Re: Anyone read or believe this note on Drew?
posted at 2/7/2014 11:24 PM EST
In response to BMav's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
I think he'd take less elsewhere to get a chance to play SS FT and try and have a big year to get a bigger pay check next year.
He will not be our back up anything.
He's a better fielder than Bogey right now, and hits RHPs better than Middy.
At worst, we sign him and sit him vs most lefties, but that's still called "full time". That's still 500-550+ PAs.
If Drew is signed- he is the SS.
My problem is with the certainty you are saying things.
First, one thing Drew is not better then either Middlebrooks and Bogaerts is hitting lefties. Which is the point of playing him only against lefties or for injuries. His wRC+ was 53 last year and 74 career vs lefties. Why play him against lefties instead of Middlebrooks or Bogaerts? Middlebrooks is a 124 btw against lefties. Why start Drew against ANY lefties?
Ask John and Ben. They did it last year, even though I was suggesting he sit vs almost all LH'd starters. I'm sure there are a few here and there that he hits well.
Second, you don't get 500 PA's playing only against righties, especially hitting lower in the lineup. However, he would get 400+. If starting him about 110 games plus injuries is a starter, call him the starter. He would play more them Middlebrooks probably.
Actually, I said Drew plays against all RHPs and some LHPs. If Drew starts vs every RH'd starter and plays that whole game (probable), that's about 450 PAs out of the 650 total from one position. If he gets another 50 vs the LH'd starters he does well against and maybe a few from coming in late in games, he can certainly get 500.'
I based the 500 number on no injuries. He did get 501 last year, even though he missed time. He might end up at 450, but he won't sign if you tell him he's going to be a utility IF'er or part-time SS. If he signs for 1-2 years, he's looking to his next contract.
Also, its possible they start Bogey or Middlebrooks in AAA. Or trade Middlebrooks at some point. Or there is a major injury. All things that would give Drew more AB's then I am saying.
Yes, I agree, if Drew signs, Bogey will likely start in AAA, unless Middy looks bad in ST.
Finally, I could definately see the red sox signing Drew and playing him more then Bogaerts or even Middlebrooks at 3rd base.
I strongly disagree. If they wouldn't play Drew at 3B instead of Iggy, they won't instead of Bogey.
There is a ton of value IMO in signing him and platooning him. His ENTIRE 3 type WAR value would still be gotten. And you would have tons of insurance depth. And you would not block anybody all that much. Not Bogaerts playing SS. And not Middlebrooks getting enough AB's to figure out what you have.
$8M for a utility IF'er who will refuse the offer anyways is not going to happen- sorry for being so blunt.
I think a lot of different things are possible and even reasonable.
I think Drew would take way less from the Mets to play FT at SS.