A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    I like the new replay rule but wonder why they left in the "in the vicinity rule" on DPs at 2B. I guess they view injuries as more important than keeping the rules consistent.

    I wonder how many times we will see a player intentionally delay the game in order to give team reps time to review a play, and determine if they want to ask for an official review.

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from jidgef. Show jidgef's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    I would like the replay rule a lot more if the reviews were triggered by a fifth umpire not on the field but monitoring the play. There could be one at each venue or a centralized operation run out of the league office or out of MLBTV, which could be one in the same. Why do managers have to worry about challenges; just use the available technology to get the calls right. This could actually shorten games (the biggest argument againt replay has always been that it adds to the length of games.) by eliminating arguments with umpires.

     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to jidgef's comment:

    I would like the replay rule a lot more if the reviews were triggered by a fifth umpire not on the field but monitoring the play. There could be one at each venue or a centralized operation run out of the league office or out of MLBTV, which could be one in the same. Why do managers have to worry about challenges; just use the available technology to get the calls right. This could actually shorten games (the biggest argument againt replay has always been that it adds to the length of games.) by eliminating arguments with umpires.



    Good points. There will be cases where that 5th guy misses something before the next pitch, so there should still be some way a manager can stop action to ask for a review.

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    So far, the Sox have invied 12 non-roster players to spring training:

    Blake Swihart

    Henry Owens

    Matt Barnes

    Dalier Hinojosa

    John Ely

    Tommy Layne

    Deven Marrero

    Noe Ramirez

    Mike McCoy

    Brandon Snyder

    Travis Shaw

    Heiker Meneses

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from ampoule. Show ampoule's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to jidgef's comment:

    I would like the replay rule a lot more if the reviews were triggered by a fifth umpire not on the field but monitoring the play. There could be one at each venue or a centralized operation run out of the league office or out of MLBTV, which could be one in the same. Why do managers have to worry about challenges; just use the available technology to get the calls right. This could actually shorten games (the biggest argument againt replay has always been that it adds to the length of games.) by eliminating arguments with umpires.




    As usual, great post.

     
  6. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    I've revised my estimate of this year's revenue sharing dollars. It's not $25 mil. It's more like $40 mil. Even teams like the Marlins and Houston should get a check for $40 mil this year from revenue sharing alone. Disgusting isn't it.

    It is significant to note that a whole lot of rumble is around the rumor that Theo is making a big run at Tanaka for the Cubs. Their TV deal with WGN ends in 2014 and the first city Tanaka visited was Chicago.

    Hmmm...

    The Kershaw deal would imply that the Dodgers would be a little less inclined to sign Tanaka. This all ends by next Friday according to reports. Can you imagine making maybe $150 mil with one contract? Man, I would be signing something soon!

     
  7. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    Hill we just can't cut you any slack here can we! No doubt that Seattle still has a ton of top pitching talent on the farm and Walker's upside alone beats any of our guys by far. Seattle is coming back!

    Seattle is a sleeper team. If even one of these guys ( Walker or Paxton ) emerges to support the top 2 guys they have there in Iwakura and the King they could be a great team next year. Cano should help them. I bet they are not done yet this winter also.

    What a division that is shaping up to be. The Angels, Texas, Oakland, Seattle.....

    and then there is Houston!

     
  8. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    Hill we just can't cut you any slack here can we! No doubt that Seattle still has a ton of top pitching talent on the farm and Walker's upside alone beats any of our guys by far. Seattle is coming back!

    Seattle is a sleeper team. If even one of these guys ( Walker or Paxton ) emerges to support the top 2 guys they have there in Iwakura and the King they could be a great team next year. Cano should help them. I bet they are not done yet this winter also.

    What a division that is shaping up to be. The Angels, Texas, Oakland, Seattle.....

    and then there is Houston!



    The 'stros are talking about trading Castro. What a bunch of yahoos down here.

     
  9. You have chosen to ignore posts from Soph. Show Soph's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    Maybe it's time MLB institute a floor for player payroll similar to luxury tax threshold. Penalty would be to deduct team's revenue share by the amount below the payroll floor. 

    Houstons of major league has to step up. If they can't afford it, then get out.

     
  10. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    A lower payroll than the Marlins! That says it all. And they have a TV deal which pays them $80 mil a year. Their TV deal pays for their entire payroll 4 times over. Just their revenue sharing allotment should pay them twice as much as their payroll. It is an incredible rip off.

     
  11. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    The league does put a lot of pressure on teams like the Marlins. They will not put up with it for long!

    They could sign Tanaka and more than double their payroll right there! The last I looked over 1/2 that team was making mlb minimum.

     
  12. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    As a business proposition, it may be that Houston is just going to milk that cow for all it's worth until they get body slammed by the league. I don't know their financial situation much but the profits from the team have to be outrageous even with near zero attendance.

     
  13. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    I know I keep talking about the finances of teams recently but the influx of new money into the game is incredible. We may just be beginning to see it's impact. Even teams like the Rangers with $150 mil per year coming from their local TV deal. Seattle with a new $115 mil per year deal. Add the impact of revenue sharing and some of these teams are just going to be willing to break the bank. It's inevitable.

    And the Cubs might well be the best example of that in the near future. 

     
  14. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    5 teams make offers to Tanaka:

    NYY, Cubs, CWS, AZ, & LAD

    No Sox.

    No Seattle.

    No LAA.

     
  15. You have chosen to ignore posts from Soph. Show Soph's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    I know it's silly but all things being equal, I would rather play in warm weather. Hello, Dodgers.

     
  16. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to Soph's comment:

    I know it's silly but all things being equal, I would rather play in warm weather. Hello, Dodgers.



