Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I
posted at 11/25/2013 11:51 AM EST
What's you best plan to spend $30M and keep our 4 early draft picks. A trade or two is almost essential.
OK Moon, I'll play that game! First though let me state that I generally support signing one FA with a QO. I just don't think we can afford 2. We should be in win now mode. Now is not the time to go cheap overall,but I do want to stay under the cap.
Regarding Choo, I think it's a scenario where we play Choo in LF, trade Nava for some real value maybe at catcher, Use Carp and a solid RH hitter like Morse for a platoon at 1st. Go with Bogaerts at SS and JBJ in CF. Ideally sign Tanaka and probably trade a starter like Dempster or Peavy for talent to fill another need.
Choo / Beltran in LF at up from $15- $20 mil / year
Carp / Morse at $5 mil / year
Trade Peavy to unload $14 mil. Sign Tanaka ideally at $11 mil / year actually saving cap money in comparison to Peavy.
That is improving the team a lot while still staying under the cap. Even signing Choo at $20 mil per year keeps the team under the cap with this approach.
You didn't really stick to the no QO challenge, but I do think we will sign one QO player (maybe one of our own (Napoli), but it would be interesting if we could build a strong contender and keep the 4 picks.
Signing Tanaka makes the most sense under this challenge. It allows us to trade Dempster and Peavy and actually improve our rotation while saving luxury tax budget money. Let's say we keep Dempster for middle and long relief...
Trade Peavy & Lava for C Hanigan & RHP Alfredo Simon: save ~$10M.
Remaining winter spending budget: ~$40M
$12M x 5 Tanaka (Best player for luxury tax numbers)
$7M x 3 Mujica (Closer insurance)
$7M x 2 C. Hart (or Morse)
$7M x 2 R. Davis (Takes pressure off JBJ)
$3M x 2 C. Barmes (2nd best UZR/150 from 2011-2013 ar SS)
Lots of flexibility:
Barmes at SS, Bogey at 3B, Middy/Hart/Carp at 1B.
Bogey at SS, Middy at 3B, Hart/Carp/Nava at 1B.
Hart in RF, Vict in CF or Vict in RF and Davis/JBJ in CF.