Re: JD Drew
posted at 6/25/2011 11:18 PM EDT
In Response to Re: JD Drew
[QUOTE]Hfxsoxnut, You really are an idiot. Do you think that your little stat there erases my point? It doesn't. If you can't see how awful JD has been at driving in runs for the Red Sox, I have to believe you are invested in the guy in some way. You're pathetic.
Posted by Scott8340[/QUOTE]
I’ve done plenty of Drew defending over the last few years, because he isn’t as bad as his critics say. To call him the “worst free agent signing of all time” is ridiculous. He wasn’t the worst OF contract in 2007 (Matthews, Soriano, and Lee were all worse) or even the worst Red Sox free agent signing that year (Lugo).
I’m not a big proponent of using RBI to judge a player; it can be largely a product of opportunity. In the case of Drew, however, he did underperform in this category, though not to the degree his critics claim.
I decided to look into how Drew was at driving runners in. So I checked out how many men were on base for him during his first 4 years in Boston, and compared it to his RBI totals, minus his HRs, and calculated the percentage of runners on base he drove in over that span. I had to subtract HRs, because he gets no credit for driving in himself. I intended to only look at RISP, but decided I wouldn’t be able to figure out how many RBI were runners on 1b without serious research, so to heck with that.
From 2007 through 2010, JD Drew drove in 14% of all the runners who were on base when he came up. During that same time frame, David Ortiz drove in 17% of all runners who were on base when he came up. Kevin Youkilis drove in 16% of all runners on base during that same timeframe. I decided to check out Mike Lowell from 2006 through 2010 (and ignore his final injury-plagued year) and found he also drove in 16% of all runners. Lowell’s RBI total was inflated by a 2007 season when he came to bat with over 521 men on base, a ridiculous amount. He drove in 99 of them (19%). If you look at the other 3 years, Lowell drove in 15% of all runners, barely ahead of Drew. When was the last time anyone criticized Lowell over RBI? (It is worth noting that Lowell was paid similarly to Drew during his final year, played less often and less effectively, and was not treated with repeated DFA requests by fans wishing him gone. Rather many felt he was the victim of injustice from the team’s management that refused to release him and pay him to play elsewhere.)
So, if Drew were to drive in runs at the same rate at Youkilis and Lowell (two players never criticized for RBI totals), he would have needed to drive in another 28 runs over the last 4 seasons. Or 7 RBI per year.
Yes, all this fuss over Drew is over 7 RBI.