AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox

  1. You have chosen to ignore posts from patrickford. Show patrickford's posts

    Re: AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox

    The signing hints the Sox felt Ellsbury would sign with the Yankees. 
    Ellsbury runs wild against lousy catchers. 

     
  2. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox

     
  3. You have chosen to ignore posts from tom-uk. Show tom-uk's posts

    Re: AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox

    In response to hill55's comment:

    Steamer also projects a 2014 WAR* of 2.1 in 113 games for A.J. Pierzynski, 2.9 in 146 games for Jarrod Saltalamacchia and 2.2 in 97 games for Ryan Hanigan.

    I'm not sure Pierzynski was the first choice of the Red Sox at catcher.

    * Wins Above Replacement as reported at FanGraphs



    Salty's decision to turn down the Sox' two year offer does not surprise me, but if he wanted to play with a contender why not take the two years. Let's say he turned down $16/2, he didn't bet on himself to be worth $5m in 2016 as a 31yo FA?

    I know strict C platoons are rare but if you exclude Salty's 2013 high BABIP year, AJP and Salty were not too different at the plate.  

    2011 + 2012 vs RHP OPS:

    AJP   .791       Salty  .782      McCann   .772     Weiters   .691

     

     
  4. You have chosen to ignore posts from moonslav59. Show moonslav59's posts

    Re: AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox

    Moon... you are painting Salty to be clutch and the stats paint a very different picture. 

    No, I am trying to counter some posters who are trying to claim Salty is less clutch than he actually was.

     

    They statistically show that he is a mistake ball hitter and gets taken advantage of by more advanced pitchers.  I will give both examples from this year as well as his career numbers.  I took these from my earlier post about an hour ago.

    Salty @High leverage spots had a 637 OPS in his career (with a 8% BB rate, and 34% K rate). 
    Salty @Medium leverage Spots is 753 OPS (8%, 27%), 
    Salty @low lev at 770 OPS (9%, 29%).
    Salty vs. teams .500 or worse: 331/407/549/956
    Salty vs. teams .500 or better: 232/288/408/696
    Salty's contact rate is sub-70's.
    Salty's career K% is 29.4%
    Salty's BABIP was .373 in 2013. Despite that being a soft metric, that's not likely sustainable.

    Don't you think the 6% rise in LD% accounted for some of that BAbip rise?

    Why are you ignoring Late & Close stats?

    What are the league norms for catchers in high, medium, and low leverage situations, and how does Salty's numbers compare with his peers?

    Fangraphs had his contact rate at 70.2%, 69.9% and 70.6% his last 3 years, but what does this matter as long as his OBP kept rising sharply?

     

    Stop comparing catchers to the league average, although Salty's numbers mostly beat that as well. Compare salty's numbers to other catchers, and he is top 10 in most important categories last year or 2012-2013 combined.

     

    MLB catcher numbers in 2013:

    .245/.310/.388/.698

    BB% 7.9

    K%  20.3%

    Contact% 78.8%

    LD% 20.9%

     

    Salty:

    .273/.338/.466/.804

    BB% 9.1% (I'll take the higher BB% and the higher K% together anyday)

    K%  29.1%

    Contact% 70.2% (about 8% lower than the catcher norm)

    LD% 28.6% (about 8% higher than the catcher norm)

     

    Here's MLB's catcher numbers overall vs Salty:

    High leverage:      .319/.395/.715  (Salty was .533 in 2013/ .693 in 2012)

    Medium leverage: .316/.395/.711  (Salty was .793/.641)

    Low leverage:      .304/.381/.684   (Salty was .918/.841)

     

    Plus, how many catchers have had a walk off hit in the ALCS recently?

     

    Salty will never be known as a clutch hitter, but he is not as bad as many here want to paint him out to be. That was the point of my response: not to say he is clutch.

     
  5. You have chosen to ignore posts from J-BAY. Show J-BAY's posts

    Re: AJ Pierzynski agreed to deal with the Red Sox

     

    Pete Abraham @PeteAbe 5m

    Pierzynski doing a call with #RedSox writers. "This isn't my team," he said. Says he just wants to fit in

    Pete Abraham @PeteAbe 5m

    Pierzynski laughed at the notion he doesn't get along with Peavy. Said he spoke to him about coming to Boston.

    Pete Abraham @PeteAbe 3m

    Pierzynski said it was "impossible to say no" to the #RedSox because he how much he wanted to win again.

     
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