Ellsbury vs. Granderson

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    Ellsbury vs. Granderson

    Ellsbury at age 27 in his 3rd full season has been having a season worth 26.9 million so far this year

    http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4727&position=OF

    Granderson at age 30 in his 6th season has been having a season worth 21.5 million.

    http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=4747&position=OF

    Ellsbury's 08/09 age 24-25 years compare well with Grandy's age 25 2006 year. Grandy 'broke out' with his nuts 20-20-20-20 year in 07 (worth 31 million) and then fell back to earth with 4 years worth about 17 million, 2 great ones (08/11) and 2 good ones (09-10).

    Ells is breaking out now, just 1 year older than Granderson was in 07 and even if he regresses a bit over the next few years we should expect 20 million of value on average for 4-6 years.
     
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    Re: Ellsbury vs. Granderson

    Granderson is also only under contract for 2 more years at 23 million. Considering that is slightly more than Ells will make in arbitration, I would not swap Ells for Anderson if NY offered.

    Would you?

     
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