Re: Jon Lester Said he feels great and isn't hurt
posted at 6/17/2013 10:03 AM EDT
In response to moonslav59's comment:
Pitchers rarely lose 2-3 mph on their fastball without some sort of underlying issue. Sometimes it might be an injury that even the pitcher doesn't know he has, sometimes it might be a flaw in his mechanics, sometimes it might be "90% half mental".
Lester is not the same guy as 2 years ago. It is very rare for a pitcher to regain velocity lost not by injury, so there are basically 2 way for Lester to get better:
1) If it is a hidden injury, he has to get over it (discovered or not).
2) If it is not an injury, he must re-invent himself by widening his variety of pitches, or perhaps pitching more to contact instead of trying to throw it by batters with an inferior FB.
I wish him luck, but either way may take more time than we can spare.
Theyve been doing in depth studies since about 2007-2008, and they have found At about 28-30yrs old most power pitchers start to rapidly lose velocity. By 32 they can lose up to 4-5 MPH on their FB. Its not rare at all, actually its just the natural progression of most power arms.
They will gain MPH into their mid 20's and at a position players peak (28) can start declining because of throwing so many pitches up til then.
IMHO, Lester is just experiencing this natural progression and needs to get out of his own way and accept it. Make the adjustments and reinvent himself. It might not help the team a lot this year, because making the adjustments is rarely seamless. Lester can still be a TOTR start with his 4 pitch rep, IF he can make the transition.