Re: Braves to get Justin Upton from D-Backs
posted at 1/24/2013 12:17 PM EST
In response to BosoxJoe5's comment:
Unless the Sox wanted to give up Middlebrooks it was unlikely they could have offered a similar package.
A somewhat roughly similar package from Boston would have looked like this:
Saltalamacchia (instead of Prado...useful player a year from FA...obviously not quite as valuable as Prado, but no Chris Johnson in return here either)
Rubby de la Rosa (virtually the same in every way value wise to Randall Delgado)
Anthony Ranaudo (#6 Sox prospect, similar profile to #6 Braves prospect Zeke Spruill)
Jose Iglesias (#10 Sox prospect, replaces his near equivalent in #10 Braves prospect Nick Ahmed)
Kolbrin Vitek (#12 Sox prospect, replaces #13 Braves prospect Brandon Drury...Vitek is older, but has a much better pedigree, and is more versatile).
Obviously the matches aren't perfect, but I'm surprised by how similar everyone matches up here. Assuming that the value lost to the DBacks in getting Salty instead of Prado is made up by the Sox not getting Chris Johnson in return and from the value upgrade of Vitek over Drury, and you have an almost clone deal here.
It's worth noting that the Sox have a better list of top prospects than the Braves do, but the players mentioned above still match up nicely. Assuming that the DBacks would want the Sox package to be better than the Braves one (and remember, Upton could reject any deal to Boston if he wanted), then a Sox package might have had to look like this: Salty, Allen Webster, Ranaudo, Vitek, Deven Marrero. Not crazy expensive, but still pretty substantial.
*note: all rankings cited from http://tigers.mlb.com/mlb/prospects/watch/y2012/. Obviously rankings are very subjective, so I aimed to make sure the prospects matched up by profile, and not just blindly by rank