Re: Another Yankee pitching bust?
posted at 3/9/2012 2:45 PM EST
In Response to Re: Another Yankee pitching bust?
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Another Yankee pitching bust? : Furthermore it looks like Seattle intends to have him catch. I watched Yogi Berra as a kid develope into a decent defensive catcher and personally had a few problems with Posada's defense but his hitting kept him on the field. If Montero's bat is what most scouts expect it to be I think the catching gaffes will be overlooked. But honestly i don't know at this stage of his career how good he will be defensively. Mike Piazza was another good hitting catcher with a so-so glove. Posted by ThatWasMe[/QUOTE] Is Montero's .814 OPS at AAA at age 21 really that much better than Lavarnway's .907 OPS in A ball? The problem for Montero is he was better at the same level at age 20 than his was at age 21. If he spends this year at AAA, and his numbers drop again, and he fails to improve defensively, you might not see him on anybody's top prospect list. Posted by slomag[/QUOTE] Unless he's lost during the spring, Montero is not going to be at AAA this yr; and may I remind you of the large comparative #s between these 2 during their respective cups of coffee at the bigs last yr, in addition to the age difference. Also it is commonplace for scouts to disagree on prospects, even in the cases of Moore, Darvish, Strasburg, & Harper. Based on what occurred last Aug-Sep, your should give your prediction/projection prowess a rest.
Posted by nhsteven[/QUOTE]
I wasn't making a prediction - just saying that youth is attractive in prospects because it represents potential, but the numbers have the final say. If you have a 24-year-old who has improved with every year, at every level - that's more valuable than a 21-year-old with a great swing whose numbers are regressing. Montero looked great in his callup, but he had been heating up at the end of the season at AAA. Is he a streaky hitter, or was playing hurt for a lot of the year? Lavarnway had a ridiculous hot streak in July & August last year - I'm sure if his call up co-incided with this streak, his numbers would have been comparable.
BTW, since you brought it up, I'd like to point out that my prediction was that the Yankees would play .500 ball the last two months, and that Garcia and Colon could not stay healthy and effective. They actually played .550 ball, and Garcia missed 2 weeks in August and had a 5.22 ERA over the last two months. Colon's ERA was 5.37 in that time. Sure, I missed a total collapse by the Sox, but add the Agon and Lavarnway predictions (my first post was 2 years ago on this kid), and I'd say I'm looking like the BDC Nostradamus right now.