Re: Anyone read or believe this note on Drew?
posted at 2/10/2014 5:12 PM EST
Arroyo pitched in the non-DH league, in a weaker hitting division, and a weaker hitting league.
3 year WAR:
I think they are very close.
Other 2013 numbers:
Dempster WAR 1.3, xFIP 4.21, ERA- 110, tERA 5.37, SIERA 4.26
B Arroyo WAR 0.8, xFIP 3.97, ERA- 105, tERA 5.04, SIERA 4.15
Again, these numbers are very close.
For the money saved by trading Dempster, we might be able to acquire 2 decent role players in July.
What does WAR matter? Your's or someone else's analysis on Stephen Drew WAR said he should have been signed right away because his WAR was better than 65% of SS's in MLB, yet where is he?
Comparing Dempster's and Arroyo's WAR has nothing to do with signing Drew.
You used ERA and W-Ls to say that there was "no comparison" between the two. Do you really think you can compare a NL pitcher's ERA to an AL pitcher's ERA without making any adjustment?
They are about as close as you can get in so many ways: age, last 3 year , and last year's numbers. WAR is not everything, but it is certainly a better tool than comparing two pitcher's ERAs from different leagues and home ball parks.
Dempster had a 4.03 ERA away and a 2.57 ERA vs the NL in 2013.
Arroyo had a 4.31 road ERA and a 7.48 ERA vs the AL last year.
Think these numbers mean anything at all?
Adjust the numbers accordingly, and the two are very similar, in fact, I give the edge to Dempster over the last 3 years, 2 years or 1 year.