Re: Clay Buchholz Out Of Rotation?
posted at 4/21/2014 7:40 PM EDT
In response to moonslav59's comment:
They are combined ML and minor league starts totals.
ok got it wasn't sure had no idea what U meant by all leagues
stiil I think his point has merit
over the last few yrs
not once 200 inn
I never tried to claim he was an iron man. He is far from that.
Buch is young enough that expecting several seasons of 200+ IP is not such a big deal. Many SP'ers have their innings limited until 25 or 26 years old.
Buch has been hurt 2 of the last 3 years. That is concerning to me. I get it.
The intital post claimed he never lasts a full season. I'd say 26 starts at ages 22 & 23 is more than the norm. I'd say 32 and 29 starts at ages 24 & 25 is better than the norm. 30 starts in 2012 could be considered a full season, so basically, he's had 2 of the last 7 seasons with less than expected games started numbers. That's hardly supportive evidence of his claim.
I would argue Buccholz can't be considered 'young' anymore, and expecting any 200 inning seasons at any point over the rest of his career would be extremely optimistic.
As he approaches 30, 2 of 3 years have been seriously hampered by injury. That, combined with what has been a widely talked about issue of him NOT taking eating seriously...within the past year, I believe it was Bradford who stated Clay eats fast food more than you'd imagine, or like to think. He's not in his early 20s, and I think the cumulative effects of seriously bad habits are catching up to him...perhaps already have. After he threw his no hitter in his second career start, the stories started to come out about how much he was loving the night life, supermodels, and being young. Not so different from Gronk or Seguin.
If he can turn that corner, and treat this like a FULL TIME, YEAR ROUND JOB, and take better care of himself...he COULD turn the corner and surprise many, including me. But this is the post-PED era, he does not have a large frame, and he's almost 30. I honestly think he has maybe 3-4 effective years left, if that. At 32, he'll have about 10 major league years on that thin arm and frame. Combined with poor habits.