In response to RedSoxDOrtiz's comment:
Yeah... he kinda is playing for league minimum next year... soc got fked out of two years and they were smart enough to see it coming and hedged bets. John Henry is a hedge fund manager for a reason and Lackey is absolutely playing for league minimum next year because we were smart. Sorry Lackey... u signed the contract and didn't give us a refund when u were injured... karma is a beeeothch.
Since we're just voicing opinions here, I don't see it happening. I DO think Lackey would honor his contract if he had to, and I DO also think the FO could hold him to it if they were so disposed, but I don't think he's playing in 2015 for the minimum.
IMHO they will renegotiate a contract for him with a reduced salary for 2014. He's under contract for $17M for 2014 & 2015 combined ($16.5 + .5). I see a one year extention through 2016 for ~$27M, $9M each year. $9M in 2014 lowers our liability toward the luxury tax by $7.5M and if he has any reasonable performance he's tradeable with a $9M salary in 2015 or 2016 if the FO wants to.
Yes, it spends a little more money over the first two years but it gives the Sox another year of control over him AND provides another year of security along with another $10.5M for Lackey. Win, win. And it does away with the potential for any 'clubhouse issues' in 2015. Win, Win, Win.