Re: Does anyone think........
posted at 12/14/2012 3:01 PM EST
In response to Alibiike's comment:
In response to SpacemanEephus's comment:
The club as constructed now is good for 80+ wins.
We had two pitchers in double digit wins last year (11).
We've added Dempster. Just where are these 80 wins going to come from? Each of the starting 5 would have to win a minimum of 12 games average to meet that goal, with the BP picking up the remaining 20. A tall order to be sure.
I just don't see it happening. We will lucky to play .500 ball.
Eh. Not sure its such a tall order. If the rotation is as stands, something to the effect of Lester, Buchholz, Lackey, Dempster, doubront/Morales/Tazawa, it is not very difficult at all to imagine that rotation averaging 12 wins. No 'aces' in there (unless Lester or Buchholz pitch their best, doubtful), but a solid rotation front to back. And a bullpen with any mix/match of Bailey/Bard/Tazawa/Uehara/Morales/Aceves/Miller/Melancon, thats about as stocked as it gets. So, not hard to imagine them picking up 20 either.
And a batting order, as stands, of Ellsbury, Victorino, Pedroia, Papi, Napoli, Middlebrooks, Salty, Gomes/Kalish/Nava, Ciriaco/Mendoza isn't conjuring images of murderer's rows, but i challenge you to name a line-up with a tougher overall 1-7. The offense will do its part.
This club, as constructed, doesn't seem to have world series written on it by any means. And, sure, after the debacle of 2012, of course I am inserting a little optimism by saying 80 wins. Things have to go right to get to the threshold and above. People have to stay healthy. But, based on what I lay out above, I think it is very reasonable to project success.