Re: if the SOX are eliminated early in the playoffs.....
posted at 8/17/2011 1:39 AM EDT
In Response to Re: if the SOX are eliminated early in the playoffs.....
In Response to Re: if the SOX are eliminated early in the playoffs..... : It depends on the team's window. The RedSox have a limited one as they are the oldest team in the A. L. It's gonna be tough to replace a Pedey/Youk/Beckett in their prime. This is why I don't isolate a player to his salary, or a down year as the end of the world. Ells is kickin' azz and AGONE is a MVP candidate. Thus, some regression by Youk or a CC transition year is balanced off. The money will be overspent in a couple of areas, but under-spent in many more. If they never got Lackey, they'd have some depth issues given the injuries to Josh last year and Dice/Buch this year. And as Katz said, declining revenue is the kiss of death. I think the FO walks a delicate tightrope in this regard. It's hard to swallow it all from a distant spoonful...
Posted by harness
What you and Katz say makes sense in the Boston context. ( But apparent pragmatism can still be nutty. ) I'm not entirely convinced, however, that everything balances as neatly as you posit. And, God forbid, this season may not be a transition year for Crawford. Until he does it, he hasn't done it. And we can't be sure what "it" will be if he improves next year. Moreover, in the 6 hole, he begins the dive to the bottom too early in a lineup like Boston's. He's really hurting the offense. And he hasn't exactly been a shining star in the outfield. He's close to dead weight. THAT is hard to compensate. In the box score and psychologically. You have recently commented on that element of the game, and I agree totally.
Ellsbury has been hitting spectacularly but not well for someone expected to set the table: 4 for his last 24, I think, but with two glorious dingers. Maybe, just maybe, if he got on base more and stole, he would had been picked up enough by "measly" singles from the following batters to account for even more runs on balance. In any event, his future in Boston is hardly set.
Reddick is now having a hard row.
All of this has implications, as you once pointed out when commenting upon the interdependence of all elements in a lineup. For example, if the rightfielder(s) and Crawford ( next year ) and the catching position are not producing, Theo will not buy into the "luxury" of Iglesias's glove. Even a fall off 7 through 9 would give him acid reflux; 6 through 9 would make him cough blood.
Unless he picks up Scutaro's option, the Boston SS next season is likely to be Lowrie/Aviles, when Aviles is not bringing his power stick to right field.
I'm just saying that Crawford makes things knotty, and they could get messy.
But who knows?