posted at 5/16/2012 10:52 AM EDT
Hmmm. I think a problem people run into when evaluating basbeall players is that they get an idea in their heads, and that idea keeps them static in their appraisal.
Adrian indeed experienced a power dip post all-star break last year. I don't know if it was the shoulder, the HR derby, or a combo platter. But, we can say with certainty that it happened.
And he certainly started slow this year. Yes, a spray hitter.
But, as the weather has started to turn, Adrian has started to pick it up. If we look at the last two weeks, he has an OPS of .950 (over 1.0 last week). No, the HR stroke has not come yet, but 6 of his last 7 hits have been doubles. To boot, he would have put at least 2 that I saw in this last homestand out of other parks (the Wall giveth and the Wall taketh away). He has looked much more like Adrian Gonzalez in the past couple weeks.
I would venture, based on his 1 HR and relatively pedestrian .457 slugging % in April in 2011, that Adrian, San Diego boy that he is, has trouble, as many power hitters do, in the cold weather.
In any case, I'd say some people need to pay closer attention to what is happening now and pay a little less attention to raw HR #s. I would hate for people to miss out on what Adrian is actually doing. It is pretty fun.