Re: Ellsbury in July--something new?
posted at 7/26/2011 1:41 PM EDT
In Response to Ellsbury in July--something new?
[QUOTE]For starters, it's probably his best month ever. OPS of 1.177. 7 dingers. 18 rbi's from the leadoff position. So, if he gets 1 more dinger and two rbi's this month, taking him to 8 dingers and 20 rbi's, that would translate to a season of 48 dingers and 120 rbi's, which would be very unusual for a leadoff guy. Not that I think he can do that--I'm just trying to interpret the July stats, nothing more. But there's something else. Since he has been on the Sox, Ellsbury has been known for his speed and for his basestealing. In fact, early in his MLB career, he commented that basestealing at this level was made a little easier by the great scouting reports on opposing pitchers. Just 2 years ago he led MLB with 70 and set a Sox record. Great. So why is it that, at the same time he is hitting great and getting on base a lot, he has attempted just 3 steals--all of them successful--in July? In fact, he hasn't even tried to steal for 14 consecutive games. Take last night as an example. Like everyone, Jake wasn't hitting much, but he did get on base twice with a single and later a walk. The first time, with no steal attempt by Ellsbury, Pedroia bounced into a double play. The second time, in extra innings, Jake led off with a walk. He had two shots at stealing, with first Pedroia and then AGon at the plate. No dice. Instead, Pedroia flied out for the first out, then AGon hit a hard single that the rightfielder bobbled, which allowed Ellsbury to get to 3B. If he had stolen second, he could have scored. The above is not intended to cast blame--others were far more culpable for last night's loss (and "culpable" is an unfair term because the Sox can't win every game)--but to point out that, with all the other success in Ellsbury's game, he seems to have lost one dimenstion, being a real threat on the basepaths. The month of July is of course a small statistical sampling, and Ellsbury could, one can only hope, quickly and easily reverse what seems to be a trend. Or maybe he can't. He's got 28 steals right now. Maybe he's close to bagging his limit for this year. Or maybe he's looking to bag other things besides SB's.
Posted by maxbialystock[/QUOTE]
Jacoby has been noticeably reluctant to steal recently. This could be partly due to being thrown out 10 times and not having the confidence he once did, or management telling him to take it easy. It could also be as simple as a pitcher and/or catcher not being as easy to steal on. Regardless it is interesting and I would never imagine Pede not only having 20 steals at this point but also a better SB percentage than Ells.