Re: How Long Can David Ortiz Play?
posted at 8/4/2012 8:45 PM EDT
In Response to Re: How Long Can David Ortiz Play?
[QUOTE]I'd offer him a deal with incentives and an option to lessen the luxury tax hit, maybe something like this: 2013: $14M (+ $1M for 500+ PAs and $1M for a .900+ OPS) 2014: $12M (+ $1M for 500+ PAs, 600+ OPS, .850+ OPS, & .950+ OPS) 2015: $12M club option (same 2014 incentives) $2M buyout. Essentially, he'd get $28M/2 guaranteed but could make $34M/2. The luxury tax hit would be $9.7M/year ($28M/3)
Posted by moonslav59[/QUOTE]
If Ortiz could play every game from now until the end of the season, he would come in at 143 games, which is in line with what he played the last two years 146 in 2011 and 145 in 2010, but since he can't play every game until the end of the season, he will finish with fewer games, even though, this has been one of his finest seasons, conditiong wise. It is reasonable to expect that next year he would miss a few more games due to needing rest, matchups and such, but once you throw in 15 more NL style games, the most he could reasonably be expected to play is 125. He would barely get to 500 PA, if at all. the contract you propose puts all the risk on Papi, the same issue he has been moaning about for years.
The other problem with giving him forced rest, is the time it takes to get his swing back after sitting around, now throw in the automatic benching because of the road games in NL cities, which is just as likely to occur when he's on a hot streak, under this type of playing arangement, I don't see him being the David Ortix of old. Are the Sox willing to pay full time serious money for a some-time player? Any projection of his production shouldn't exceed 20 HR or 80 RBI...
How much would you pay for that?