Offense: A Look Back & A Look Ahead
BA HR RBI (OBP/SLG/OPS)
Salty and his .804 OPS is gone. Ross missed a lot of 2013, and Lavarnway did okay with his bat, but showed no signs of improving behind the plate.
2013: .270 19 89 (.334/.453/.787)
2014: .260 20 85 (.310/.440/.750)
Pierzynski joins the club, and hopefull Ross stays healthy all year. AJ may be 37 next year, but he has over 497 PAs for 11 straight seasons. There may be a learning curve, but AJ should be better than Salty with the staff, better on defense, and possibly close to the same on offense. His OPS over the last 3 seasons were .722, .827, and .728. Maybe Fenway can help him have a season nearer to .800 than .725. Ross hits righties as well as lefties, so they should make a nice pair for 2014. Lavarnway, Butler or Vazquez could play some.
Napoli was a bit streaky, as always, but had a decent year at the plate. His fielding was shockingly good. Carp did well on offense as well as brief stints by Nava and Ortiz.
2013: .262 26 106 (.361/.480/.841)
2014: .270 30 110 (.360/.500/.860)
Some look at Napoli's high BAbip in 2013 and expect him to "come down to earth", but Napoli had his best LD% of his career by a long shot. He's been pretty consistently around the .825 mark, but every 3 years he has spiked with a big offensive year. Well, this is year 3. Carp may not hit as well as he did in 2013, but he should do okay. Papi may play some in NL parks, and Nava may see more time at 1B in 2014. Middlebrooks could also end up here, if Naps gets hurt and we get a SS that allows Bogey to move to 3B. I'm may be in the minority, but I see a slightly better season from 1B than 2013.
Pedroia actually had a down season, but he had 723 of the 739 PAs at 2B in 2013. I expect Pedey to have a big year in 2014.
2013: .302 9 84 (.372/.414/.786)
2014: .300 15 95 (.375/.445/.820)
Pedey turns 31 in 2014. He's still in his prime. His career OPS is .823.
3B was a weak spot in 2013. Middlebrooks battled injuries and perhaps confidence issues. Maybe ML pitchers figure him out- maybe not. The fact is, his 2013 was nothing like his 2012. Unless we sign Drew and move Bogey to 3B, it looks like Middlebrooks will be given every opportunity to show the 2012 Middy.
2013: .242 20 79 (.288/.395/.683)
2014: .250 25 90 (.300/.480/.780)
I'm looking for a bounce back from Middlebrooks, and if he struggles, I look for some positive input from Cecchini.
Drew is likely gone, and Iggy is gone. We got some good offense from the SS position and good defense as well.
2013: .263 14 81 (.340/.431/.771)
2014: .285 20 90 (.345/.445/.790)
Bogey will be give a long look at SS. Although I think Bogey will someday end up at 3B, there is a good chance Ben sees him as out longterm SS. Bogey has the potential to bring more offense to SS, but his defense will take time to approach what we got in 2013 from Drew & Iggy.
The Nava/Gomes platoon was not given a full opportunity to manefest itself as Nava had to cover RF for Victorino and 1B a few games as well. Carp ended up with 121 PAs as a left fielder and helped bring up the LF OPS.
2013: .278 18 101 (.356/.434/.790)
2014: .290 25 115 (.375/.455/.830)
Nava hist RHPs very well. Gomes had an off year in 2013 vs LHPs, but has been one of MLBs best hitters vs lefties over recent years. I am expecting a closer to strict platoon in LF, and much better numbers.
Ellsbury had a nice season. His defense, speed and offense will be sorely missed. I don't want to minimize his speed, but he had just the 9th best OPS on the team in 2013 (7th best among players with 470+ PAs). Maybe JBJ can come close to that OPS. Maybe JBJ can give us equal defense, but he will not replace the speed and all that goes with the havoc Jacoby caused to opposing pitchers.
2013: .292 13 65 (.348/.425/.774 and 54 SB and only 4 CS)
2014: .275 10 60 (.345/.415/.760)
JBJ is one of the 2014 wildcards along with Bogey and Middy. It's hard for anyone to try and project what we will get from CF next year.
Shane was a fantastic addition to the team. His defense was spectacular. He stole 17 bases with only 3 CS. His .815 OPS was very nice. The one big issue was his 107 games played. Nava got 240 PAs in RF.
2013: .285 20 86 (.350/.436/.786)
2014: .295 20 96 (.355/.455/.810)
I expect a healthier season from Shane.
Papi got 575 of the 681 DH PAs in 2013.
2013: .310 33 110 (.398/.560/.958)
2014: .300 30 110 (.390/.550/.940)
It's hard to project better health from Papi. I'll go with close to the same.
I would not be at all surprised if we score close to the ame amount of runs in 2014 as 2013.