Re: Dodgers have agreed to send Allen Webster, James Loney, Jerry Sands, Ivan De Jesus, and Rubby De La Rosa for Adrian Gonza...
posted at 8/25/2012 11:08 AM EDT
In Response to Re: Dodgers have agreed to send Allen Webster, James Loney, Jerry Sands, Ivan De Jesus, and Rubby De La Rosa for Adrian Gonzalez, Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford and Nick Punto
[QUOTE]I CAN NOT BELIEVE THAT A TEAM WOULD BE WILLING TO TAKE ON BECKETT'S CONTRACT. I NEVER THOUGHT THAT WOULD HAPPEN. THAT GOES DOUBLE FOR CRAWFORD....BUT YOU KNOW WHAT? I LOVE LA!!!!!!!!!!!!! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0b5LzCOc98E
Posted by andrewmitch[/QUOTE]
I was told there "was no way we could ever deal CC".
I was told "blockbuster trades were a thing of the past".
I was told we'd "have to eat mots of CC or Beckett's contracts".
Wrong, wrong, wrong.
Although I believe AGon is worth $22M/yr, it's not like he is a "steal" at that price. There really aren't any sure FA 1Bmen available this year, but I'm sure there are several trade options that can bring us a decent Bman at a fraction of the cost.
The big question is whether or not management is committed to spending the most of "saved money" to replace these guys. If not, then losing AGon is going to hurt badly, however, it doesn't mean we will not be competitive next year if we spend only half the money saved.
To stay at about the same salary level as this year, we will have about $90M to spend after our arb players are signed, not counting Papi. I hope we don't repeat our same mistakes with long term deals to players nearing the end of their prime, but with a further stacked farm system, I think we can trade for some higher priced players with shorter term deals that can fill some high need areas.
Here's a framework of what we might have starting next year with perhaps up to $90M to fill in the blanks...
2013 2014 and beyond
C Salty (Lava) Lava/Swihart
1B _______ (Gomez) T. Shaw (possibly Boagerts or Cecchini @ 1B)
2B Pedey Pedey (Coyle, Aviles, Ciriaco...)
3B Midd(Valencia,Aviles) Middlebrooks/Cecchini
SS Iggy or Ciriaco (Aviles) Bogaerts, Marrero, Vinicio, T.W. Lin)
LF ________ (Nava, Linares, Brentz, Owens, Jacobs)
CF Ellsbury (Sweeney, Bradley, Kalish, Lin)
RF _______ (Sweeney, Bradley, Kalish, Lin)
DH Lava/_______ (Gomez, Nava, Linares, Shaw)
SP Lester (Barnes, Britton, Ranaudo, Workman, Johnson, Light)
SP ________ (Aceves, Doubront, Morales, Mortensen, Tazawa)
SP Lackey (Stewart)
RP Miller (Morales/Doub)
RP Mortensen (Bard)
RP Atchison (Tazawa)
RP R Hill (Melancon/Carpenter/Beato/Wilson)
High needs in order of importance:
1) Slot 1/2 SP (Beckett)
2) 1Bman (AGon)
3) RF (Ross)
4) LF (CC)
5) Slot 3/4 SP (Lackey/Cook/DiceK)
6) DH (Ortiz)
In theory, we could average spending $15M/yr on all these 6 slots and be even. Chances are we will fill at least 1 or 2 from within, most likely Lava at DH and maybe2 of Sweeney, Kalish, Nava, Linares, Bradley, or Brentz sharing a corner OF position. Again, in theory, that would leave $90M to fill 4 slots or $22M for each of the 4 slots.
I am not advocating signing big named free agents to long term deals this winter, but $90M could get us...
Hamilton RF ($24-29M/yr)
Greinke SP ($17-22M/yr)
Montero C ($15-20M/yr)- move Salty or Lava to 1B/back-up C
Marcum/Sanchez/McCarthy SP ($10-15M/yr)
I'd rather have 4 from this list than AGon, Beckett, CC, and Papi.
Another option is to trade some of our new prospects with a few of our own for guys like Justin Upton and Jamie Shields- lower cost players with shorter term deals.