Re: Is 2013 the True
posted at 10/27/2012 1:52 AM EDT
You are dead wrong. We went from best to worst very quickly.
5 years is not that "quick".
We can reverse that very quickly. Of course we don't want to repeat the mistakes. The "weak" market includes one of the best players in the game, and one of the best pitchers in the game.
Getting either or both of these two will take CC type money to make it happen. It would be repeating the same mistake with a prayer that the results work out this time. It might work, but at their ages, any long term deal is a mistake.
My point has been that to get instantly serious as contenders, we'd have to make deals like these.
I think this is "dead wrong".
That is not to say I am not for any bold moves. My suggested plans have been very bold and comprehensive, as well as containing a longer view than some other plans listed on this site.
Would next year really offer a better free agent class? Allowing our "kids " a chance to make an impact is an optimistic pipe dream. As if other teams don't have prospects of their own.
We will be one of the top rated farm systems at the next rating cycle. Even before the deal that brought us Webster, de la Rosa and Sands, we had some solid prospects at nearly every level in the minors and at almost every position as well.
I never said other teams do not have prospects that will make an impact, but I do not think I am being overly optimistic at all to think that we will see an impact by 2014 or 2015 from more than 1 of our top prospects.
At best , only a couple of our prospects will become MLB stars. When did we become a small market team ?
When have I advocated a small market approach? Look at my plans. I am for trading for players with some large salaries and signing several players for pretty large salaries. I'm just not for adding $100M in one winter.
We have won but two championships in our lifetimes. They did not result from being cheap and patient.
We also did not start with this roster back in 2003. We did not do it all in one winter.
We have plenty of money to spend. Spend it wisely. Go for the gold every year. Cannot expect people to continue to support mediocrity.
I think my plans will make us better than mediocre by 2013, and highly competitive by 2014.
You seem like you love to play with stats , and put your own philosophy ahead of what is needed for an exciting and successful season.
I happen to think adding J Upton, Brett Anderson, B McCarthy, K Morales, and others would be very exciting. I have also mentioned Shields, E Jackson, Bourn (if jacoby is dealt) and other exciting players. My basic philosphy is exciting baseball: top starting pitchers, an excellent fielding SS, and a solid & balanced line-up.
It is hard enough to win it all when you have a good team , but if you have a legitimate contender every year , you will win some. " Bridge years" are for losers and , like five year plans , are a con job on the fans , and not acceptable for a large market franchise.
Mine is a 2 year plan that improves us greatly in 2013. Maybe we disagree at what our starting point is going into 2013. Right now, we are one of the worst MLB ready teams on paper. Yes, we have a lot of budget to play with and will certainly spend big somewhere this year, but I really think trying to go all out in a spending and trading frenzy this winter is almost certainly bound to result in some CC/Lackey type failures.
A while ago, I submitted a plan that could make us instant contenders and stay under the luxury tax limit in 2013 (barely). It was not a plan I advocated, but it can be done. I happen to think going all out in this manner greatly improves the risk of returning to the state we were in before the big LA trade, except this time we might not find a sucker to take several albatrosses off our hands.
Have you already forgotten the angst of looking forward to 5 more years of Crawford at $20M+/yr? Was that winning baseball? Exciting baseball? I think not.
My philosophy is sound, as are several other various philosophies presented on this site. I happen to think trying to win it all in 2013 would take too much out of the long-run outlook to be worth it.