Re: BASE HIT, LAVARNWAY.... HOW YA GOING TO KEEP THIS BOY.........
posted at 3/5/2012 4:38 PM EST
In Response to Re: BASE HIT, LAVARNWAY.... HOW YA GOING TO KEEP THIS BOY.........
[QUOTE]Have him DH next year.
Posted by myaim45[/QUOTE]
Will Ryan Lavarnway hit well enough at the MLB level to be a designated hitter?
In some respects, Lavarnway resembles Seattle hitting prospect Vinnie Catricala, a righthanded power hitter who has torn up minor league pitching while in search of a defensive position. Both are ranked behind Jesus Montero on prospect list despite superior hitting statistics in the minors. Baseball America
ranks each player ninth on his team's prospect list*. Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com and John Sickels have Lavarnway fourth and Catricala sixth, Baseball Prospectus
has Lavarnway fourth and Catricala eighth (before Montero's arrival) and FanGraphs
has Lavarnway eighth and Catricala tenth.
Overall, Catricala ranks 134th and Lavarnway 139th on this "consensus" prospect list:http://stealofhome.wordpress.com/2012/02/27/2012-consensus-top-185-prospects/
Here are the minor league lines for Lavarnway and Catricala:
Lavarnway .284/.376/.521/.897, 1601 PA
Catricala .322/.397/.536/.933, 1423 PA**
Lavarnway, who is 14 months older than Catricala, has played only 78 games above the Double A level while Catricala has not played above the Double A level. The Mariners continue to look at Catricala at third base, where he was drafted, although Catricala's defensive struggles have prompted auditions at first base and in the outfield.
Lavarnway clearly has value if the Yale product can stick at catcher, but his value elsewhere is less clear. Likewise for Catricala if the Seattle prospect can't find a defensive position.
* the Mariner prospect list is more highly regarded at the top end than the Red Sox list
** even without his statistics from the hitter-friendly California League, Catricala's statistics hold up well against Lavarnway's stats.