, 3.6 Gomes, 3.5 Ross, 3.0 Salty, 2.8 JBJ, 2.8 Vict (2.7 MLB avg), 2.6 Drew, 2.2 Nava, 1.4 Ells, 1.2 Pedey, 0.4 Iggy

    XBH%: 11.9% Carp, 11.7 Papi, 11.5 Salty, 10.9 Naps, 10 Drew, 9.4 Middy

    K rate: 36% Ross, 32 Naps, 30 Salty, 29 JBJ, 28 Carp, 26 Middy, 25 Drew, 24 Gomes

    LD%: 30% Salty, 28 Carp, 27 Nava, 25 Papi, 24 Ells, 23 Naps, 23 Drew, 22 Vict

    Pitches/PA: 4.6 Naps, 4.1 Middy, 4.1 Nava, 4.1 Drew, 4.1 Pedey, 4.0 Salty (MLB 3.86)

       3.85 Ells/Gomes/Papi, 3.83 Vict (everyone was or almost was above league avg!)

     

    Pitching numbers tomorrow.

     

     

     

     

    Sox4ever

     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Some pitching numbrs...

    WHIP

    0.565 Uehara (UNREAL!)

    1.025 Buch

    1.123 Breslow

    1.157 Lackey

    1.160 Peavy

    1.200 Tazawa

    1.294 Lester

    1.370 Miller

    1.416 Workman

    1.429 Doubront (barely an improvement over 2012)

    1.453 Dempster

     

    ERA+

    376 Uehara (WOW!

    234 Buch

    226 Breslow

    156 Miller

    130 Tazawa

    116 Lackey

    109 Lester

    101 Peavy

    94 Doubront

    89 Dempster

    83 Workman

     

    OPS Against

    .400 Uehara (Amazing!)

    .546 Buch

    .635 Breslow

    .664 Peavy

    .703 Lester

    .704 Lackey

    (.725 MLB Avg)

    .729 Doubront

    .741 Tazawa

    .774 Dempster

     

    QS%

    81 Buch

    66 Lackey

    61 Lester

    60 peavy

    59 Doubront

    (51 MLB)

    48 Dempster

     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Prediction:

    We will be all over Abreu. The guy is a power RH bat who is almost exclusively a 1st base / DH type. And what do we need if Napoli is not signed? A power RH bat who is primarily a 1st baseman.

    1) He is in a Redsox training facility already. That alone indicates that both sides are positioning a Redsox signing as the most likely option.

    2) He's a power hitter who is just now turning 27. For a power hitter, that is a really good thing. He is just coming into what may be his best years.

    3) We have the money.

    4) We were unwilling to sign Napoli to a multiyear deal last year. Why would we want to this year?

    5) If we give Napoli a QO, he may well turn it down and move on for a multi year deal, and we would probably get a pick. We don't lose a pick if we sign Abreu.

    6) Abreu has put up video game numbers in Cuba. Better than any other player. And he has performed very well in international tournaments.

    7) He gets on base at an incredible rate. One year at well over 50%. My God, wouldn't that fit in with this lineup?

    8) It looks like it might be mainly us or the Rangers. I like those odds.

     

     
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    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Just one more thing. Go Indians!

     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Is it just me, or does it appear to anyone else that we probably would be better off letting Ellsbury go and sign Choo? Again, we would get an even higher OBP rate and better pop, and he is primarily a RF. We can slot Victorino in CF or Bradley. We still have Nava for LF and even Carp can do it as well. We optimize the OBP and adding Choo and Abreu should improve this lineup even more.

     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    Prediction:

    We will be all over Abreu. The guy is a power RH bat who is almost exclusively a 1st base / DH type. And what do we need if Napoli is not signed? A power RH bat who is primarily a 1st baseman.

    1) He is in a Redsox training facility already. That alone indicates that both sides are positioning a Redsox signing as the most likely option.

    2) He's a power hitter who is just now turning 27. For a power hitter, that is a really good thing. He is just coming into what may be his best years.

    3) We have the money.

    4) We were unwilling to sign Napoli to a multiyear deal last year. Why would we want to this year?

    He broke his record for most PAs and RBIs. He looked great on defense at 1B. Maybe his medical will show his hip is stable.

    5) If we give Napoli a QO, he may well turn it down and move on for a multi year deal, and we would probably get a pick. We don't lose a pick if we sign Abreu.

