Re: Lavarnway Continues to Rake
posted at 7/12/2011 11:12 AM EDT
In Response to Re: Lavarnway Continues to Rake
[QUOTE]In Response to Re: Lavarnway Continues to Rake : JB, I don't agree contracts are all about comparable. While your thought process is solid, what if the Sox tell Ortiz to bring them his best offer from another team, and they will match or top it? What if Ortiz has best offer in hand of $5 mil. Do the Sox still offer him $10 mil? Rather than analyze platform year, what team or teams are in a position of need/ability to spend money on a DH? I am making my assumptions that the Yankees (Montero/Arod/Jeter), Angels (Wells), White Sox (Dunn), Tigers (Victor), Rangers (Young/Napoli/Moreland) among others are out of the running. Is Ortiz (and just as importantly his wife) happy in Toronto or Seattle?(not that either of those teams are offering a 36 year old DH any where near $10 mil)
Posted by rkarp[/QUOTE]
As I pointed out, Ortiz is a huge upgrade for any AL team at the DH position, so I'll focus on teams with openings and money to spend.
Red Sox: I don't think I need to explain this one, although ideally they would limit it to a 1 year deal to keep the option of moving Youk to DH in 2013 if Middlebrooks is ready. Lavarnway is also destined for the DH spot if he can't stick at catcher.
Baltimore: Vlad is gone after this season, freeing up $5M from this years payroll ($3M of Vlad's $8M salary is differed until 2016-2017). Mike Gonzalez is gone after this year as well, freeing up another $6M. The O's have $4.1M in raises due before factoring in arb raises. Could Luke Scott be non-tendered working from a $6.4M salary? The O's have shown a willingness to offer big money to players in the recent past. Ortiz would fill a huge position of need.
Blue Jays: There's the obvious Farrell connection and Encarnacion has a club option for next year at $3.5M. Currently he sits as the logical choice to move to DH in 2012 if Lawrie is ready. The Jays certainly have money to spend and a 3/4 of Ortiz/Bautista Would elevate the Jays into contention in the AL East.
Angels: They could use some thump from the DH spot, but Abreu's option is close to vesting (550 PA's in 2011 or 1100 PA's from 2010-2011).
Oakland and Seattle both have huge needs and the money to get a deal done, but I can't see Ortiz moving to those huge ballparks. An offer from either could certainly be used as leverage in negotiations though. The M's are paying Milton Bradley and Carlos Silva a combined $17.5M this year to stay away from the team.
Twins: Ortiz could go back to where it all started. The Twins are dead last in production from the DH spot and have money coming off the books in Nathan, Capps, Thome and Cuddyer. The Twins also don't have anyone blocking the DH spot unless you consider 1B Justin Morneau and C Joe Mauer as candidates for that (personally, I don't see that as a legitimate threat especially on a short term deal for Ortiz). The Twins may very well be the team that takes the 2 year plunge on Ortiz.
So there's 4 legitimate suitors for Ortiz (Red Sox, O's, Blue Jays, Twins) with the Angels, A's and Mariners on the outside looking in.