Re: How about Giancarlo Stanton in the Red Sox OF?
posted at 11/23/2013 5:47 PM EST
In response to hill55's comment:
In response to jasko2248's comment:
I know stranger things have happened, but I don't see it happening at all. The Marlins would likely insist on Bogaerts, and the Sox wouldn't consider that deal straight up. Despite the obvious talent with Stanton, he does have some question marks which have been beat to death on this board, and I don't think the Sox would deplete farm for an outfielder at this point.
And the Marlins would not consider a straight-up trade of Giancarlo Stanton for Xander Bogaerts.
Being a Seattle fan, I naturally avoid assigning the can't-miss label to a prospect.
For that reason, I have avoided giving the can't-miss label to Seattle righthander Taijuan Walker, the pitching equivalent of Xander Bogaerts in terms of prospect stature.
Bogaerts and Walker were born seven weeks apart in 1992.
In the 2013 preseason prospect rankings, Baseball America ranked Bogaerts No. 8 and Walker No. 18 while MLB.com Prospect Watch ranked Bogaerts No. 20 and Walker No. 5.
Bogaerts made his MLB debut on August 20, 2013, and the rest of the season posted at WAR of 0.2, according to FanGraphs, or 0.3, according to Baseball Reference.
Walker made his MLB debut on August 30, 2013, and the rest of the season posted a WAR of 0.5, according to FanGraphs, or 0.1, according to Baseball Reference.
Following the 2013 season, MLB.com Prospect Watch ranked Bogaerts No. 6 and Walker No. 4 while John Sickels of Minor League Ball ranked Bogaerts No. 2 and Walker No. 4.
I hope Bogaerts and Walker have long, successful MLB careers, but I don't consider either can't-miss at this point.
I think all of those rankings were pre playoffs. Where Bogaerts showed great poise, excellent plate discipline, very good offense[2nd on the team in OPS] and quality defense. I think if you asked the 10 top experts who they rate higher, at least 9-10 would say Bogaerts NOW. Nothing against Walker. I really like him and rank him 5th myself. But I rate Bogaerts 1 and only Buxton is somebody I rate in his ball park.
One reason why being that I much prefer top rated hitters then pitchers. Six of my top 7 prospects are hitters. I think history says top 10 hitters do much better then top 10 pitchers.
Even though I agree that Bogaerts for Stanton on paper is a fair deal for the Red Sox, I definately would not do it. I would trade the 5th best prospect in baseball for Stanton however in a second. Even the 3rd best. But not Bogearts. He has clearly increased his value the last month and proven himself on the big stage.