    6) Abreu has put up video game numbers in Cuba. Better than any other player. And he has performed very well in international tournaments.

    7) He gets on base at an incredible rate. One year at well over 50%. My God, wouldn't that fit in with this lineup?

    8) It looks like it might be mainly us or the Rangers. I like those odds.

    I agree. He is worth the risk/gamble.

     




     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    Is it just me, or does it appear to anyone else that we probably would be better off letting Ellsbury go and sign Choo? Again, we would get an even higher OBP rate and better pop, and he is primarily a RF. We can slot Victorino in CF or Bradley. We still have Nava for LF and even Carp can do it as well. We optimize the OBP and adding Choo and Abreu should improve this lineup even more.



    Choo might be cheaper too.

    He really stinks vs LHPs. (Huge split disparity)

    I am not sure we will sign him. Ben does not want to lose a pick.

     
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  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from emp9. Show emp9's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to mef429's comment:

    In response to southpaw777's comment:

     

    In response to mef429's comment:

     

     

     

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

     

    Dice-K had the talent and proved it (after the signing). His injuries and forced change of routine caused the let down.  Abreu has yet to prove anything, but by all accounts, he's got the talent.

     

     

     

     

     

     



    if we are unable to sign Jacoby i expect we will go after this guy. Naps will be the fallback plan.

     

    if we do sign jacoby i think they will try to go cheap @ 1B and try to sign Hart who will be much cheaper than Naps.

    Again, I think Ellsbury walks, but you are right, if we do sign him, we will skimp elsewhere.... maybe with Salty (C) not Napoli (1B). We also will likely sign a RH'd RP.

    Sox4ever

     

     

     



    in my eyes, there is virtually -0- chance of Salty playing for a team not named the Red Sox. they will either get him to sign a multi-year deal or sign him with a QO. No way he turns it down.

     

     

     

     

     




    I agree...1b is easier to fill than finding a solid catcher whom your pitchers are very comfortable with.

     

     

     



    solid catcher? southie, you are not doing the Salt-man justice!

    now apologize......



    Do the Cubs drive up the price on Salty by any chance? 

    As long as theres comparable 1b-men out there. Naps plugged the hole pretty well ( HR's, RBI, ~ BA not so much). 

     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

     

    Is it just me, or does it appear to anyone else that we probably would be better off letting Ellsbury go and sign Choo? Again, we would get an even higher OBP rate and better pop, and he is primarily a RF. We can slot Victorino in CF or Bradley. We still have Nava for LF and even Carp can do it as well. We optimize the OBP and adding Choo and Abreu should improve this lineup even more.

     



    Choo might be cheaper too.

     

    He really stinks vs LHPs. (Huge split disparity)

    I am not sure we will sign him. Ben does not want to lose a pick.



    He is potentially cheaper and he has better pop and higher obp. And we have several guys who can play CF well. As much as I like Ellsbury, I think I'd probably take Choo over him for our needs in 2014. I love that .424 obp. 

    That is what sets us apart. Our team's collective OBP. Someone is just calculating simple permutations and saying..."this is the way to go" and it is working. Factoring all slots 1-9 we have the best lineup in baseball and Choo has an additional 50 points of OBP than Ellsbury.

    And we might get a pick if we let Napoli go, while adding another huge potential OBP resource with Abreu. We would lead the league in HBP by the way with Choo at 24 last year and Abreu and Victorino at around 30 each if I remember correctly. Even Nava gets hit quite often if I remember correctly. 

     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from emp9. Show emp9's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to AZPAT's comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

    Some pitching numbrs...

    WHIP

    0.565 Uehara (UNREAL!)

    1.025 Buch

    1.123 Breslow

    1.157 Lackey

    1.160 Peavy

    1.200 Tazawa

    1.294 Lester

    1.370 Miller

    1.416 Workman

    1.429 Doubront (barely an improvement over 2012)

    1.453 Dempster

     

    ERA+

    376 Uehara (WOW!

    234 Buch

    226 Breslow

    156 Miller

    130 Tazawa

    116 Lackey

    109 Lester

    101 Peavy

    94 Doubront

    89 Dempster

    83 Workman

     

    OPS Against

    .400 Uehara (Amazing!)

