In response to patrickford's comment:
Well, I recall thinking Larry Bird never got a bad call go in his favor. Maybe I'm wrong. That's why the team, or the Globe, someone should document this carefully. It has been talked about. There is a perception Lester is getting squeezed.
Take a look here at the season to date Lester and Buchholtz.
Average velocity on pitches and the percentage of pitches thrown are all about the same. Lester has a very slight edge in velocity on the fastball and cut fastball. Both throw around 50% fastballs and around 25% cut fastballs. Both throw almost the exact same percentage of curveballs 14% and changeups 11%.
I'd like to see a much more intensive set of numbers. In particular I'd like to see what percentage of cut fastballs are swinging strikes, fouled off, or called balls.
Really I'd like to see someone do a real study using film just so they could tell me I'm wrong...if I'm wrong.
In any event the drop in velocity is a non-issue as far as I'm concerned.
Larry Bird got many calls in his favor.
Velocity does matter, especially when he has relied on throwing it by people for years.