Re: Back in 1st place
posted at 7/29/2013 9:31 AM EDT
In response to S5's comment:
This team is in first place and it's because they're playing well. At this point there is nobody in the "starting 9" (including Papi) whom I can see the Sox replacing at a reasonable cost. I see only one good reason to make a move - to show the team that the FO is willing to help the team win this year.
Pitching? Maybe we need to stop thinking about what our expectations were for each pitcher (and our rating them 1-5) and instead think about what they've actually done this year.
Buch - Gee, I hope he comes back, but even if he does I don't expect another 1.7 ERA. But assuming he doesn't come back at all.....
Lester has been up and down but has been obviously trying to solve his problems. Some solutions have worked, some haven't, but over the past two weeks all three of his starts have been QS, including that gem yesterday against a very good hitting team.
Lackey - He's been very consistent and has an ERA over his past 10 games hovering right around 3.00
Dubront - He's given up 18 runs over his past 62 innings since early June. That translates to an ERA of 2.62
Dempster - The much-maligned Ryan Dempster has pitched 10 times since early June and nine of those have been QS. ERA = 4.01. Is there really a "#5 pitcher" who's pitching that well anywhere?
But... since Buch is out we still need another pitcher. Right now the man of the hour is Brandon Workman. You can scream "small sample size" all you want, but it's all we've got so it's not fair to discount it completely. After his first rocky start he's had two starts and given up four runs in twelve innings. That's pretty good for a short-term replacement. ERA ove rthose two games = 3.00
My point is that I don't see it necessary to go out and make any big splashes by trading one of our top six prospects for Cliff Lee, etc.. If this team is going to make a trade (and I think they should if only to show the players that the FO is committed) they should be looking to trade 2, 3, or even 4 mid-level prospects for another BP arm - OR one of our 3b/SS prospects not named Iggy or Bogarts + a mid-level prospect or two for a REAL closer.
Having the right to do something doesn't make it the right thing to do.
That first "start" for Workman was a relief appearence and probably jacked his ERA to the moon. The last 2 games were actual starts and that ERA over those 2 games is what we should go by.
I agree with what we should be looking for on the trade market. BULLPEN HELP!!!