    .546 Buch

    .635 Breslow

    .664 Peavy

    .703 Lester

    .704 Lackey

    (.725 MLB Avg)

    .729 Doubront

    .741 Tazawa

    .774 Dempster

     

    QS%

    81 Buch

    66 Lackey

    61 Lester

    60 peavy

    59 Doubront

    (51 MLB)

    48 Dempster

     



    Here are some numbers too:

     

     

    Hamburg (85% lean)   $2,89/lb

    Rice A Roni (beef flavored)  $1.29/box

    Fresh Green Beans   $1.89/lb

    Twinkies (Yeah, they're BACK!!!)    $2.39/12 count box

     



    I'm sure Twinkies got a message board somewhere...

     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

     

     

     

    Is it just me, or does it appear to anyone else that we probably would be better off letting Ellsbury go and sign Choo? Again, we would get an even higher OBP rate and better pop, and he is primarily a RF. We can slot Victorino in CF or Bradley. We still have Nava for LF and even Carp can do it as well. We optimize the OBP and adding Choo and Abreu should improve this lineup even more.

     

     



    Choo might be cheaper too.

     

     

    He really stinks vs LHPs. (Huge split disparity)

    I am not sure we will sign him. Ben does not want to lose a pick.

     



    He is potentially cheaper and he has better pop and higher obp. And we have several guys who can play CF well. As much as I like Ellsbury, I think I'd probably take Choo over him for our needs in 2014. I love that .424 obp. 

     

    That is what sets us apart. Our team's collective OBP. Someone is just calculating simple permutations and saying..."this is the way to go" and it is working. Factoring all slots 1-9 we have the best lineup in baseball and Choo has an additional 50 points of OBP than Ellsbury.

    And we might get a pick if we let Napoli go, while adding another huge potential OBP resource with Abreu. We would lead the league in HBP by the way with Choo at 24 last year and Abreu and Victorino at around 30 each if I remember correctly. Even Nava gets hit quite often if I remember correctly. 



    Let's say we keep Salty. We get twp picks when Ells and Naps walk. Bye bye to Drew (no QO). We sign Abreu and Choo. We still have a net gain of 1 pick. We trade Dempster for a prospect and sign a guy like Edward Mujica

    C Salty/Ross

    1B Abreu/Carp (Middy/Nava/Papi)

    DH Papi

    2B Pedey

    3B Middy

    SS Bogey/Holt

    LF Nava/Gomes

    CF Vict/JBJ

    RF Choo (Vict)

    SP Buch, Lester, Peavy, Lackey, Doubront, Morales

    RP Mujica, Uehara, Tazawa, Breslow, Miller, Workman or ???

     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from darrylfries. Show darrylfries's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Let's say we keep Salty. We get twp picks when Ells and Naps walk. Bye bye to Drew (no QO). We sign Abreu and Choo. We still have a net gain of 1 pick. We trade Dempster for a prospect and sign a guy like Edward Mujica

     

    C Salty/Ross

    1B Abreu/Carp (Middy/Nava/Papi)

    DH Papi

    2B Pedey

    3B Middy

    SS Bogey/Holt

    LF Nava/Gomes

    CF Vict/JBJ

    RF Choo (Vict)

    SP Buch, Lester, Peavy, Lackey, Doubront, Morales

    RP Mujica, Uehara, Tazawa, Breslow, Miller, Workman or ???

     

     

    This could work if.

     

    Boggy proves he ready my guess is that's possible but not certain

    Middlebrooks  doesn't get in the same funk at the plate he did for most of the year.

    Vic stays healthy he played in less games than Ells this year.

    Bradley doesn't need more time at AAA.  50 /50

    Abreu will be on the radar of a lot of teams especially the Yanks havn't heard that Boston has the inside track.

    Boras has said that he expects Choo to get over a 100 mil he won't be cheap either.

    Any serious injury to Pedoria Middlebrooks or Boggy would leave us no real replacements assuming of course the later two are playing evey day

     

    Why  after a year as the best team in baseball would we not spend some money and keep some of the players that got us here this year . I see us keeping at the mininum one or two of either Drew Ells or Nap. All three won't leave it's likely we'll sign two of the three

    Adding picks is great but they won't win the series next year.

