Re: A total rebuild was the better long-term option
posted at 12/16/2012 4:44 PM EST
In response to SonicsMonksLyresVicars' comment:
Gomes will hit LHP. Hopefully they get a RHH LF better than Nava. I would prefer someone like David Murphy, Seth Smith, or David DeJesus.
I assume you meant LHH LF'er.
Yes, Gomes had great numbers vs LHPs. His career OPS is a hefty .894 vs lefties. To get an idea of what he can do in this split, here are his career numbers prorated to 650 PAs:
.284 29 90 (.382 OBP/.512 SLG)
His OPS in 2012: .974 in 196 PAs. Prorated to 650: .299 36 89 (.413/.561)
As it stands now, if we don't get a LHH'ing LF'er, we have a few players who will be fighting for the slot, none of which inspire much confidence:
Numbers vs RHPs (note: most are small sample sizes):
Nava (SH) .261/.369/.399/.768 in 374 career PAs. (.261 6 79 w 53 2B/3Bs)
Kalish (LH) .239/.295/.348/.644 in 222 career PAs. (.239 11 73 w 29 2Bs)
As I have mentioned before, Shane Victorino really struggles vs RHPs as well, so getting another corner OF'er who can hit righties well and also field RF well might be a nice pick-up.
Victorino (SH) vs RHPs:
.267/.330/.402/.732 in career 2979 PAs (not counting a .563 OPS batting RH'd vs RHPs in 91 career PAs.)
Prorated to 650: .267 10 60 (35 2B+3Bs)
2012: .229/.296/.333/.629 (Prorated: .229 6 53 with 32 2B+3Bs)
I'd be ok with a Gomes/Nava LF platoon if they each batted the other way around i.e. cheap pair that mashes against righties and has a high OBP against lefties. But they don't, and neither fields well, so that doesn't seem like a good platoon to me.
Victorino's splits as a LHB were decent until 2012 so if he can recover to a respectable level (career LHB OPS is .732 plus his great defense and speed) perhaps he could play every day platooning with Gomes in LF and a decent LHB in RF.
Victorino is the RF'er until Jacoby gets traded or walks, then he will move to CF (unless Bradley rises quickly).
As for Victorino being "decent until 2012" vs RHPs, I guess that depends on what you call "decent" vs RHPs (65% of games) and at $13M a year.
If he can repeat .787 while still hitting lefties very well, I wouldn't be too upset. Maybe hitting in Fenway will help.