In response to SonicsMonksLyresVicars's comment:
In response to ADG's comment:
In response to moonslav59's comment:
But the biggest problem is that which team is willing to give up their best or second best starting pitcher? Pitching are so hard to find in nowadays!! Half of the top 25 2012 best MLB pitchers are all under the age of 30 years old. They are going to be too stupid to give him up. Heck no way that Seattle will give up Felix. Heck no way that Reds will give up Cueto. Heck no way that Rays will give up Price. Heck no way that White Sox will give up Sale....etc!! And the worst part is that all of these young pitchers have been helping the team to have a good year!!!
That is the problem. Boston is more likely to get a pitcher who is probably bit over-paid or a middle of the rotation pitcher. If Boston wanted a top notch starting pitcher, they may have to part away Ellsbury along with Bogaret, Lavarnway, etc
You are right, no way Ellsbury alone nets us a Cuetto, Price or Sale. However, maybe an Ellsbury Lavarnway, Aviles and Breslow could net us a Shields or Brett Anderson type.
moon - Aviles will be a free agent. He won't be offered arbitration. Lavarnway isn't worth anything right now and Breslow is another of lots of relievers. Given Ellsbury's contract status, the Red Sox would have to throw in a top 5 prospect.
And a question for you: Do you think Oakland would take Ellsbury for a year and give up a 25 year old Anderson? Can they afford Ellsbury? Has their formula worked? The same can be said for Tampa. Those teams won't give up that pitching for a player they'll get one year out of.
ADG - You think the Sox will let Aviles walk away for nothing? I don't, I think they will offer him arb....and I think he'll play SS next season from May onward after the SS Iglesias sinks under the Mendoza sea.
Sonics - They are not offering arbitration to guy coming off back to back seasons with an OBP below .290...He's a nice utility player, but he's clearly played his last game in a Sox uniform. Ciriaco will be less expensive and arguably gives them more value...