Re: Is a K better than a double play?
posted at 11/9/2013 3:29 PM EST
In response to S5's comment:
I'm sure that in this day of super-statistics someone somewhere has data on how many chances Naps has to GIDP but I don't have it. It's only my reasonable (?) opinion frrom watching nearly all the games this year that his K's many times gave the Sox an out they wouldn't have had if he'd made contact.
Courtesy of BR, Napoli had 135 opportunities to GIDP, of which he did so 15 times. He ground into a DP 11% of his opportunities. The MLB average is 11%, so he is not grounding into double plays at an unusually high rate.
While not striking out does not necessarily mean not making at out, it might mean at least making a productive out. Napoli made a productive out 21% of his chances. The MLB average was 32%, although that is skewed somewhat by the NL pitchers' sac bunts.
To break it down further, with a runner on 3rd with less than 2 outs, Napoli was successful in driving the runner home 45% of his chances (MLB average 51%). With a runner on 2nd and no outs, Napoli was successful in advancing the runner to 3rd 47% of his chances (MLB average 56%).
Napoli was still successful in plating 15% of his baserunners, which is slightly better than the MLB average of 14%, which again includes data for pitchers batting.
All that said, I am a firm believer that a strikeout is not much worse than any other type of out.
Here is the link to the stats page: