Posted by YOUKILLUS20
The question is, how does this affect the road league mean?
3,357 AB's is about 6% of the total 58,441 AB's. Do we use 6% of the 19 point
(.261 to .242) disparity? Or 1/9th of the mean (.258 to .249)?
Either way, it amounts to about 1 point on the total BA, if I'm reading this right.
Also, is the 1st inning indicative of the range of innings 2 thru 8? Pitchers are trying to establish their stuff in the first frame. Is, say, the 4th inning trending toward a lower variance?
You are winning me over with this point. Closers/set-up guys make a big difference. But not every loss means facing either. The road team can be out of reach in a lop-sided affair and tee off on a lower depth BP arm, altering the numbers.