    Arizona gets toasty too.

     
  17. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    Here's a look at the Sox players with years of control and the prospects that might take their places. I did this quickly, so there may be some errors here and there:

     

     

    Edit:

    Ooops, it wouldn't paste....sorry!

     
  18. You have chosen to ignore posts from southpaw777. Show southpaw777's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    As a business proposition, it may be that Houston is just going to milk that cow for all it's worth until they get body slammed by the league. I don't know their financial situation much but the profits from the team have to be outrageous even with near zero attendance.




    The new owners  sued the former owners because they lied to them about tv money and other finances. Im wondering if they are waiting for that to be completed along with waiting for their prospects to really put more $$ into the team.

    http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on-baseball/24270603/astros-owner-jim-crane-sues-former-owner-drayton-mclane

     
  19. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to southpaw777's comment:

    In response to RedsoxProspects' comment:

    As a business proposition, it may be that Houston is just going to milk that cow for all it's worth until they get body slammed by the league. I don't know their financial situation much but the profits from the team have to be outrageous even with near zero attendance.




    The new owners  sued the former owners because they lied to them about tv money and other finances. Im wondering if they are waiting for that to be completed along with waiting for their prospects to really put more $$ into the team.

    http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/eye-on-baseball/24270603/astros-owner-jim-crane-sues-former-owner-drayton-mclane



    The 'stros have been slowly building up their farm. Getting top picks helps. They are saying they will spend big when they feel enough of the kids are ready to contribute. It's really not a bad strategy: stay bad long enough to stockpile top pick prospects, then bring them all up near the same time and complement them with some good free agents.

    It's a great venue to watch a game down here in Houston. They sell a lot of tickets, even though they have been so bad lately, but I do notice that like Florida, there are a lot of transplanted people down here with other team loyalties, so many of the games with high attendance is due to opposing team fans buying a significant amount of the tickets. I saw the Sox down here, and it seemed like there were almost the same amount of fans for each team.

    I think they had about 20K per game, which could grow much higher with a winning team. They are having a big battle over viewer access to the games on cable. Many fans do not have a way to watch the teams down here on their own TV.

    It's a mess.

     
  20. You have chosen to ignore posts from slasher9. Show slasher9's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    I'm not sure i care whether or not John Henry receives a $40MM check.  but i would guess trying to stay under to get this "bonus" check will prevent us from making 1 or 2 moves that could benefit the club....

    greed at it's finest.

     
  21. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to slasher9's comment:

    I'm not sure i care whether or not John Henry receives a $40MM check.  but i would guess trying to stay under to get this "bonus" check will prevent us from making 1 or 2 moves that could benefit the club....

    greed at it's finest.



    My guess is that once that revenue sharing check stops coming to the Sox, Henry will open up the wallet and go over the limit, if needed.

     
  22. You have chosen to ignore posts from S5. Show S5's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

    So far, the Sox have invied 12 non-roster players to spring training:

    Blake Swihart

    Henry Owens

    Matt Barnes

    Dalier Hinojosa

    John Ely

    Tommy Layne

    Deven Marrero

    Noe Ramirez

    Mike McCoy

    Brandon Snyder

    Travis Shaw

    Heiker Meneses



    I hate to ask stupid questions...but sometimes I do anyway. :-)

    Is this in addition to the 40?  And not the 25?

    And where do you find this information?

     
  23. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    Spring training invites are completely separate. The 25 man roster is which players can actually play a regular season or playoff game. The 40 man is who is eligible for a call up for a regular season game or in some instances during an injury in a playoff game. They could invite 100 players to spring training if they wanted but it is operationally inefficient.

    Houston's payroll is so low though that something is going to give. They must be incredibly overleveraged if they are having any issues at all financially given the cash flow coming in year to year. Even if they bought the team completely on credit they should have no problem with meeting bill payments. Maybe they had to put up quite a bit up front in cash and are maxed out. That could well be a problem.

    You know what...I actually want Henry to get his $40 mil. The guy deserves every bit of support we have given him and his group. 3 WS wins so far and a competitive team almost every year. The guy is fantastic to me and I hope he makes billions.

     
  24. You have chosen to ignore posts from RedsoxProspects. Show RedsoxProspects's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    If it's true we actually didn't even make a $100 mil run at Tanaka I'd be surprised. I hope we don't go into some huge conservative spending freeze. I have no problem with the current spending level but if the mlb agreement means we can't get revenue sharing dollars any more in 2016 and we are in the running I'd like to see us go after top guys again some at that point at least. We can afford it. Maybe it's prudent right now because of the $40 mil but I don't want it to become a consistent policy every year. If a major talent becomes available like a Tanaka and Darvish I don't want to just punt. At least try a $100 mil deal for Tanaka. 

     
  25. You have chosen to ignore posts from jidgef. Show jidgef's posts

    Re: A Realistic View at 2014: Part I

    In response to S5's comment:

    In response to moonslav59's comment:

     

    So far, the Sox have invied 12 non-roster players to spring training:

    Blake Swihart

    Henry Owens

    Matt Barnes

    Dalier Hinojosa

    John Ely

    Tommy Layne

    Deven Marrero

    Noe Ramirez

    Mike McCoy

    Brandon Snyder

    Travis Shaw

    Heiker Meneses

     



    I hate to ask stupid questions...but sometimes I do anyway. :-)

     

    Is this in addition to the 40?  And not the 25?

    And where do you find this information?



    These guys are in addition to the players on the 40-man roster who will all, presumably, be invited to ST. There may also be a group of veteran free-agent invitees as there is most years; haven't heard about any of those yet.

     
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