Re: Jake Peavy for Michael Choice?
posted at 1/14/2014 5:13 PM EST
In response to BMav's comment:
Somewhat comparable, yes. Just like Rios is somewhat comparable to Sabathia-Strasberg-Latos-Baumgarner-Buchholz-Weaver-Cueto-Cain. You think they are not clearly better then Alex Rios? If they had the same contract as Rios would you even contemplate a straight up trade for Rios for them? But they all have equal or worse WAR the last two seasons then Alex Rios.
Part of it is starting pitching value. Part is just that Rios had an over rated WAR the last two seasons because of BABIP and his playing everyday and accumulating WAR. Rios WAR his 09-11 seasons averaged just 0.8. Rios has 9.7 WAR the last 5 seasons. Peavy 14.0, inspite of missing tons of games.
Sometimes, such as in this case, WAR is misleading and Peavy is clearly better then Rios.
As for the injury concerns with Peavy, there isn't too much of a concern if he has just 1 year left. A starting pitcher on a one year deal has more value then an equal in the field player on a one year deal.
I deliberately avoided comparing Jake Peavy and Alex Rios solely on 2013 WAR because of Peavy's injury-shortened season.
However, as White Sox teammates in 2012, Peavy posted a WAR of 4.4 in 32 starts while Rios posted a WAR of 4.2 in 157 games. That's comparable value.
Rios, with a career BABIP of .309, posted a BABIP of .323 in 2012 and .311 in 2013.
Peavy, with a career BABIP of .283, posted a BABIP of .272 in 2012 and .268 in 2013.
In other words, each slightly outperformed his career BABIP the past two seasons.
I agree that the Red Sox have no real need for a corner outfielder such as Alex Rios. I merely brought Rios into the conversation as an example of trading a prospect for a veteran.