Re: Laughing stock of major league baseball
posted at 5/1/2011 12:33 PM EDT
In Response to Re: Laughing stock of major league baseball
[QUOTE]Lloyd - let's say the Sox turn things around. Let's use their current record. They are 11-15 today. Let's assume that they haven't lost yet today although it's coming my friend. Oh yeah, it's coming......Anyways, let's say they are really a team that is capable of playing 15-11 and they start playing that way TODAY (they won't, but let's visit the land of make-believe for momemt). 15-11 is a .578 clip There are 136 games left. 136*.578 = 78 more wins. Add that to the 11 wins they already have and that gets you 89 games. An improvement of GOOSE EGG over last year despite spending 300 million of OUR money and once again, a season that will end long before October. So if you want to modify the trend to get a more realistic prediction then I am with you 100%. Just to finish the math...let's once again assume that they don't get Swept by the pathetic M's today even with the might Wakefield on the hill (it's nice to vist the land of make-believe on Sunday morning isn't it?)...Let's also assume that it only takes 94 wins to make the Wild Card (the land of make believe stopped giving tours to the division when they played the first week of the season w/o recording a single win).....94 wins means they have to play at a 620 Clip for the rest of the season. No more excuses. No more long losing streaks. No more mental errors. No more 20 million dollar players with an OBP of under 200. No injuries etc etc etc. Do you see that kind of turn around? Let's put that in perspective. a 620 clip would mean that at this point in time the Sox would actually be at 16-10 and not 11-15. What shred of evidence would suggest that this team (which is really 11-16 now) could possibly have gone 16-10 in April?
Posted by andrewmitch[/QUOTE]
Mitch, first of all, I didn't say they would turn it around. Just saying there's still 84 percent of the season left and it's too late to shovel the dirt. But as I also said, if they're still playing like this on June 1 ...
They're 11-15. To get 95 wins, which generally makes the playoffs, they need to go 84-52 the rest of the way. That's .617 ball.
Can they do it? Of course. The starting pitching has been solid to excellent, and the bats will come around. The big key, to me, is middle relief, which for the most part has been shaky. Hopefully Okajima last night was a good sign.
Don't get me wrong, I'm not playing the role of Kevin Bacon in Animal House -- "Remain calm ... ALL IS WELL!!" I'm just saying it's still to early to give up. I'm guessing that, however deep inside, you agree. After all, you're here.