Re: AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox
posted at 12/3/2013 8:43 PM EST
In response to RedSoxDOrtiz's comment:
Very telling stats from SOSH comparing AJ to Salty's hitting
Salty's contact rate is sub-70's. A.J's has always been mid-high 80's.
Salty's career K% is 29.4% versus A.J.'s 11.5%.
Salty's BABIP was .373 in 2013. Despite that being a soft metric, that's not likely sustainable. A.J's was closer to his career numbers which may indicate his performance is.
Salty's closer to J.P. Arencibia than Pierzynski as a hitter. Raw-boned power with lots of flailing at the plate. I'm not disagreeing, but am saying that AJ isn't a Salty clone at all.
I don't know if Salty only hits lousy pitching, but he does seem like a guy who is relatively easy to pitch to in big spots- and the starts sort of bear that out.
In high leverage spots, he's had a 637 OPS in his career (with a 8% BB rate, and 34% K rate). Medium lev is 753 (8%, 27%), low lev at 770 (9%, 29%).
Conversely, AJP has a 799 OPS In high lev situations (6% BB, 12% K), 742 in medium lev (2%, 10%), and 733 in low lev (4%, 12%).
I'll go one step further. In 2013:
vs. teams .500 or worse: 331/407/549/956
vs. teams .500 or better: 232/288/408/696
Salty's numbers greatly improved in almost every area of his game, except throwing.
One big improvement from 2012 to 2013 was his OBP.
His LD% also improved from 22.8% to 28.6%.
Late and ClosePAs in the 7th or later with the team tied, ahead by 1 or the tying run on deck... a much better "clutch" stat than high leverage.
2012: .725 was 3rd on the Sox and 10 RBI was 3rd (78 PA was 5th)
2013: .683 but 3rd in RBI while 8th in PAs (12 in 77)
That's 22 RBI in 155 PAs Late & Close
2012: .654 OPS with 7 RBI in 93 PAs
2013: .584 OPS with 9 RBI in 92 PAs
That's 16 RBIs in 185 PAs Late & Close
How soon many of us forget his walk off hit in the playoffs.