     
  22. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    WAR by Position

    C: Salty T7th at 3.6 (0.1 away from 6th)

    1B: Naps 7th at 3.9

    2B: Pedroia 3rd at 5.4

    SS: 7th at 3.4

    3B: No 3Bman with 400+ PAs

    LF: Nava 16th at 1.8 (His fielding killed his WAR)

    CF: Ells 4th at 5.8

    RF: Vict 1st at 5.6

    DH: Papi 3rd at 3.8 (But Mauer is listed ahead)

     

    Team numbers:

    DH: 3rd at 3.8

    RF: 1st at 7.8

    CF: 6th at 6.0

    LF: 6th at 4.3

    3B: 23rd at 0.0

    SS: 7th at 3.8

    2B: 4th at 5.3

    1B: 5th at 5.1

    C: 5th at 4.7

     

    Amaingingly we are top 25% at all positions except 3B.

    Top 20% in 7 of 9 positions.

     

    On just the Batting Component of WAR:

    C- 8th

    1B: 6th

    2B: 4th

    SS: 4th

    3B: 19th

    LF: 2nd (Just like I called in ST: "Nava- Gomes combo- one thing I got right)

    CF: 7th

    RF: 2nd

    DH: 2nd

     

    Sox4ever

     
  23. You have chosen to ignore posts from 808soxfan. Show 808soxfan's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

     

    [/QUOTE]

    Let's say we keep Salty. We get twp picks when Ells and Naps walk. Bye bye to Drew (no QO). We sign Abreu and Choo. We still have a net gain of 1 pick. We trade Dempster for a prospect and sign a guy like Edward Mujica

     

    C Salty/Ross

    1B Abreu/Carp (Middy/Nava/Papi)

    DH Papi

    2B Pedey

    3B Middy

    SS Bogey/Holt

    LF Nava/Gomes

    CF Vict/JBJ

    RF Choo (Vict)

    SP Buch, Lester, Peavy, Lackey, Doubront, Morales

    RP Mujica, Uehara, Tazawa, Breslow, Miller, Workman or ???

    [/QUOTE]

    Not all that sure that someone will pay Naps and accept the fact that they are giving up a pick. Realistically, he was good for the Sox, but he still struck out a ton and had other issues (feet). I see Naps playing 3 or 4 out of every 5 games next year, especially as the year wears on. Do you really think that any team will give up a pick plus give Naps a 3 year contract?  I still think that his health will weigh in, and he would accept a QO from the Sox.

     

    Also not sure how Abreu fits in to the whole "team chemistry" concept. Cespedes seems like a great team mate. Puig seems like he needs a talking to every once in a while. I give Naps the clear edge in this department as well. He helps the team in a lot of ways.

     

     
  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    Not all that sure that someone will pay Naps and accept the fact that they are giving up a pick. Realistically, he was good for the Sox, but he still struck out a ton and had other issues (feet). I see Naps playing 3 or 4 out of every 5 games next year, especially as the year wears on. Do you really think that any team will give up a pick plus give Naps a 3 year contract?  I still think that his health will weigh in, and he would accept a QO from the Sox.

     It doesn't matter what any team signs him for, as long as they sign him.

    All it takes is for him to think he will get a long deal to turn down the QO.

    My guess is we offer him the minimum QO and see what happens. If he says no, we'll go hard for Abreu or settle on K Morales.

     

    Also not sure how Abreu fits in to the whole "team chemistry" concept. Cespedes seems like a great team mate. Puig seems like he needs a talking to every once in a while. I give Naps the clear edge in this department as well. He helps the team in a lot of ways.

    I'm not sure either, but I am sure Ben is doing his homework.

    Sox4ever

     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2013: Part III

    RAYS VS. RED SOX

    Game 1 at Fenway Park on Friday: LHP Jon Lester (15-8, 3.75) vs. LHP Matt Moore (17-4, 3.29), 3:07 p.m., TBS.

    Game 2 at Fenway Park Saturday: RHP John Lackey (10-13, 3.52) vs. LHP David Price (10-8, 3.33), 5:37 p.m., TBS

    Game 3 at Tropicana Field Monday: RHP Clay Buchholz (12-1, 1.74) vs. My guess: RHP Alex Cobb. TBS

    Game 4 at Tropicana Field Tuesday (if necessary): RHP Jake Peavy (4-1, 4.04) vs. My guess: LHP Matt Moore. TBS

    Game 5: at Fenway Park on Thursday (if necessary) My Guess: LHP Lester vs LHP Price, TBS.

    Sox4ever

     
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