Re: Jon Lester and David Price
posted at 1/16/2014 9:00 AM EST
In response to seannybboi's comment:
Lester is set to hit the open market after 2014 season if not extended by the Red Sox. David Price is the best SP available in 2016 FA market by far and almost certain he will test the market. Extending Lester to long term contract will cost big money. More than $100M will be tied to Lester if he finds way back to Boston. The following year, when and if Price comes out to the market, it will very likely cost more than what Lester cost. I can see Price getting about $160-170M with his new team if not more. It's fair to say if Sox extend Lester, we won't have chance to sign Price. If Ben lets Lester walk after this season, Ben has Price as his #1 to do list when and if Price hits the market.
If Lester walks after the season, Sox will likely have Buccholz and Doubront going into the offseason after 2015 season and our pitching prospects. Sox will have more than plenty of money without all those veteran pitchers and probably our beloved Papi. The Tigers will do everything they can to lock up Cabrera before the end of his contract so I don't expect him to be available in 16 market.
We will have to see what happens after this season but 2015 FA market is pretty weak. There shouldn't be many names that will improve the Red Sox instantly except for Lester and Hanley Ramirez. However 2016 market has big names and Sox will have money to spend.
What do you see in Lester and Price future with the Red Sox?
Let's not forget we will have to find replacements for Napoli and Victorino if they do not come back.
I would think the Sox will make every effort to sign Lester to an extension. The question remains whether Lester and his agent have interest in making a deal? 4 years @ 22M to 24M with a 5th year mutual option might get the conversation started.
As for Price, I doubt that Cherington today has given his pending free agency much thought, there's simply to many variables to consider. I am certain that he has at least inquired about the possibility of acquiring him from the Rays, if for no other reason than to gauge just how serious the Ray's are in trading him and what they're looking to get in return.
As for the roster construction and the status of current contracts if we buy into the concept of the importance of having a legit #1 to build your rotation around. Job one for Cherington is to secure the services of a pitcher that profiles as a number one to front the rotation beginning in 2015 and beyond...If not Lester than whom? As for the everyday players 2014 will go a long ways in helping to clarify the needs heading into 2015 and beyond. Starting with Bogaerts and where he plays and is he infact an impact middle of the order bat ..currently Pedrioa is the only "cornerstone type" signed beyond 2015 season...While Napoli and Victorino are both key guys, in the near term begining in 2015 and beyond. Imho replacing the production and leadership of David Ortiz is the bigger question. becasue not unlike the #1 pitcher, teams build their lineups around the guys in the middle.
Given the resources at his disposal, I trust that Cherington will navigate the reconstruction of the nucleaus and continue to field a championship quality team....