Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I
posted at 11/21/2013 11:26 PM EST
In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:
If you are going to lose a pick, why not make it for a top guy like Choo and sign him for 4-5 years? He has been consistently solid. The guy has Fenway written all over him. Look at his hit chart:
Over time he could slide over to LF. He's a very safe sign.
Prediction: Choo is our big sign of the off season.
Choo would obviously help the Sox, but I don't see the Sox being a serious player at all for several reasons:
He is very likely going to get a 100+ million dollar contract and I don't think the Sox are going to spend another 100+ million on an outfielder from outside the organization anytime soon, especially one who is on the wrong side of 30.
Over the last 2 years covering 463 plate appearances, he's hit .207 against lefties. If he shouldn't sit against lefties now, how soon will it be?
While he can technically play center & right, his defensive metrics aren't good. While I'm not a big believer in defensive metrics, this guy has looked bad to the naked eye in the outfield.
Over the last 2 years, he's stolen 41 bases, but he's been caught 18 times. That's not good at all and unlikely to improve as he turns 32 in July.
His wife & kids live in Arizona, so my guess that if all things are equal, he'd want to sign with a team that trains there, although I've never heard that was a deal breaker as it is with some guys. There may also be some intangibles that would be a concern, but I won't post them as it may just be unfair speculation on my part.
Overall, my guess is that the Sox will never seriously consider him at all, and in my opinion, rightfully so.