posted at 3/26/2013 9:41 AM EDT
In response to moonslav59's comment:
In response to ctredsoxfanhugh's comment:
In response to softlaw2's comment:
I can see a 3/75, or a 7/125
No chance Ellsbury gets 125M gauranteed. Zero.
If he repeats his 2011 campaign, you can take that to the bank.
You can call it dumb because you're president of the "humanity against Jacoby Ellsbury club" but reality is it only take ONE team to make that offer....ONE.
Even if Jacoby repeats 2011, I don't see him getting a 7 year deal at his age and injury history. He will probably not even get $90M/5 or $80M/4. My guess is, he'd get $68M/4 or $55M/3 tops.
Well perhaps it's not highly likely, but there are moves, deals, trades, signings every year that have people scratching there heads which is why I think it is possible for there to always be a team that takes that chance.
You can make a strong argument that his health woes have been freak accidents, and all it takes is that one team to think that. And if you put in a Lackey clause that kinda contract could have a AAV of 15 million. If a team likes him and believes his injuries are behind him and he repeats his 2011 campaign someone could make him that offer. Like I said, it only takes one team. A lot of it could depend on the market too...perhaps a 6/108 is a bit more realistic with the 7th year being the league minimum if he's injured.