[QUOTE]Hey all, I thought it might be handy to see some numbers regarding Crawford...I have no purpose in mind by putting these together other than to give us all some perspective. We know he started poorly, and he's been great since then...what will things look like if he hits well for the rest of the season? First, some slash lines (avg/obp/slg/ops) In April: .155/.204/.227/.431 Since April: .303/.327/.497/.824 Since May 23: .333/.363/.667/1.029 We are all well acquainted with how poor Crawford's April was, and we know he's been great in recent weeks (.667 slugging is amazing...and given his track record, likely to not stick long term). But I was pleasantly surprised how good he's been since the first day of May, as that's a good sample size, and bodes well for the rest of his season. What would a full season of his post-April and post-May-23 numbers look like? I project to 155 games, as that's in line with a normal Crawford season Since April: 186 hits, 28 2Bs, 16 3Bs, 20 HRs, 107 R, 99 RBI, 16 BB, 111 K, 16 SB, 8 CS Since May 23: 204 hits, 33 2B, 24 3Bs, 41 HRs, 139 R, 147 RBI, 16 BB, 90 K, 16 SB, 8 CS Clearly, the latter of those two is NOT the real Crawford, as it's more akin to last year's Jose Bautista or someone of that sort. But his numbers since April, a solid 1.5 months, are right in line of what we would expect of him (and even more impressive considering that it's all come from the 6th to 8th spot in the batting order). Finally, what would his FINAL BATTING LINE be if we took his post-April numbers, projected them to the end of the season, and added that to his April numbers? Essentially, if he keeps hitting as he has for 1.5 month (a reasonable assumption given that Crawford annually gets off to a slow start and then stays hot for the rest of the season) for the rest of the year, what will it all look like in the end? Here it is: 154 games, 647 PAs, 614 ABs, 171 hits, 27 2Bs, 13 3Bs, 18 HRs, 96 runs, 89 RBIs, 18 BBs, 110 Ks, 17 SBs, 9 CS .280/.307/.454/.762 It's not great, but it's not bad at all, and that's given the longest extended slump of his career. There's also always the chance that he'll keep hitting as he has in recent weeks (given Fenway Park and the ability of the lineup overall), so these numbers can be even better. Oh, and one more thing...here are some other notes to take from the above numbers: -Can Crawford improve his plate discipline? His strikeout rate has still been high since April, and his walk rate has still been about half what it usually is (though his K rate has improved in recent weeks). Is this because he's being pitched more aggressively than he was when he batted in the middle of the Ray order? Is he trying to purely hit out of his slump? -Where have all the steals gone? You need to get on base to steal, and all Crawford's recent extra base hits don't put him in steal situations, but the steal rate is VERY low. Is he trying to avoid making outs? Is it harder to steal that low in the lineup? He'll need to tack on more steals to be worth his contract. -One of the reasons Crawford IS worth the money and IS worth having is his versatility...he can contribute in every facet of the game of baseball. He can hit for an assortment of extra base hits, and at times even has legitimate home run power. He can hit for average. If his bat fails him, he can still wreck havok on the basepaths. He plays an elite OF defense. And even when he isn't in the best spot in the order, he can create runs by scoring or driving guys in. As with Dustin Pedroia, this is a guy who is a plus even when he's going poorly.
Posted by redsoxu571[/QUOTE]
He will never be worth the money he is being paid. And, no, pedroia is not a plus when playing poorly. In no way can hitting .260 with little to no pop be considered "plus".