Ellsbury vs. Granderson
posted at 8/7/2011 1:16 PM EDT
Ellsbury at age 27 in his 3rd full season has been having a season worth 26.9 million so far this yearhttp://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4727&position=OF
Granderson at age 30 in his 6th season has been having a season worth 21.5 million.http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4747&position=OF
Ellsbury's 08/09 age 24-25 years compare well with Grandy's age 25 2006 year. Grandy 'broke out' with his nuts 20-20-20-20 year in 07 (worth 31 million) and then fell back to earth with 4 years worth about 17 million, 2 great ones (08/11) and 2 good ones (09-10).
Ells is breaking out now, just 1 year older than Granderson was in 07 and even if he regresses a bit over the next few years we should expect 20 million of value on average for 4-6 years.
Re: Ellsbury vs. Granderson
posted at 8/7/2011 3:13 PM EDT
Granderson is also only under contract for 2 more years at 23 million. Considering that is slightly more than Ells will make in arbitration, I would not swap Ells for Anderson if NY offered.